coin-dollar notification2 facebook2 twitter2

American Bracket 2015 & American Tournament Predictions

AAC Championship Information

2015 American tournament site: XL Center, Hartford, CT
2015 American tournament dates: March 11th-14th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 AAC Championship, we projected S Methodist as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the American bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Connecticut.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of Connecticut.
Quarterfinals - home court of Connecticut.
Semifinals - home court of Connecticut.
Championship Game - home court of Connecticut.

The 2015 American tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 American tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the American tournament championship for every team in the 2015 American bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

American CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
S Methodist 15 3 15.0 3.0 26.0 6.0 100.0% 47.4%
Tulsa 14 4 14.0 4.0 22.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
Cincinnati 13 5 13.0 5.0 22.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
Temple 13 5 13.0 5.0 23.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
Connecticut 10 8 10.0 8.0 20.0 13.0 0.0% 52.6%
Memphis 10 8 10.0 8.0 18.0 14.0 0.0% 0.0%
Tulane 6 12 6.0 12.0 15.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
E Carolina 6 12 6.0 12.0 14.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
Central FL 5 13 5.0 13.0 12.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Houston 4 14 4.0 14.0 13.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
S Florida 3 15 3.0 15.0 9.0 23.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 AAC Championship depend only partly on their American bracket seed. Winning the AAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 American bracket. In some cases, the team with a better AAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the AAC Championship championship than a team with a worse American tournament seed.

In addition, because American tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in American conference games, American tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the American bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 AAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the American bracket.