Big Sky Bracket 2014 & Big Sky Tournament Predictions

Big Sky Championship Information

2014 Big Sky tournament site: Home Court of Regular Season Champ
2014 Big Sky tournament dates: March 13th-15th, 2014

In our most recent calculations, we project Weber State as the most likely winner of the 2014 Big Sky Championship. The second most likely team to top the Big Sky bracket is North Dakota.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - regular season champ.
Semifinals - regular season champ.
Championship Game - regular season champ.

The 2014 Big Sky tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2014 Big Sky tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Sky tournament championship for every team in the 2014 Big Sky bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Big Sky CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Weber State 14 6 0.0 14.0 6.0 19.0 11.0 100.0% 100.0%
North Dakota 12 8 0.0 12.0 8.0 17.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
N Arizona 12 8 0.0 12.0 8.0 15.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 12 8 0.0 12.0 8.0 17.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St 11 9 0.0 11.0 9.0 17.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
N Colorado 11 9 0.0 11.0 9.0 18.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
E Washingtn 10 10 0.0 10.0 10.0 15.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Sac State 10 10 0.0 10.0 10.0 14.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St 9 11 0.0 9.0 11.0 14.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho State 8 12 0.0 8.0 12.0 11.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
S Utah 1 19 0.0 1.0 19.0 2.0 27.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2014 Big Sky projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2014 Big Sky Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big Sky tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2014 Big Sky Championship depend only partly on their Big Sky bracket seed. Winning the Big Sky Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2014 Big Sky bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Sky Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Sky Championship championship than a team with a worse Big Sky tournament seed.

In addition, because Big Sky tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Sky conference games, Big Sky tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Sky bracket can have better odds to win the 2014 Big Sky Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big Sky bracket.