Patriot Bracket 2014 & Patriot Tournament Predictions

Patriot League Championship Information

2014 Patriot tournament site: Campus Sites
2014 Patriot tournament dates: March 3rd-12th, 2014

In our most recent calculations, we project Boston U as the most likely winner of the 2014 Patriot League Championship. The second most likely team to top the Patriot bracket is American.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2014 Patriot tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2014 Patriot tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Patriot tournament championship for every team in the 2014 Patriot bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Patriot CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Boston U 15 3 0.0 15.0 3.0 24.0 10.0 100.0% 0.0%
American 13 5 0.0 13.0 5.0 20.0 12.0 0.0% 100.0%
Holy Cross 12 6 0.0 12.0 6.0 19.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 11 7 0.0 11.0 7.0 16.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Army 10 8 0.0 10.0 8.0 15.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 7 11 0.0 7.0 11.0 14.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 6 12 0.0 6.0 12.0 11.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 6 12 0.0 6.0 12.0 13.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola-MD 6 12 0.0 6.0 12.0 11.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 4 14 0.0 4.0 14.0 9.0 21.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2014 Patriot projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2014 Patriot Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Patriot tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2014 Patriot League Championship depend only partly on their Patriot bracket seed. Winning the Patriot League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2014 Patriot bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Patriot League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Patriot League Championship championship than a team with a worse Patriot tournament seed.

In addition, because Patriot tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Patriot conference games, Patriot tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Patriot bracket can have better odds to win the 2014 Patriot League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Patriot bracket.