2010 Ohio Valley tournament site: Sommet Center, Nashville, TN
2010 Ohio Valley tournament dates: March 2nd - 6th, 2010
In our most recent calculations, we project Murray St as the most likely winner of the 2010 OVC Tournament, with projected OVC Tournament win odds of 66.8%. The second most likely team to top the Ohio Valley bracket is Morehead St, with a 33.2% chance to win the OVC Tournament in 2010.
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The 2010 Ohio Valley tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2010 Ohio Valley tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Ohio Valley tournament championship for every team in the 2010 Ohio Valley bracket.
| Team | Rank | Conf W-L | GB | Overall W-L | Pct | Steak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murray St | 50 | 20-1 | -- | 29-5 | 0.853 | L1 |
| Morehead St | 108 | 17-4 | 3.0 | 22-10 | 0.688 | W1 |
| E Illinois | 191 | 12-8 | 7.5 | 17-12 | 0.586 | L1 |
| E Kentucky | 186 | 11-8 | 8.0 | 18-13 | 0.581 | L3 |
| Austin Peay | 196 | 11-8 | 8.0 | 15-15 | 0.500 | L1 |
| TN Tech | 227 | 9-11 | 10.5 | 13-17 | 0.433 | L1 |
| Jksnville St | 279 | 7-12 | 12.0 | 9-19 | 0.321 | L6 |
| TN State | 262 | 6-13 | 13.0 | 9-23 | 0.281 | L2 |
| SE Missouri | 314 | 3-15 | 15.5 | 6-23 | 0.207 | L8 |
| TN Martin | 342 | 1-17 | 17.5 | 2-25 | 0.074 | L6 |
The 2010 Ohio Valley standings determine the seeds of the teams in the 2010 OVC Tournament bracket. The teams with the best Ohio Valley conference records receive top seeds in the 2010 OVC Tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2010 OVC Tournament depend only partly on their Ohio Valley bracket seed. Winning the OVC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2010 Ohio Valley bracket. In some cases, the team with a better OVC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the OVC Tournament championship than a team with a worse Ohio Valley tournament seed.
In addition, because Ohio Valley tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Ohio Valley conference games, Ohio Valley tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Ohio Valley bracket can have better odds to win the 2010 OVC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Ohio Valley bracket.
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