Big Sky Bracket 2015 & Big Sky Tournament Predictions

Big Sky Championship Information

2015 Big Sky tournament site: Home Court of Regular Season Champ
2015 Big Sky tournament dates: March 12th-14th, 2015

In our most recent calculations, we project E Washingtn as the most likely winner of the 2015 Big Sky Championship. The second most likely team to top the Big Sky bracket is Weber State.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - regular season champ.
Semifinals - regular season champ.
Championship Game - regular season champ.

The 2015 Big Sky tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Big Sky tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Sky tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Big Sky bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Big Sky CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
E Washingtn 0 0 0.0 15.2 2.8 24.2 6.8 75.3% 49.6%
N Colorado 0 0 0.0 11.3 6.7 17.0 12.0 6.4% 9.3%
N Arizona 0 0 0.0 10.6 7.4 14.9 16.1 5.2% 6.4%
Idaho 0 0 0.0 10.3 7.7 15.6 13.4 4.4% 6.9%
Montana 0 0 0.0 10.0 8.0 13.7 15.3 3.7% 6.7%
Weber State 0 0 0.0 9.9 8.1 14.4 14.6 3.3% 14.6%
Sac State 0 0 0.0 8.4 9.6 13.8 15.2 0.8% 2.5%
Portland St 0 0 0.0 7.6 10.4 13.0 15.0 0.4% 1.6%
North Dakota 0 0 0.0 7.2 10.8 11.6 18.4 0.3% 1.0%
Idaho State 0 0 0.0 6.5 11.5 9.8 20.2 0.2% 0.7%
Montana St 0 0 0.0 6.0 12.0 9.2 20.8 0.1% 0.5%
S Utah 0 0 0.0 5.1 12.9 7.6 20.4 0.0% 0.2%

The 2015 Big Sky projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2015 Big Sky Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big Sky tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Big Sky Championship depend only partly on their Big Sky bracket seed. Winning the Big Sky Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Big Sky bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Sky Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Sky Championship championship than a team with a worse Big Sky tournament seed.

In addition, because Big Sky tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Sky conference games, Big Sky tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Sky bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Big Sky Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big Sky bracket.