NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Strength of Schedule

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5662


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. North Carolina (36-3)0.6012
8. Duke (28-6)0.5826
12. Georgia Tech (15-17)0.5792
23. Florida St (19-15)0.5706
25. Clemson (23-10)0.5696
28. Boston College (14-17)0.5685
38. Miami Fla (22-11)0.5643
39. Virginia Tech (21-14)0.5635
42. Maryland (19-15)0.5624
43. North Carolina St (15-16)0.5613
68. Virginia (17-16)0.5418
92. Wake Forest (17-13)0.5294


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5644


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Texas (30-7)0.6013
10. Texas Tech (15-15)0.5798
11. Kansas (36-3)0.5796
13. Oklahoma (23-12)0.5759
20. Oklahoma St (16-16)0.5716
26. Kansas St (20-12)0.5696
40. Texas A&M (24-11)0.5631
50. Baylor (20-11)0.5564
53. Colorado (11-20)0.5552
60. Missouri (16-16)0.5508
79. Iowa St (13-18)0.5374
88. Nebraska (20-13)0.5319


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5605


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Arizona (18-15)0.5953
7. UCLA (34-4)0.5837
14. USC (21-12)0.5753
34. California (17-16)0.5656
36. Washington St (26-9)0.5649
44. Oregon (18-14)0.5611
47. Stanford (28-8)0.5600
64. Washington (16-17)0.5453
77. Arizona St (21-13)0.5376
120. Oregon St (6-24)0.5158


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5600


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Louisville (27-9)0.5960
9. Syracuse (21-14)0.5808
18. Pittsburgh (26-10)0.5728
21. Marquette (24-10)0.5716
22. Cincinnati (13-19)0.5715
27. Georgetown (28-6)0.5691
31. Villanova (22-13)0.5665
33. West Virginia (25-11)0.5660
41. St Johns (11-19)0.5627
46. Connecticut (24-9)0.5600
48. DePaul (11-19)0.5593
54. Providence (15-16)0.5548
70. Notre Dame (25-8)0.5409
81. Seton Hall (17-15)0.5360
87. South Florida (12-19)0.5321
110. Rutgers (11-20)0.5196


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5579


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Tennessee (30-5)0.6086
16. Arkansas (23-12)0.5751
24. Kentucky (18-13)0.5701
37. Georgia (16-17)0.5645
45. Vanderbilt (26-8)0.5602
49. South Carolina (14-18)0.5580
51. Mississippi St (23-11)0.5559
61. Alabama (17-16)0.5502
63. Mississippi (24-11)0.5470
73. Florida (24-12)0.5402
75. LSU (12-18)0.5383
96. Auburn (14-16)0.5270


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5473


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Ohio St (24-13)0.5751
19. Michigan St (27-9)0.5719
30. Illinois (16-19)0.5674
32. Michigan (10-22)0.5660
55. Wisconsin (31-5)0.5546
62. Indiana (25-8)0.5502
71. Northwestern (7-22)0.5406
91. Penn St (15-16)0.5303
97. Purdue (25-9)0.5264
109. Iowa (13-19)0.5206
116. Minnesota (20-14)0.5174


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5365


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Southern Ill (18-15)0.5674
65. Drake (26-5)0.5444
66. Creighton (21-11)0.5443
67. Illinois St (24-10)0.5434
72. Bradley (21-17)0.5404
82. Indiana St (14-16)0.5353
83. Missouri St (16-16)0.5351
98. Wichita St (11-20)0.5261
118. Northern Iowa (17-14)0.5162
125. Evansville (8-21)0.5118


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5364


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Xavier (30-7)0.5742
35. Dayton (23-11)0.5655
52. Temple (21-13)0.5558
56. St Josephs (21-13)0.5525
57. Massachusetts (25-11)0.5524
69. Charlotte (20-14)0.5412
74. Geo Washington (9-17)0.5393
85. St Louis (15-15)0.5340
86. Fordham (11-17)0.5328
104. Richmond (16-15)0.5225
106. Rhode Island (21-12)0.5216
134. La Salle (14-17)0.5086
140. Duquesne (17-13)0.5048
143. St Bonaventure (8-22)0.5038


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5222


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Memphis (38-2)0.5872
89. Marshall (14-14)0.5315
89. Marshall (14-14)0.5315
90. Uab (23-11)0.5310
100. SO Mississippi (15-14)0.5245
107. Tulsa (25-14)0.5216
121. Rice (3-27)0.5140
123. Texas El Paso (19-14)0.5133
127. Houston (24-10)0.5107
129. Central Florida (16-15)0.5096
137. East Carolina (9-18)0.5055
141. Tulane (16-15)0.5045
146. SMU (8-20)0.5033


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5156


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. UNLV (26-8)0.5509
80. Utah (17-15)0.5368
99. BYU (27-8)0.5248
101. San Diego St (19-13)0.5229
119. Colorado St (6-24)0.5160
154. Air Force (14-14)0.4993
156. New Mexico (24-9)0.4983
159. Wyoming (10-18)0.4971
163. TCU (13-16)0.4942


