ACC Bracket 2013 & ACC Tournament Predictions

ACC Tournament Information

2013 ACC tournament site: Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
2013 ACC tournament dates: March 14th-17th, 2013

In our most recent calculations, we project Miami (FL) as the most likely winner of the 2013 ACC Tournament, with projected ACC Tournament win odds of 53.4%. The second most likely team to top the ACC bracket is N Carolina, with a 46.6% chance to win the ACC Tournament in 2013.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2013 ACC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2013 ACC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the ACC tournament championship for every team in the 2013 ACC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

ACC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Miami (FL) 15 3 1.6 15.0 3.0 27.9 6.1 100.0% 100.0%
Duke 14 4 -0.5 14.0 4.0 28.0 5.0 0.0% 0.0%
N Carolina 12 6 8.8 12.0 6.0 24.7 10.3 0.0% 0.0%
Virginia 11 7 -4.0 11.0 7.0 22.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
NC State 11 7 8.4 11.0 7.0 24.7 10.3 0.0% 0.0%
Florida St 9 9 5.6 9.0 9.0 18.6 15.4 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland 8 10 1.2 8.0 10.0 22.9 12.1 0.0% 0.0%
Boston Col 7 11 0.0 7.0 11.0 16.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
GA Tech 6 12 0.0 6.0 12.0 16.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
Wake Forest 6 12 0.0 6.0 12.0 13.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Clemson 5 13 0.0 5.0 13.0 13.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
VA Tech 4 14 0.0 4.0 14.0 13.0 19.0 0.0% 0.0%

The 2013 ACC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2013 ACC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the ACC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2013 ACC Tournament depend only partly on their ACC bracket seed. Winning the ACC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2013 ACC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better ACC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the ACC Tournament championship than a team with a worse ACC tournament seed.

In addition, because ACC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in ACC conference games, ACC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the ACC bracket can have better odds to win the 2013 ACC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the ACC bracket.