CAA Bracket 2015 & CAA Tournament Predictions

CAA Championship Information

2015 CAA tournament site: 1st Mariner Bank Arena, Baltimore, MD
2015 CAA tournament dates: March 6th-9th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 CAA Championship, we projected Hofstra as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the CAA bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Wm & Mary.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2015 CAA tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 CAA tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the CAA tournament championship for every team in the 2015 CAA bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

CAA CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Northeastrn 12 6 12.0 6.0 20.0 11.0 0.0% 25.0%
Wm & Mary 12 6 12.0 6.0 18.0 11.0 100.0% 25.6%
James Mad 12 6 12.0 6.0 19.0 12.0 0.0% 4.0%
NC-Wilmgton 12 6 12.0 6.0 17.0 12.0 0.0% 11.7%
Hofstra 10 8 10.0 8.0 19.0 12.0 0.0% 26.5%
Drexel 9 9 9.0 9.0 11.0 18.0 0.0% 1.5%
Delaware 9 9 9.0 9.0 10.0 19.0 0.0% 1.7%
Elon 6 12 6.0 12.0 14.0 17.0 0.0% 1.8%
Towson 5 13 5.0 13.0 12.0 19.0 0.0% 1.0%
Col Charlestn 3 15 3.0 15.0 8.0 23.0 0.0% 1.2%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 CAA Championship depend only partly on their CAA bracket seed. Winning the CAA Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 CAA bracket. In some cases, the team with a better CAA Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the CAA Championship championship than a team with a worse CAA tournament seed.

In addition, because CAA tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in CAA conference games, CAA tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the CAA bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 CAA Championship than lower seeded teams in the CAA bracket.