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.5132


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
84. Cleveland St (19-13)0.5350
94. Youngstown St (7-21)0.5276
102. Butler (30-4)0.5227
124. Wisc Milwaukee (13-16)0.5126
128. Wisc Green Bay (15-15)0.5104
131. Detroit (6-23)0.5089
139. Illinois Chi (17-15)0.5048
150. Wright St (21-10)0.5008
160. Loyola Chi (10-19)0.4963


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5000


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
58. Miami Ohio (17-16)0.5511
108. Toledo (11-19)0.5209
114. Kent (28-7)0.5191
115. Ohio (20-13)0.5191
133. Akron (24-11)0.5086
153. Ball St (6-24)0.4993
162. Northern Ill (6-22)0.4954
181. Buffalo (9-20)0.4865
190. Bowling Green (13-17)0.4829
195. Central Mich (13-16)0.4824
222. Western Mich (20-12)0.4736
265. Eastern Mich (14-17)0.4607


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4962


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
93. Gonzaga (25-8)0.5289
95. San Diego (21-14)0.5274
136. St Marys CA (24-7)0.5060
149. Pepperdine (10-21)0.5011
196. Santa Clara (13-16)0.4822
201. Loyola Marymnt (5-26)0.4815
203. San Francisco (9-21)0.4805
259. Portland (8-22)0.4620


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4942


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Middle Tenn St (16-15)0.5382
105. Western KY (27-7)0.5222
117. South Alabama (24-7)0.5171
126. Florida Intl (8-20)0.5107
167. Troy St (10-19)0.4936
170. Ul Lafayette (14-15)0.4913
189. North Texas (17-11)0.4834
202. Arkansas St (8-20)0.4812
217. New Orleans (17-13)0.4744
224. Denver (10-19)0.4734
286. Arkansas Lr (18-11)0.4506


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4921


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
103. Old Dominion (18-16)0.5226
122. George Mason (23-11)0.5137
147. William & Mary (15-16)0.5030
151. VA Commonwealth (24-8)0.5008
168. Delaware (14-17)0.4928
171. Drexel (12-20)0.4909
175. Northeastern (14-17)0.4878
177. NC Wilmington (20-13)0.4871
199. Towson (13-18)0.4818
209. James Madison (13-17)0.4787
218. Hofstra (12-18)0.4741
225. Georgia St (9-21)0.4727


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4867


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Davidson (28-7)0.5375
135. Chattanooga (16-13)0.5063
184. Geo Southern (18-12)0.4854
186. Wofford (12-16)0.4851
187. NC Greensboro (19-12)0.4841
191. Elon (13-18)0.4828
204. Appalachian St (17-13)0.4802
213. Furman (7-23)0.4763
214. The Citadel (2-24)0.4761
228. Coll Of Charltn (16-17)0.4711
235. Westrn Carolina (9-21)0.4688


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4837


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
132. Nevada (20-12)0.5087
144. New Mexico St (20-14)0.5035
164. Utah St (23-11)0.4942
180. Fresno St (12-19)0.4865
185. Boise St (24-9)0.4853
216. Hawaii (11-19)0.4746
230. San Jose St (13-19)0.4704
239. Idaho (7-21)0.4684
264. Louisiana Tech (6-24)0.4614


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4820


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
112. Valparaiso (20-14)0.5193
142. Oral Roberts (23-9)0.5040
197. Oakland (15-14)0.4821
206. Southern Utah (11-18)0.4793
221. Mo Kansas City (9-21)0.4737
238. Iupui (23-7)0.4685
248. Western Ill (10-18)0.4657
257. Centenary (9-21)0.4632


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4819


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
113. Siena (23-11)0.5193
130. Marist (18-14)0.5095
165. Fairfield (14-16)0.4940
193. Iona (12-20)0.4827
205. Loyola MD (19-14)0.4798
211. Canisius (6-25)0.4768
215. St Peters (6-24)0.4752
232. Niagara (19-10)0.4702
247. Rider (23-11)0.4658
296. Manhattan (12-19)0.4458


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4789


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
155. UC Irvine (17-16)0.4983
176. CS Fullerton (23-9)0.4872
182. Cal Poly (11-18)0.4861
198. UC Riverside (8-21)0.4819
200. UC Santa Barbara (22-9)0.4815
210. CS Northridge (19-10)0.4774
260. Long Beach St (6-25)0.4618
272. Pacific (20-10)0.4574


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4770


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
145. Ul Monroe (7-21)0.5035
157. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.4976
169. Nicholls St (9-21)0.4913
172. Northwestern St (12-17)0.4895
174. Texas A&M-CC (9-20)0.4884
179. Texas Arlington (17-12)0.4865
220. Lamar (15-11)0.4738
231. Sam Houston (19-8)0.4702
237. McNeese St (10-16)0.4687
242. Stephen Austin (22-6)0.4675
250. Texas St (10-16)0.4653
273. SE Louisiana (13-13)0.4571
305. Central Arkansas (10-16)0.4413


