Pac-12 Bracket 2015 & Pac-12 Tournament Predictions

Pac-12 Tournament Information

2015 Pac-12 tournament site: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Paradise, NV
2015 Pac-12 tournament dates: March 11th-14th, 2015

In our most recent calculations, we project Arizona as the most likely winner of the 2015 Pac-12 Tournament. The second most likely team to top the Pac-12 bracket is Utah.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 Pac-12 tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Pac-12 tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Pac-12 tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Pac-12 bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Pac-12 CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Arizona 14 2 15.9 2.1 27.9 3.1 100.0% 53.9%
Utah 12 4 13.8 4.2 23.8 6.2 0.0% 35.5%
Oregon 13 5 13.0 5.0 23.0 8.0 0.0% 2.6%
UCLA 11 7 11.0 7.0 19.0 12.0 0.0% 2.5%
Stanford 9 7 9.6 8.4 18.6 11.4 0.0% 3.4%
Arizona St 7 9 8.3 9.7 16.3 14.7 0.0% 0.9%
Oregon St 8 10 8.0 10.0 17.0 13.0 0.0% 0.2%
California 7 9 7.3 10.7 17.3 13.7 0.0% 0.2%
Colorado 6 10 7.0 11.0 14.0 16.0 0.0% 0.5%
Wash State 6 10 6.5 11.5 12.5 17.5 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 4 12 4.7 13.3 15.7 14.3 0.0% 0.3%
USC 3 15 3.0 15.0 11.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2015 Pac-12 projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2015 Pac-12 Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Pac-12 tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Pac-12 Tournament depend only partly on their Pac-12 bracket seed. Winning the Pac-12 Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Pac-12 bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Pac-12 Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Pac-12 Tournament championship than a team with a worse Pac-12 tournament seed.

In addition, because Pac-12 tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Pac-12 conference games, Pac-12 tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Pac-12 Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Pac-12 bracket.