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MAC Bracket 2015 & MAC Tournament Predictions

MAC Tournament Information

2015 MAC tournament site: Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH & Campus Sites
2015 MAC tournament dates: March 9th & 11th-14th, 2015

In our most recent calculations, we project Toledo as the most likely winner of the 2015 MAC Tournament. The second most likely team to top the MAC bracket is Buffalo.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - higher seed.
Second Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 MAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 MAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MAC tournament championship for every team in the 2015 MAC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

MAC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Toledo 0 0 0.0 11.7 6.3 19.2 10.8 19.6% 18.5%
Buffalo 0 0 0.0 11.1 6.9 19.3 10.7 17.0% 15.9%
Bowling Grn 0 0 0.0 11.1 6.9 19.4 9.6 16.0% 14.6%
W Michigan 0 0 0.0 10.9 7.1 18.0 10.0 14.9% 14.3%
Akron 0 0 0.0 10.3 7.7 20.3 10.7 10.5% 11.7%
Central Mich 0 0 0.0 9.9 8.1 19.3 9.7 7.9% 8.5%
Kent State 0 0 0.0 9.1 8.9 17.7 12.3 4.9% 5.7%
Ohio 0 0 0.0 9.0 9.0 13.9 13.1 5.8% 6.4%
N Illinois 0 0 0.0 7.2 10.8 13.9 15.1 1.6% 2.1%
E Michigan 0 0 0.0 7.1 10.9 15.8 15.2 1.2% 1.4%
Miami (OH) 0 0 0.0 5.6 12.4 11.4 18.6 0.4% 0.6%
Ball State 0 0 0.0 5.0 13.0 10.4 18.6 0.3% 0.4%

The 2015 MAC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2015 MAC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the MAC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 MAC Tournament depend only partly on their MAC bracket seed. Winning the MAC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 MAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better MAC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the MAC Tournament championship than a team with a worse MAC tournament seed.

In addition, because MAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MAC conference games, MAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 MAC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the MAC bracket.