Big Ten Bracket 2013 & Big Ten Tournament Predictions
Big Ten Tournament Information
2013 Big Ten tournament site: United Center, Chicago, IL
2013 Big Ten tournament dates: March 14th-17th, 2013
In our most recent calculations, we project Ohio State as the most likely winner of the 2013 Big Ten Tournament, with projected Big Ten Tournament win odds of 52.8%. The second most likely team to top the Big Ten bracket is Wisconsin, with a 47.2% chance to win the Big Ten Tournament in 2013.
| Seed | Team | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2013 Big Ten tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2013 Big Ten tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Ten tournament championship for every team in the 2013 Big Ten bracket.
Projected Conference Standings
| Big Ten | CURRENT | RATINGS | PROJECTION | PLAYOFFS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | conf W | L | Future SOS | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
| Indiana | 14 | 4 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Michigan St | 13 | 5 | 6.6 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 25.8 | 8.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ohio State | 13 | 5 | 5.1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 26.9 | 7.1 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Wisconsin | 12 | 6 | 12.2 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 23.7 | 11.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michigan | 12 | 6 | 4.6 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 26.9 | 7.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iowa | 9 | 9 | 3.3 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 21.9 | 12.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Purdue | 8 | 10 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.8 | 17.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Illinois | 8 | 10 | 9.3 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 22.5 | 12.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Minnesota | 8 | 10 | 11.7 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 20.6 | 12.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nebraska | 5 | 13 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Northwestern | 4 | 14 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Penn State | 2 | 16 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The 2013 Big Ten projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2013 Big Ten Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big Ten tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2013 Big Ten Tournament depend only partly on their Big Ten bracket seed. Winning the Big Ten Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2013 Big Ten bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Ten Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Ten Tournament championship than a team with a worse Big Ten tournament seed.
In addition, because Big Ten tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Ten conference games, Big Ten tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket can have better odds to win the 2013 Big Ten Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket.
