NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

BYU
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 27-8
Power Rating: 85.5
Ranking: 34

1-3v #1-25
1-2v #26-50
4-1v #51-100
8-2v #101-200
13-0v #201-341

Home Rankings (16-0): 92.1 (9) 0-0v #1-25 1-0v #26-50 2-0v #51-100 5-0v #101-200 8-0v #201-341 League Power Rankings: 8-087.4 Non-League Power Rankings: 8-086.9 Last Ten Rankings: 3-086.1

Away Rankings (8-5): 83.2 (55)
0-0v #1-25
0-2v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
2-2v #101-200
4-0v #201-341
League Power Rankings: 6-383.2
Non-League Power Rankings: 2-280.0
Last Ten Rankings: 2-281.9

Neutral Rankings (3-3): 85.9 (40) 1-3v #1-25 0-0v #26-50 0-0v #51-100 1-0v #101-200 1-0v #201-341 League Power Rankings: 2-089.0 Non-League Power Rankings: 1-385.5 Last Ten Rankings: 2-185.3

League Power Rankings (16-3): 87.1 (26)
0-0v #1-25
1-2v #26-50
4-0v #51-100
6-1v #101-200
5-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 8-087.4
Away Rankings: 6-383.2
Neutral Rankings: 2-089.0
Last Ten Rankings: 7-283.8

Non-League Power Rankings (11-5): 82.6 (66) 1-3v #1-25 0-0v #26-50 0-1v #51-100 2-1v #101-200 8-0v #201-341 Home Rankings: 8-086.9 Away Rankings: 2-280.0 Neutral Rankings: 1-385.5 Last Ten Rankings: 0-182.2

Wins Power Rankings: 86.9 (35)
1-3v #1-25
1-2v #26-50
2-2v #51-100
10-1v #101-200
13-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 16-098.4
Away Rankings: 8-584.6
Neutral Rankings: 3-387.2
Last Ten Rankings: 7-385.7

Predictive / Points Rankings: 83.8 (33) 1-3v #1-25 3-2v #26-50 4-2v #51-100 8-1v #101-200 11-0v #201-341 Home Rankings: 16-088.1 Away Rankings: 8-581.6 Neutral Rankings: 3-384.4 League Power Rankings: 16-384.5 Non-League Power Rankings: 11-582.7 Last Ten Rankings: 7-383.1

Last Ten Rankings (7-3): 84.5 (49)
0-1v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
5-1v #101-200
1-0v #201-341
Home Rankings: 3-086.1
Away Rankings: 2-281.9
Neutral Rankings: 2-185.3
League Power Rankings: 7-283.8
Non-League Power Rankings: 0-182.2

Home Advantage: 11.6 (22)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0 (116)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1 (120)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2 (121)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3 (126)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5 (134)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8 (143)

Upward Stability: 2.4 (295)

Downward Stability: 2.9 (170)

RPI
RPI: 0.5 (30)
2-4v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
6-2v #51-100
5-1v #101-200
14-0v #201-341

RPI Home (16-0): 0.6 (13) 1-0v #1-25 0-0v #26-50 2-0v #51-100 6-0v #101-200 7-0v #201-341

RPI Away (8-5): 0.5 (49)
0-0v #1-25
0-2v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
2-2v #101-200
4-0v #201-341

RPI Neutral (3-3): 0.5 (48) 1-3v #1-25 0-0v #26-50 2-0v #51-100 0-0v #101-200 0-0v #201-341

RPI League (16-3): 0.6 (17)
1-2v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
4-1v #51-100
6-0v #101-200
5-0v #201-341

RPI Non-League (11-5): 0.5 (78) 1-2v #1-25 0-1v #26-50 0-1v #51-100 2-1v #101-200 8-0v #201-341

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5 (99)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/10/2007	Away	W 74-34	vs. #313 Long Beach St
11/14/2007	Home	W 90-69	vs. #278 Idaho St
11/16/2007	Home	W 100-61	vs. #307 Jackson St
11/20/2007	Home	W 97-73	vs. #210 Hartford
11/23/2007	Neut	W 78-76	vs. #10 Louisville
11/24/2007	Neut	L 63-73	vs. #3 North Carolina
12/1/2007	Away	W 78-54	vs. #288 Portland
12/5/2007	Home	W 72-57	vs. #199 Weber St
12/8/2007	Neut	L 61-68	vs. #16 Michigan St
12/12/2007	Home	W 88-66	vs. #156 Lamar
12/15/2007	Home	W 86-67	vs. #231 Pepperdine
12/21/2007	Home	W 70-55	vs. #220 Southern Utah
12/29/2007	Away	L 70-73	vs. #107 Boise St
1/3/2008	Home	W 91-62	vs. #329 Loyola Marymnt
1/8/2008	Away	L 62-79	vs. #70 Wake Forest
1/12/2008	Home	W 92-73	vs. #281 Colorado St
1/15/2008	Away	L 41-70	vs. #42 UNLV
1/19/2008	Away	W 55-52	vs. #99 Utah
1/23/2008	Home	W 59-56	vs. #104 San Diego St
1/26/2008	Home	W 83-66	vs. #59 New Mexico
1/30/2008	Away	W 69-53	vs. #166 Air Force
2/2/2008	Away	W 73-63	vs. #201 Wyoming
2/6/2008	Home	W 83-72	vs. #189 TCU
2/13/2008	Away	W 79-65	vs. #281 Colorado St
2/16/2008	Home	W 74-48	vs. #42 UNLV
2/20/2008	Home	W 67-59	vs. #99 Utah
2/23/2008	Away	L 65-69	vs. #104 San Diego St
2/26/2008	Away	W 70-69	vs. #59 New Mexico
3/1/2008	Home	W 76-57	vs. #166 Air Force
3/5/2008	Home	W 78-61	vs. #201 Wyoming
3/8/2008	Away	W 61-54	vs. #189 TCU
3/13/2008	Neut	W 89-62	vs. #281 Colorado St
3/14/2008	Neut	W 63-54	vs. #104 San Diego St
3/15/2008	Away	L 61-76	vs. #42 UNLV
3/20/2008	Neut	L 62-67	vs. #23 Texas A&M

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent