Pac-12 Bracket 2015 & Pac-12 Tournament Predictions

Pac-10 Tournament Information

2015 Pac-12 tournament site: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, NV
2015 Pac-12 tournament dates: March 11th-14th, 2015

In our most recent calculations, we project Arizona as the most likely winner of the 2015 Pac-10 Tournament. The second most likely team to top the Pac-12 bracket is Utah.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 Pac-12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Pac-12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Pac-12 tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Pac-12 bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Pac-12 CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Arizona 8 1 0.0 15.6 2.4 27.6 3.4 81.0% 53.3%
Utah 6 2 0.0 13.9 4.1 23.9 6.1 16.8% 28.7%
Stanford 6 2 0.0 12.4 5.6 21.4 8.6 2.2% 8.7%
UCLA 4 4 0.0 9.7 8.3 17.7 13.3 0.0% 2.2%
Oregon 5 4 0.0 9.4 8.6 19.4 11.6 0.0% 1.4%
Colorado 4 4 0.0 9.1 8.9 16.1 13.9 0.0% 2.6%
Oregon St 5 4 0.0 8.7 9.3 17.7 12.3 0.0% 0.4%
Washington 3 5 0.0 7.8 10.2 18.8 11.2 0.0% 1.1%
Arizona St 3 6 0.0 7.5 10.5 15.5 15.5 0.0% 1.4%
California 2 6 0.0 5.2 12.8 15.2 15.8 0.0% 0.2%
Wash State 3 5 0.0 4.9 13.1 10.9 19.1 0.0% 0.0%
USC 1 7 0.0 3.7 14.3 11.7 18.3 0.0% 0.0%

The 2015 Pac-12 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2015 Pac-12 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Pac-12 tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Pac-10 Tournament depend only partly on their Pac-12 bracket seed. Winning the Pac-10 Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Pac-12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Pac-10 Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Pac-10 Tournament championship than a team with a worse Pac-12 tournament seed.

In addition, because Pac-12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Pac-12 conference games, Pac-12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Pac-10 Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket.