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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Predictive / Points Rankings

By division
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Advantage = 2.8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Kansas (36-3)93.87-19-16-1
2. Memphis (38-2)92.65-25-011-0
3. North Carolina (36-3)91.47-27-07-1
4. UCLA (34-4)90.311-35-07-1
5. Duke (28-6)88.85-42-19-1
6. Wisconsin (31-5)88.53-54-07-0
7. Texas (30-7)88.15-58-06-2
8. Louisville (27-9)88.17-43-24-1
9. Georgetown (28-6)87.75-53-03-1
10. Davidson (28-7)87.72-41-03-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Tennessee (30-5)87.34-29-25-1
12. Stanford (28-8)86.45-54-16-2
13. Washington St (26-9)86.33-65-25-1
14. Marquette (24-10)86.24-81-14-1
15. Xavier (30-7)86.22-25-29-3
16. West Virginia (25-11)86.03-72-35-0
17. Michigan St (27-9)85.93-54-27-0
18. Pittsburgh (26-10)85.66-51-26-1
19. Butler (30-4)85.60-22-010-1
20. Drake (26-5)85.61-00-110-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Clemson (23-10)85.42-43-36-3
22. Notre Dame (25-8)85.33-53-23-1
23. Texas A&M (24-11)85.21-45-56-2
24. USC (21-12)84.82-74-27-2
25. Purdue (25-9)84.84-32-24-2
26. Connecticut (24-9)84.65-41-22-2
27. Indiana (25-8)84.42-42-28-1
28. Kansas St (20-12)84.33-62-33-3
29. Ohio St (24-13)84.22-83-27-1
30. Arizona (18-15)84.14-91-27-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Mississippi St (23-11)84.00-34-46-4
32. Gonzaga (25-8)83.90-44-13-2
33. BYU (27-8)83.81-33-24-2
34. Oklahoma (23-12)83.32-85-26-1
35. Western KY (27-7)83.31-21-10-3
36. Baylor (20-11)83.12-62-34-1
37. Arkansas (23-12)83.01-27-35-5
38. Miami Fla (22-11)83.02-42-17-3
39. Oregon (18-14)82.91-83-26-3
40. Nebraska (20-13)82.81-43-45-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. UNLV (26-8)82.70-24-35-1
42. New Mexico (24-9)82.70-01-44-3
43. Virginia Tech (21-14)82.70-51-39-2
44. Villanova (22-13)82.73-71-16-1
45. Kent (28-7)82.50-20-113-1
46. Massachusetts (25-11)82.50-11-410-3
47. Florida (24-12)82.30-21-68-3
48. Mississippi (24-11)82.31-17-34-3
49. St Josephs (21-13)82.32-13-23-7
50. Vanderbilt (26-8)82.31-13-47-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Syracuse (21-14)82.22-52-65-1
52. Arizona St (21-13)82.13-73-33-3
53. St Marys CA (24-7)81.71-12-33-1
54. Temple (21-13)81.71-33-35-4
55. Georgia Tech (15-17)81.72-51-65-5
56. Illinois St (24-10)81.70-30-29-2
57. South Alabama (24-7)81.60-13-21-1
58. Missouri (16-16)81.52-42-71-4
59. Southern Ill (18-15)81.31-32-16-7
60. Texas Tech (15-15)81.32-52-63-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. VA Commonwealth (24-8)81.30-00-24-2
62. Dayton (23-11)81.22-31-27-3
63. Houston (24-10)81.20-20-23-3
64. Wake Forest (17-13)81.11-23-23-7
65. Oklahoma St (16-16)81.02-62-44-4
66. Uab (23-11)81.00-20-15-4
67. Florida St (19-15)81.01-63-15-6
68. Kentucky (18-13)80.91-44-43-3
69. California (17-16)80.92-71-66-3
70. Illinois (16-19)80.91-80-56-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Washington (16-17)80.81-92-23-5
72. Maryland (19-15)80.81-40-38-5
73. Iupui (23-7)80.70-11-02-2
74. Creighton (21-11)80.60-42-17-4
75. Rhode Island (21-12)80.60-10-35-5
76. Oral Roberts (23-9)80.60-30-14-2
77. Akron (24-11)80.50-00-48-3
78. Minnesota (20-14)80.30-52-40-5
79. Charlotte (20-14)80.32-12-27-6
80. Duquesne (17-13)80.30-41-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Utah (17-15)80.10-02-83-3
82. Tulsa (25-14)80.10-30-18-4
83. Providence (15-16)79.90-83-22-2
84. Miami Ohio (17-16)79.91-31-34-6
85. Alabama (17-16)79.90-44-62-2
86. Bradley (21-17)79.81-30-16-10
87. CS Fullerton (23-9)79.70-10-10-1
88. Siena (23-11)79.51-11-20-1
89. Georgia (16-17)79.30-44-74-2
90. George Mason (23-11)79.30-11-23-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Virginia (17-16)79.30-51-32-7
92. Ohio (20-13)79.10-11-14-7
93. Missouri St (16-16)79.01-20-13-9
94. Western Mich (20-12)79.01-00-23-4
95. NC Greensboro (19-12)79.00-30-21-1
96. San Diego St (19-13)78.90-02-72-3
97. Stephen Austin (22-6)78.90-01-10-1
98. Cleveland St (19-13)78.81-20-22-3
99. Illinois Chi (17-15)78.70-30-02-4
100. SO Mississippi (15-14)78.60-30-11-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Nevada (20-12)78.60-10-10-3
102. Cincinnati (13-19)78.43-71-22-4
103. Winthrop (20-12)78.30-31-23-1
104. Seton Hall (17-15)78.21-70-22-2
105. South Carolina (14-18)78.20-52-63-4
106. North Carolina St (15-16)78.21-73-12-5
107. Northern Iowa (17-14)78.10-21-05-8
108. Central Florida (16-15)78.10-10-42-5
109. Utah St (23-11)78.10-00-11-2
110. Valparaiso (20-14)78.10-40-14-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. UC Santa Barbara (22-9)78.00-21-12-0
112. Texas El Paso (19-14)78.00-20-24-8
113. Wright St (21-10)78.01-10-05-3
114. LSU (12-18)78.00-22-72-5
115. Boston College (14-17)77.90-61-44-6
116. Boise St (24-9)77.90-21-00-1
117. San Diego (21-14)77.90-12-53-4
118. Belmont (24-9)77.70-20-01-0
119. St Louis (15-15)77.70-22-23-7
120. Rider (23-11)77.70-00-11-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Iowa St (13-18)77.71-61-52-5
122. Cornell (21-6)77.70-20-01-2
123. Penn St (15-16)77.71-52-32-3
124. Colorado (11-20)77.60-63-60-5
125. New Mexico St (20-14)77.50-41-10-1
126. DePaul (11-19)77.40-91-41-4
127. South Florida (12-19)77.30-60-23-5
128. Indiana St (14-16)77.20-50-04-7
129. Portland St (21-10)77.20-30-02-2
130. Umbc (23-9)77.10-20-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Old Dominion (18-16)77.10-41-02-4
132. CS Northridge (19-10)77.00-00-12-4
133. Geo Southern (18-12)76.80-20-13-3
134. Sam Houston (19-8)76.70-00-02-2
135. Iowa (13-19)76.71-61-30-4
136. Robert Morris (26-8)76.70-00-00-2
137. Niagara (19-10)76.60-00-00-3
138. Auburn (14-16)76.60-32-71-3
139. Richmond (16-15)76.50-21-35-3
140. La Salle (14-17)76.50-11-33-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Brown (19-10)76.40-10-10-3
142. Marist (18-14)76.20-00-20-5
143. Appalachian St (17-13)76.20-21-01-3
144. North Texas (17-11)76.20-10-22-0
145. Pacific (20-10)76.10-00-12-1
146. St Johns (11-19)76.10-90-41-2
147. Michigan (10-22)76.10-101-31-3
148. American (21-12)76.00-20-01-1
149. Oakland (15-14)76.00-21-01-5
150. Wichita St (11-20)76.00-20-14-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Marshall (14-14)76.00-30-02-4
152. North Dakota St (14-13)75.90-00-11-5
153. Wisc Green Bay (15-15)75.90-40-22-3
154. Lamar (15-11)75.80-00-20-3
155. Loyola MD (19-14)75.70-10-02-3
156. Northrn Arizona (19-11)75.60-11-20-0
157. NC Wilmington (20-13)75.50-00-12-6
158. Air Force (14-14)75.50-11-51-5
159. Chattanooga (16-13)75.50-30-11-3
160. UC Irvine (17-16)75.50-10-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Fordham (11-17)75.40-21-23-8
162. Northeastern (14-17)75.40-00-11-7
163. Wisc Milwaukee (13-16)75.30-50-01-4
164. Middle Tenn St (16-15)75.30-20-32-2
165. Austin Peay (24-11)75.20-20-10-1
166. Tulane (16-15)75.20-20-02-7
167. Coll Of Charltn (16-17)75.10-20-11-4
168. Geo Washington (9-17)75.10-30-32-5
169. Santa Clara (13-16)74.80-10-31-3
170. East Tenn St (18-13)74.80-00-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Mt St Marys (19-15)74.80-10-20-0
172. Central Mich (13-16)74.70-00-13-9
173. NC Asheville (19-10)74.70-20-20-0
174. Morgan St (21-11)74.70-00-30-1
175. Texas Arlington (17-12)74.30-10-01-2
176. New Orleans (17-13)74.20-00-10-4
177. Holy Cross (15-14)74.10-01-01-3
178. Rutgers (11-20)74.11-71-30-2
179. TCU (13-16)74.00-11-72-3
180. Vermont (16-15)74.00-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Eastern Mich (14-17)74.00-10-13-6
182. Loyola Chi (10-19)74.00-30-01-6
183. Bowling Green (13-17)74.00-01-12-8
184. Wyoming (10-18)73.70-00-62-3
185. Arkansas Lr (18-11)73.70-00-21-2
186. Northwestern (7-22)73.70-70-41-5
187. Elon (13-18)73.70-30-10-5
188. Colgate (18-14)73.70-10-00-1
189. Delaware (14-17)73.60-00-01-5
190. Lafayette (15-15)73.50-10-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Weber St (15-13)73.50-00-20-2
192. William & Mary (15-16)73.40-10-01-4
193. Fairfield (14-16)73.40-10-11-2
194. Ul Lafayette (14-15)73.40-10-10-4
195. Wagner (23-8)73.40-00-10-0
196. Albany NY (15-15)73.40-10-00-1
197. Toledo (11-19)73.30-11-32-8
198. High Point (13-14)73.20-00-10-3
199. Navy (16-14)73.10-00-00-1
200. Wofford (12-16)73.01-40-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. SE Louisiana (13-13)73.00-00-10-2
202. IPFW (11-18)73.00-30-20-5
203. Montana (12-16)72.90-10-10-2
204. Evansville (8-21)72.90-30-02-9
205. Gardner-Webb (15-16)72.90-10-31-1
206. Buffalo (9-20)72.90-10-30-8
207. Sacred Heart (18-14)72.80-00-00-1
208. Central Conn (14-16)72.80-00-10-0
209. Jacksonville (17-13)72.60-20-10-2
210. James Madison (13-17)72.60-00-02-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Lipscomb (14-16)72.60-10-10-0
212. Hofstra (12-18)72.50-00-11-4
213. Fla Atlantic (15-18)72.40-10-20-4
214. Hampton (18-12)72.40-00-12-3
215. Liu Brooklyn (15-15)72.40-10-00-0
216. Fresno St (12-19)72.40-10-20-2
217. Southern Utah (11-18)72.30-00-20-6
218. East Carolina (9-18)72.30-20-02-5
219. Utah Valley St (13-14)72.30-10-00-0
220. Murray St (16-13)72.20-00-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Youngstown St (7-21)72.10-40-11-5
222. Detroit (6-23)72.00-31-01-4
223. Denver (10-19)72.00-00-20-1
224. Liberty (13-16)72.00-00-10-3
225. Pepperdine (10-21)71.80-10-40-3
226. St Bonaventure (8-22)71.70-10-31-6
227. Boston U (14-17)71.70-10-20-0
228. Binghamton (14-16)71.70-00-00-1
229. Northwestern St (12-17)71.70-10-11-3
230. Towson (13-18)71.70-00-00-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Alabama St (17-11)71.70-00-10-3
232. Ball St (6-24)71.70-30-20-6
233. Iona (12-20)71.70-20-11-2
234. Troy St (10-19)71.60-00-30-3
235. Bucknell (12-19)71.60-00-10-2
236. TX Pan American (13-13)71.50-10-00-4
237. Drexel (12-20)71.50-00-10-6
238. McNeese St (10-16)71.50-10-01-2
239. Nicholls St (9-21)71.50-10-11-5
240. Yale (12-15)71.40-30-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Quinnipiac (15-15)71.30-00-10-0
242. Tennessee St (13-17)71.30-00-21-2
243. Hartford (18-16)71.30-10-20-1
244. Tenn Martin (15-16)71.30-10-30-0
245. Georgia St (9-21)71.10-00-01-5
246. Westrn Carolina (9-21)71.00-20-10-3
247. Chicago St (8-17)71.00-20-10-6
248. Montana St (13-15)71.00-00-10-1
249. Northern Colorado (11-16)70.90-00-11-0
250. Columbia (13-15)70.90-00-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Hawaii (11-19)70.90-00-20-2
252. Lehigh (14-15)70.80-00-00-1
253. Cal Poly (11-18)70.70-10-10-3
254. Manhattan (12-19)70.60-00-01-2
255. Florida Intl (8-20)70.60-10-30-4
256. Army (14-16)70.50-00-00-1
257. Mo Kansas City (9-21)70.50-10-10-6
258. Tennessee Tech (11-19)70.50-00-10-2
