Pac-12 Bracket 2015 & Pac-12 Tournament Predictions

Pac-12 Tournament Information

2015 Pac-12 tournament site: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, NV
2015 Pac-12 tournament dates: March 11th-14th, 2015

In our most recent calculations, we project Arizona as the most likely winner of the 2015 Pac-12 Tournament. The second most likely team to top the Pac-12 bracket is Utah.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 Pac-12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Pac-12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Pac-12 tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Pac-12 bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Pac-12 CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Arizona 13 2 0.0 15.3 2.7 27.3 3.7 75.0% 53.5%
Utah 12 3 0.0 14.3 3.7 24.3 5.7 25.0% 35.6%
Oregon 11 5 0.0 11.8 6.2 21.8 9.2 0.0% 2.1%
UCLA 9 7 0.0 10.8 7.2 18.8 12.2 0.0% 2.8%
Stanford 9 6 0.0 10.3 7.7 19.3 10.7 0.0% 4.0%
Oregon St 8 8 0.0 8.8 9.2 17.8 12.2 0.0% 0.2%
Arizona St 7 8 0.0 8.7 9.3 16.7 14.3 0.0% 1.0%
California 6 9 0.0 6.9 11.1 16.9 14.1 0.0% 0.2%
Colorado 5 10 0.0 6.6 11.4 13.6 16.4 0.0% 0.4%
Wash State 6 9 0.0 6.5 11.5 12.5 17.5 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 4 11 0.0 5.3 12.7 16.3 13.7 0.0% 0.3%
USC 2 14 0.0 2.6 15.4 10.6 19.4 0.0% 0.0%

The 2015 Pac-12 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2015 Pac-12 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Pac-12 tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Pac-12 Tournament depend only partly on their Pac-12 bracket seed. Winning the Pac-12 Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Pac-12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Pac-12 Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Pac-12 Tournament championship than a team with a worse Pac-12 tournament seed.

In addition, because Pac-12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Pac-12 conference games, Pac-12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Pac-12 Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket.