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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Wins Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Advantage = 4.3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Kansas (36-3)102.47-19-16-1
2. Memphis (38-2)102.05-25-08-0
3. North Carolina (36-3)100.67-25-011-1
4. UCLA (34-4)99.811-37-05-1
5. Texas (30-7)96.25-59-05-2
6. Tennessee (30-5)95.94-27-27-1
7. Wisconsin (31-5)95.23-54-08-0
8. Georgetown (28-6)94.05-53-03-1
9. Duke (28-6)93.75-41-111-1
10. Stanford (28-8)93.25-55-26-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Louisville (27-9)92.77-43-35-0
12. Davidson (28-7)92.62-41-00-3
13. Xavier (30-7)92.32-27-15-4
14. Butler (30-4)92.00-21-014-2
15. Washington St (26-9)91.43-67-24-1
16. Drake (26-5)91.31-03-27-2
17. Michigan St (27-9)91.23-54-28-0
18. Pittsburgh (26-10)90.66-51-35-0
19. Notre Dame (25-8)90.13-53-23-1
20. Marquette (24-10)90.14-81-14-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. West Virginia (25-11)89.63-72-34-0
22. Purdue (25-9)89.04-32-23-2
23. USC (21-12)89.02-76-36-1
24. Texas A&M (24-11)89.01-45-56-2
25. Clemson (23-10)88.92-42-38-3
26. Connecticut (24-9)88.95-41-22-3
27. Indiana (25-8)88.52-43-27-1
28. Oklahoma (23-12)88.52-84-27-1
29. Kent (28-7)87.90-22-110-1
30. Gonzaga (25-8)87.60-43-25-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Western KY (27-7)87.61-21-11-3
32. Vanderbilt (26-8)87.51-12-39-4
33. Ohio St (24-13)87.12-83-27-1
34. Kansas St (20-12)87.03-62-33-3
35. BYU (27-8)86.91-31-22-2
36. Mississippi St (23-11)86.50-33-47-4
37. Arkansas (23-12)86.51-26-35-5
38. Villanova (22-13)86.43-71-06-3
39. Miami Fla (22-11)86.42-42-07-5
40. UNLV (26-8)86.30-23-23-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Baylor (20-11)86.22-62-34-1
42. Massachusetts (25-11)86.10-11-29-6
43. Arizona (18-15)86.04-91-46-1
44. Illinois St (24-10)85.70-30-39-2
45. Dayton (23-11)85.32-31-27-2
46. St Marys CA (24-7)85.11-12-33-3
47. Oregon (18-14)84.91-84-44-1
48. Arizona St (21-13)84.93-73-23-4
49. Mississippi (24-11)84.91-14-36-3
50. Nebraska (20-13)84.91-44-44-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. St Josephs (21-13)84.62-13-33-5
52. Creighton (21-11)84.60-41-28-3
53. Temple (21-13)84.61-31-26-5
54. Florida (24-12)84.50-22-66-3
55. South Alabama (24-7)84.40-13-21-1
56. Kentucky (18-13)84.41-43-34-5
57. Syracuse (21-14)84.32-51-66-1
58. Virginia Tech (21-14)84.20-51-36-3
59. Oklahoma St (16-16)83.82-62-44-4
60. Florida St (19-15)83.51-62-06-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. VA Commonwealth (24-8)83.30-00-24-2
62. Southern Ill (18-15)83.11-33-45-5
63. Akron (24-11)83.10-00-58-2
64. New Mexico (24-9)83.10-01-42-1
65. Texas Tech (15-15)83.12-52-53-3
66. Uab (23-11)83.00-20-04-4
67. Oral Roberts (23-9)82.80-30-14-2
68. Georgia Tech (15-17)82.82-50-55-4
69. California (17-16)82.62-71-74-1
70. Charlotte (20-14)82.62-11-37-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Wright St (21-10)82.51-10-15-5
72. Maryland (19-15)82.51-40-18-6
73. Wake Forest (17-13)82.41-22-14-9
74. Cornell (21-6)82.20-20-01-2
75. Cleveland St (19-13)82.11-20-36-3
76. Houston (24-10)82.10-20-23-3
77. Bradley (21-17)82.11-31-25-9
78. Stephen Austin (22-6)82.00-01-11-1
79. Iupui (23-7)82.00-11-02-2
80. Tulsa (25-14)81.90-30-16-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Missouri (16-16)81.92-42-71-4
82. Minnesota (20-14)81.80-52-40-5
83. Rhode Island (21-12)81.70-11-33-5
84. Siena (23-11)81.61-11-11-3
85. Washington (16-17)81.41-93-31-5
86. Illinois (16-19)81.31-81-55-2
87. Providence (15-16)81.30-83-22-2
88. Georgia (16-17)81.30-44-54-4
89. Miami Ohio (17-16)81.21-31-44-7
90. Valparaiso (20-14)81.10-40-17-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. CS Fullerton (23-9)80.80-10-20-1
92. San Diego (21-14)80.70-14-51-4
93. Western Mich (20-12)80.71-00-23-4
94. North Carolina St (15-16)80.71-72-13-4
95. George Mason (23-11)80.60-12-22-1
96. Alabama (17-16)80.60-43-51-3
97. Ohio (20-13)80.30-11-25-6
98. Northern Iowa (17-14)80.10-22-23-5
99. Boise St (24-9)80.00-21-01-1
100. Illinois Chi (17-15)80.00-30-14-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Virginia (17-16)80.00-51-13-9
102. Seton Hall (17-15)79.91-70-31-2
103. Missouri St (16-16)79.91-20-43-6
104. Belmont (24-9)79.90-20-01-1
105. UC Santa Barbara (22-9)79.70-21-12-0
106. Robert Morris (26-8)79.60-00-00-1
107. San Diego St (19-13)79.50-01-63-3
108. Rider (23-11)79.40-00-11-3
109. NC Greensboro (19-12)79.40-30-11-1
110. Cincinnati (13-19)79.43-71-32-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. St Louis (15-15)79.30-21-54-2
112. Duquesne (17-13)79.30-41-11-3
113. Utah (17-15)79.30-01-62-4
114. Portland St (21-10)79.20-30-02-2
115. Indiana St (14-16)79.10-51-14-5
116. Penn St (15-16)79.01-51-23-4
117. Umbc (23-9)78.80-20-10-0
118. South Carolina (14-18)78.70-52-43-7
119. Richmond (16-15)78.70-21-14-4
120. SO Mississippi (15-14)78.60-30-11-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Boston College (14-17)78.50-61-25-6
122. Nevada (20-12)78.40-10-12-5
123. Utah St (23-11)78.30-00-23-1
124. Winthrop (20-12)78.30-31-23-0
125. Niagara (19-10)78.20-00-00-2
126. Brown (19-10)78.20-10-10-5
127. Sam Houston (19-8)78.20-00-02-1
128. Texas El Paso (19-14)78.10-20-13-7
129. DePaul (11-19)78.00-91-41-4
130. American (21-12)77.90-20-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Iowa St (13-18)77.81-61-52-6
132. Geo Southern (18-12)77.70-20-02-3
133. LSU (12-18)77.70-21-83-4
134. CS Northridge (19-10)77.70-00-12-3
135. Wisc Green Bay (15-15)77.70-40-24-6
136. Old Dominion (18-16)77.50-40-03-3
137. Marist (18-14)77.40-00-21-5
138. La Salle (14-17)77.40-11-31-5
139. Austin Peay (24-11)77.20-20-10-2
140. NC Wilmington (20-13)77.00-00-22-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Wagner (23-8)76.80-00-10-0
142. Pacific (20-10)76.80-00-12-1
143. Loyola MD (19-14)76.70-10-12-2
144. Colorado (11-20)76.70-63-50-6
145. Auburn (14-16)76.60-32-61-4
146. Central Florida (16-15)76.60-10-41-4
147. Chattanooga (16-13)76.60-30-10-3
148. North Texas (17-11)76.50-10-22-0
149. New Mexico St (20-14)76.50-40-03-3
150. St Johns (11-19)76.40-90-31-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Appalachian St (17-13)76.40-21-00-1
152. South Florida (12-19)76.30-60-23-5
153. Wisc Milwaukee (13-16)76.30-50-03-7
154. Central Mich (13-16)76.20-00-13-8
155. Middle Tenn St (16-15)76.10-20-32-2
156. Marshall (14-14)76.00-30-03-4
157. Lamar (15-11)75.80-00-20-3
158. Tulane (16-15)75.80-20-12-4
159. Iowa (13-19)75.71-61-31-4
160. Morgan St (21-11)75.60-00-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Texas Arlington (17-12)75.50-10-01-2
162. Fordham (11-17)75.50-21-12-7
163. Northrn Arizona (19-11)75.40-11-20-0
164. Oakland (15-14)75.30-21-01-4
165. East Tenn St (18-13)75.30-00-21-2
166. Michigan (10-22)75.20-101-31-3
167. Arkansas Lr (18-11)75.00-00-21-2
168. UC Irvine (17-16)75.00-10-10-4
169. Air Force (14-14)75.00-11-30-3
170. NC Asheville (19-10)74.90-20-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. William & Mary (15-16)74.90-10-01-5
172. New Orleans (17-13)74.90-00-11-3
173. Geo Washington (9-17)74.80-31-11-6
174. Mt St Marys (19-15)74.70-10-20-0
175. Northeastern (14-17)74.70-00-11-7
176. Toledo (11-19)74.60-11-41-7
177. Loyola Chi (10-19)74.30-30-03-9
178. Wichita St (11-20)74.20-20-33-7
179. Bowling Green (13-17)74.20-01-22-6
180. Fairfield (14-16)74.10-10-01-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. North Dakota St (14-13)74.10-00-01-6
182. Coll Of Charltn (16-17)74.10-20-11-2