259. San Jose St (13-19)70.40-10-00-0
260. VMI (10-15)70.40-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Western Ill (10-18)70.40-10-10-5
262. Eastern Wash (9-19)70.40-20-20-1
263. Ul Monroe (7-21)70.30-20-40-2
264. San Francisco (9-21)70.30-10-40-2
265. Delaware St (12-16)70.30-20-10-3
266. Colorado St (6-24)70.20-10-70-5
267. Texas A&M-CC (9-20)70.10-00-21-3
268. Oregon St (6-24)70.10-80-50-6
269. Stetson (15-16)70.10-00-20-3
270. Centenary (9-21)70.10-00-12-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Texas St (10-16)70.00-20-00-2
272. Tex San Antonio (9-17)70.00-10-10-4
273. Portland (8-22)69.90-00-40-4
274. Northern Ill (6-22)69.90-10-21-6
275. Arkansas St (8-20)69.80-10-10-2
276. Pennsylvania (13-18)69.70-10-30-2
277. Central Arkansas (10-16)69.50-00-00-4
278. Morehead St (13-15)69.40-10-10-1
279. Coast Carolina (10-15)69.40-00-00-1
280. Eastern KY (12-16)69.40-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. South Dakota St (7-21)69.40-00-00-5
282. Savannah St (10-17)69.20-20-21-2
283. SMU (8-20)69.20-20-00-8
284. New Hampshire (8-20)68.90-00-00-1
285. Norfolk St (16-15)68.80-00-10-0
286. Furman (7-23)68.80-30-01-2
287. Coppin St (14-21)68.80-20-30-3
288. Idaho St (10-19)68.60-20-10-2
289. Harvard (8-22)68.60-10-00-1
290. St Peters (6-24)68.50-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. UC Riverside (8-21)68.50-10-10-6
292. Samford (12-16)68.50-10-00-1
293. Dartmouth (9-18)68.20-00-00-1
294. Radford (8-20)68.20-20-00-0
295. Florida A&M (13-17)68.20-20-40-0
296. Idaho (7-21)68.10-10-10-1
297. SC Upstate (6-22)68.00-00-00-6
298. Mercer (10-19)67.81-00-00-1
299. Campbell (9-20)67.70-00-00-0
300. NO Carolina A&T (11-16)67.70-30-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Miss Valley St (15-16)67.70-30-20-2
302. Canisius (6-25)67.60-10-00-2
303. Long Beach St (6-25)67.40-00-10-4
304. Fair Dickinson (8-20)67.30-00-10-3
305. St Francis NY (7-22)67.30-00-00-1
306. Monmouth NJ (7-24)67.20-10-01-0
307. Princeton (5-22)67.10-10-00-1
308. SE Missouri St (10-19)67.10-10-00-3
309. Fla Gulf Coast (10-21)66.90-20-00-3
310. Presbyterian (2-25)66.90-10-40-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Stony Brook (7-23)66.90-00-10-1
312. Kennesaw St (9-20)66.80-00-20-1
313. SO Carolina St (12-20)66.80-10-00-0
314. Jackson St (14-20)66.80-10-20-3
315. Charleston Sou (6-20)66.70-00-20-0
316. Rice (3-27)66.60-30-20-7
317. Southern (10-18)66.50-00-10-3
318. UC Davis (7-22)66.40-20-00-2
319. CSU Bakersfield (8-21)66.40-00-00-3
320. St Francis PA (5-23)66.20-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Alabama A&M (11-15)66.10-00-20-1
322. Winston-Salem (10-18)65.90-00-10-2
323. Bethune Cookman (9-20)65.80-10-00-1
324. Eastern Ill (6-22)65.60-00-00-0
325. Louisiana Tech (6-24)65.40-00-10-2
326. Maine (6-23)65.40-00-10-2
327. Longwood (6-22)65.40-00-20-2
328. Jacksonville St (5-22)65.20-00-00-1
329. Ark Pine Bluff (11-18)65.20-10-00-1
330. NC Central (3-23)64.70-30-30-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Howard (6-26)64.20-00-00-4
332. Loyola Marymnt (5-26)63.90-00-50-3
333. The Citadel (2-24)63.90-40-00-2
334. Prairie View (7-22)63.40-20-10-1
335. Texas Southern (7-25)62.90-20-00-2
336. Grambling (7-17)62.80-00-00-3
337. Sacramento St (2-24)62.50-20-20-0
338. North Florida (2-26)62.40-10-20-2
339. Alcorn St (6-23)62.00-00-20-1
340. MD Eastrn Shore (4-28)60.50-10-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
341. NJIT (0-29)55.50-00-00-1
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