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Horizon League Bracket 2015 & Horizon League Tournament Predictions

Horizon League Championship Information

2015 Horizon League tournament site: Campus Sites
2015 Horizon League tournament dates: March 3rd, 6th-7th & 10th, 2015

In our most recent calculations, we project WI-Grn Bay as the most likely winner of the 2015 Horizon League Championship. The second most likely team to top the Horizon League bracket is Cleveland St.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - higher seed.
Quarterfinals - regular season champ.
Semifinals - regular season champ.
Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2015 Horizon League tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Horizon League tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Horizon League tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Horizon League bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Horizon League CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
WI-Grn Bay 0 0 0.0 12.8 3.2 22.5 6.5 56.5% 57.9%
Cleveland St 0 0 0.0 10.4 5.6 17.4 13.6 18.9% 16.9%
Valparaiso 0 0 0.0 9.5 6.5 19.2 11.8 10.2% 10.7%
Detroit 0 0 0.0 9.3 6.7 17.6 13.4 8.9% 9.3%
Wright State 0 0 0.0 7.0 9.0 13.7 16.3 2.0% 2.5%
WI-Milwkee 0 0 0.0 6.9 9.1 12.2 17.8 1.5% 0.0%
Oakland 0 0 0.0 6.5 9.5 9.5 21.5 1.5% 1.7%
Youngs St 0 0 0.0 5.4 10.6 13.3 17.7 0.4% 0.7%
IL-Chicago 0 0 0.0 4.2 11.8 8.7 21.3 0.1% 0.2%

The 2015 Horizon League projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2015 Horizon League Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Horizon League tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Horizon League Championship depend only partly on their Horizon League bracket seed. Winning the Horizon League Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Horizon League bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Horizon League Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Horizon League Championship championship than a team with a worse Horizon League tournament seed.

In addition, because Horizon League tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Horizon League conference games, Horizon League tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Horizon League bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Horizon League Championship than lower seeded teams in the Horizon League bracket.