Mountain West Bracket 2013 & Mountain West Tournament Predictions
Mountain West Conference Championship Information
2013 Mountain West tournament site: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
2013 Mountain West tournament dates: March 7th-10th, 2013
In our most recent calculations, we project UNLV as the most likely winner of the 2013 Mountain West Conference Championship, with projected Mountain West Conference Championship win odds of 63.1%. The second most likely team to top the Mountain West bracket is New Mexico, with a 36.9% chance to win the Mountain West Conference Championship in 2013.
| Seed | Team | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of UNLV.
Quarterfinals - home court of UNLV.
Semifinals - home court of UNLV.
Championship Game - home court of UNLV.
The 2013 Mountain West tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2013 Mountain West tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Mountain West tournament championship for every team in the 2013 Mountain West bracket.
Projected Conference Standings
| Mountain West | CURRENT | RATINGS | PROJECTION | PLAYOFFS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | conf W | L | Future SOS | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
| New Mexico | 13 | 3 | 3.6 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 29.8 | 5.2 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Colorado St | 11 | 5 | 14.3 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 25.4 | 8.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| UNLV | 10 | 6 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 25.6 | 9.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| San Diego St | 9 | 7 | 10.6 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 22.5 | 10.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Boise State | 9 | 7 | 9.6 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 21.5 | 10.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Air Force | 8 | 8 | -2.8 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 17.6 | 13.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fresno St | 5 | 11 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyoming | 4 | 12 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 19.6 | 13.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevada | 3 | 13 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The 2013 Mountain West projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2013 Mountain West Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Mountain West tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2013 Mountain West Conference Championship depend only partly on their Mountain West bracket seed. Winning the Mountain West Conference Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2013 Mountain West bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Mountain West Conference Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Mountain West Conference Championship championship than a team with a worse Mountain West tournament seed.
In addition, because Mountain West tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Mountain West conference games, Mountain West tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket can have better odds to win the 2013 Mountain West Conference Championship than lower seeded teams in the Mountain West bracket.
