American Bracket 2014 & American Tournament Predictions

AAC Championship Information

2014 American tournament site: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
2014 American tournament dates: March 12th-15th, 2014

In our most recent calculations, we project Louisville as the most likely winner of the 2014 AAC Championship. The second most likely team to top the American bracket is Connecticut.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of Memphis.
Quarterfinals - home court of Memphis.
Semifinals - home court of Memphis.
Championship Game - home court of Memphis.

The 2014 American tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2014 American tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the American tournament championship for every team in the 2014 American bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

American CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Louisville 15 3 0.0 15.0 3.0 29.0 5.0 50.0% 100.0%
Cincinnati 15 3 0.0 15.0 3.0 27.0 6.0 50.0% 0.0%
S Methodist 12 6 0.0 12.0 6.0 23.0 9.0 0.0% 0.0%
Connecticut 12 6 0.0 12.0 6.0 26.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
Memphis 12 6 0.0 12.0 6.0 23.0 9.0 0.0% 0.0%
Houston 8 10 0.0 8.0 10.0 17.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 5 13 0.0 5.0 13.0 12.0 21.0 0.0% 0.0%
Temple 4 14 0.0 4.0 14.0 9.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%
Central FL 4 14 0.0 4.0 14.0 13.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
S Florida 3 15 0.0 3.0 15.0 12.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2014 American projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2014 American Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the American tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2014 AAC Championship depend only partly on their American bracket seed. Winning the AAC Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2014 American bracket. In some cases, the team with a better AAC Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the AAC Championship championship than a team with a worse American tournament seed.

In addition, because American tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in American conference games, American tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the American bracket can have better odds to win the 2014 AAC Championship than lower seeded teams in the American bracket.