2024 MAC tournament site: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
2024 MAC tournament dates: March 14th-16th, 2024
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
Seed | Team | Semi | Champ | Win | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2024 MAC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2024 MAC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the MAC tournament championship for every team in the 2024 MAC bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Toledo | 14 | 4 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
Akron | 13 | 5 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
Ohio | 13 | 5 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Central Mich | 12 | 6 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 14.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Bowling Grn | 10 | 8 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
W Michigan | 9 | 9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Miami (OH) | 9 | 9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kent St | 8 | 10 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ball St | 7 | 11 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
E Michigan | 6 | 12 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
N Illinois | 5 | 13 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Buffalo | 2 | 16 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
A team's relative odds to win the 2024 MAC Tournament depend only partly on their MAC bracket seed. Winning the MAC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2024 MAC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better MAC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the MAC Tournament championship than a team with a worse MAC tournament seed.
In addition, because MAC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in MAC conference games, MAC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the MAC bracket can have better odds to win the 2024 MAC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the MAC bracket.
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