CAA Bracket 2014 & CAA Tournament Predictions

CAA Championship Information

2014 CAA tournament site: 1st Mariner Bank Arena, Baltimore, MD
2014 CAA tournament dates: March 7th-10th, 2014

In our most recent calculations, we project Delaware as the most likely winner of the 2014 CAA Championship. The second most likely team to top the CAA bracket is Wm & Mary.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2014 CAA tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2014 CAA tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the CAA tournament championship for every team in the 2014 CAA bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

CAA CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Delaware 14 2 0.0 14.0 2.0 25.0 9.0 100.0% 100.0%
Towson 13 3 0.0 13.0 3.0 23.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
Wm & Mary 10 6 0.0 10.0 6.0 20.0 12.0 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 8 8 0.0 8.0 8.0 16.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastrn 7 9 0.0 7.0 9.0 11.0 21.0 0.0% 0.0%
Col Charlestn 6 10 0.0 6.0 10.0 14.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
James Mad 6 10 0.0 6.0 10.0 11.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 5 11 0.0 5.0 11.0 10.0 23.0 0.0% 0.0%
NC-Wilmgton 3 13 0.0 3.0 13.0 9.0 23.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2014 CAA projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2014 CAA Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the CAA tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2014 CAA Championship depend only partly on their CAA bracket seed. Winning the CAA Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2014 CAA bracket. In some cases, the team with a better CAA Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the CAA Championship championship than a team with a worse CAA tournament seed.

In addition, because CAA tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in CAA conference games, CAA tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the CAA bracket can have better odds to win the 2014 CAA Championship than lower seeded teams in the CAA bracket.