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4754


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
138. American (21-12)0.5054
148. Holy Cross (15-14)0.5027
158. Bucknell (12-19)0.4972
188. Lafayette (15-15)0.4836
256. Colgate (18-14)0.4636
262. Army (14-16)0.4615
289. Lehigh (14-15)0.4489
307. Navy (16-14)0.4401


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4646


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
192. Portland St (21-10)0.4827
223. Northrn Arizona (19-11)0.4734
240. Idaho St (10-19)0.4683
245. Eastern Wash (9-19)0.4662
253. Sacramento St (2-24)0.4648
266. Montana (12-16)0.4607
280. Weber St (15-13)0.4525
292. Montana St (13-15)0.4483


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4644


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
161. Yale (12-15)0.4962
227. Brown (19-10)0.4717
236. Cornell (21-6)0.4688
241. Harvard (8-22)0.4680
258. Princeton (5-22)0.4630
269. Pennsylvania (13-18)0.4578
274. Columbia (13-15)0.4556
320. Dartmouth (9-18)0.4346


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4633


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
178. Mt St Marys (19-15)0.4869
212. Monmouth NJ (7-24)0.4763
233. Fair Dickinson (8-20)0.4697
234. St Francis PA (5-23)0.4689
244. Central Conn (14-16)0.4673
267. Liu Brooklyn (15-15)0.4604
275. St Francis NY (7-22)0.4546
295. Wagner (23-8)0.4467
310. Robert Morris (26-8)0.4389


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4529


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
229. Umbc (23-9)0.4707
243. Hartford (18-16)0.4674
277. New Hampshire (8-20)0.4533
278. Albany NY (15-15)0.4533
281. Boston U (14-17)0.4525
282. Vermont (16-15)0.4524
293. Binghamton (14-16)0.4480
306. Stony Brook (7-23)0.4410
313. Maine (6-23)0.4375


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4525


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
111. NC Central (3-23)0.5194
152. Chicago St (8-17)0.4999
173. IPFW (11-18)0.4888
194. Presbyterian (2-25)0.4827
219. UC Davis (7-22)0.4739
279. Savannah St (10-17)0.4526
294. North Dakota St (14-13)0.4480
298. Longwood (6-22)0.4443
301. South Dakota St (7-21)0.4433
318. CSU Bakersfield (8-21)0.4348
324. Northern Colorado (11-16)0.4317
325. NJIT (0-29)0.4316
326. Utah Valley St (13-14)0.4254
330. Winston-Salem (10-18)0.4195
341. TX Pan American (13-13)0.3921


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4490


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
166. Winthrop (20-12)0.4936
263. NC Asheville (19-10)0.4615
297. Charleston Sou (6-20)0.4452
303. Radford (8-20)0.4426
308. Coast Carolina (10-15)0.4398
311. High Point (13-14)0.4389
317. Liberty (13-16)0.4360
321. VMI (10-15)0.4345


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4485


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
207. Belmont (24-9)0.4792
208. East Tenn St (18-13)0.4789
246. Fla Atlantic (15-18)0.4661
261. SC Upstate (6-22)0.4617
270. Gardner-Webb (15-16)0.4577
271. Jacksonville (17-13)0.4576
287. Lipscomb (14-16)0.4506
299. North Florida (2-26)0.4441
304. Fla Gulf Coast (10-21)0.4424
316. Campbell (9-20)0.4362
327. Stetson (15-16)0.4238
329. Kennesaw St (9-20)0.4198
333. Mercer (10-19)0.4129


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4445


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
183. Austin Peay (24-11)0.4859
251. Tennessee St (13-17)0.4651
283. Tenn Martin (15-16)0.4523
284. Eastern KY (12-16)0.4521
285. Murray St (16-13)0.4515
290. Morehead St (13-15)0.4486
314. SE Missouri St (10-19)0.4367
319. Samford (12-16)0.4347
322. Tennessee Tech (11-19)0.4344
332. Jacksonville St (5-22)0.4167
334. Eastern Ill (6-22)0.4118


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4444


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
249. Hampton (18-12)0.4654
254. Coppin St (14-21)0.4647
255. Delaware St (12-16)0.4643
268. NO Carolina A&T (11-16)0.4598
276. Morgan St (21-11)0.4540
288. Howard (6-26)0.4501
300. SO Carolina St (12-20)0.4436
309. Florida A&M (13-17)0.4391
312. MD Eastrn Shore (4-28)0.4381
331. Bethune Cookman (9-20)0.4172
340. Norfolk St (16-15)0.3927


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4208


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
291. Miss Valley St (15-16)0.4486
302. Texas Southern (7-25)0.4432
315. Jackson St (14-20)0.4367
323. Prairie View (7-22)0.4331
328. Southern (10-18)0.4209
335. Alcorn St (6-23)0.4092
336. Grambling (7-17)0.4087
337. Alabama St (17-11)0.4077
338. Alabama A&M (11-15)0.4043
339. Ark Pine Bluff (11-18)0.3957
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