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Patriot Bracket 2015 & Patriot Tournament Predictions

Patriot League Championship Information

2015 Patriot tournament site: Campus Sites
2015 Patriot tournament dates: March 3rd, 5th, 8th & 11th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 Patriot League Championship, we projected Bucknell as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Patriot bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Colgate.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2015 Patriot tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Patriot tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Patriot tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Patriot bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Patriot CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Bucknell 13 5 13.0 5.0 19.0 14.0 100.0% 0.0%
Colgate 12 6 12.0 6.0 16.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 10 8 10.0 8.0 15.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Boston U 9 9 9.0 9.0 13.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 9 9 9.0 9.0 20.0 12.0 0.0% 100.0%
Navy 8 10 8.0 10.0 13.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
American 8 10 8.0 10.0 17.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 8 10 8.0 10.0 14.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola-MD 7 11 7.0 11.0 11.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
Army 6 12 6.0 12.0 15.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Patriot League Championship depend only partly on their Patriot bracket seed. Winning the Patriot League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Patriot bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Patriot League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Patriot League Championship championship than a team with a worse Patriot tournament seed.

In addition, because Patriot tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Patriot conference games, Patriot tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Patriot bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Patriot League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Patriot bracket.