183. Holy Cross (15-14)73.80-00-12-2
184. Delaware (14-17)73.70-00-01-5
185. Sacred Heart (18-14)73.60-00-00-1
186. Colgate (18-14)73.60-10-01-1
187. Eastern Mich (14-17)73.60-11-12-6
188. Hampton (18-12)73.20-00-12-2
189. Ul Lafayette (14-15)73.00-10-10-4
190. Rutgers (11-20)72.81-71-20-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Elon (13-18)72.70-30-00-3
192. TCU (13-16)72.70-10-61-2
193. Jacksonville (17-13)72.60-20-00-3
194. SE Louisiana (13-13)72.50-00-10-2
195. Lafayette (15-15)72.50-10-10-0
196. Wofford (12-16)72.41-40-10-1
197. Northwestern St (12-17)72.30-10-11-3
198. Navy (16-14)72.20-00-00-0
199. Santa Clara (13-16)71.80-10-50-3
200. Weber St (15-13)71.80-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Hartford (18-16)71.60-10-20-0
202. Hofstra (12-18)71.50-00-01-5
203. IPFW (11-18)71.50-30-20-6
204. Fla Atlantic (15-18)71.40-10-20-4
205. Vermont (16-15)71.40-00-00-2
206. Wyoming (10-18)71.30-00-40-3
207. Towson (13-18)71.30-00-00-5
208. Northwestern (7-22)71.10-70-41-4
209. Youngstown St (7-21)71.00-40-11-9
210. Evansville (8-21)71.00-30-21-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Bucknell (12-19)70.80-00-11-2
212. Quinnipiac (15-15)70.80-00-10-1
213. James Madison (13-17)70.70-00-02-3
214. Utah Valley St (13-14)70.60-10-00-2
215. Murray St (16-13)70.50-00-20-0
216. McNeese St (10-16)70.50-10-00-2
217. Central Conn (14-16)70.40-00-10-0
218. Albany NY (15-15)70.40-10-00-2
219. Drexel (12-20)70.40-00-00-6
220. Yale (12-15)70.30-30-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Army (14-16)70.30-00-00-2
222. Buffalo (9-20)70.20-10-30-8
223. Southern Utah (11-18)70.20-00-10-8
224. High Point (13-14)70.10-00-10-2
225. Gardner-Webb (15-16)70.10-10-31-1
226. East Carolina (9-18)70.10-20-03-3
227. Liu Brooklyn (15-15)70.10-10-00-0
228. Lehigh (14-15)70.00-00-00-2
229. Lipscomb (14-16)69.90-10-10-0
230. Boston U (14-17)69.90-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Delaware St (12-16)69.70-20-20-2
232. Tex San Antonio (9-17)69.60-10-10-5
233. Columbia (13-15)69.50-00-20-2
234. Cal Poly (11-18)69.40-10-20-3
235. Chicago St (8-17)69.40-20-20-6
236. Montana St (13-15)69.30-00-21-0
237. Troy St (10-19)69.30-00-30-3
238. Iona (12-20)69.30-20-11-2
239. Pepperdine (10-21)69.30-10-60-4
240. Montana (12-16)69.30-10-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Binghamton (14-16)69.20-00-00-2
242. Detroit (6-23)69.10-31-01-9
243. Tenn Martin (15-16)69.10-10-30-0
244. Tennessee St (13-17)69.00-00-21-2
245. Pennsylvania (13-18)69.00-10-20-4
246. TX Pan American (13-13)69.00-10-00-2
247. Denver (10-19)69.00-00-20-1
248. St Bonaventure (8-22)68.90-10-20-7
249. Texas A&M-CC (9-20)68.70-00-21-3
250. Alabama St (17-11)68.50-00-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Nicholls St (9-21)68.50-10-21-4
252. Stetson (15-16)68.30-00-10-4
253. Western Ill (10-18)68.30-10-10-5
254. Coppin St (14-21)68.30-20-50-1
255. Liberty (13-16)68.30-00-00-3
256. Texas St (10-16)68.30-20-00-2
257. Georgia St (9-21)68.20-00-01-5
258. Norfolk St (16-15)68.10-00-10-0
259. Fresno St (12-19)68.10-10-30-2
260. Westrn Carolina (9-21)68.10-20-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. San Jose St (13-19)68.10-10-00-3
262. Morehead St (13-15)68.10-10-10-1
263. Manhattan (12-19)68.10-00-01-2
264. Florida Intl (8-20)68.00-10-30-4
265. Northern Colorado (11-16)68.00-00-10-0
266. Ball St (6-24)67.80-30-20-7
267. Mo Kansas City (9-21)67.70-10-10-7
268. Northern Ill (6-22)67.70-10-21-7
269. Savannah St (10-17)67.50-20-20-2
270. NO Carolina A&T (11-16)67.40-30-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Idaho St (10-19)67.40-20-10-2
272. Hawaii (11-19)67.30-00-00-9
273. Coast Carolina (10-15)67.30-00-00-2
274. Central Arkansas (10-16)67.20-00-00-3
275. Centenary (9-21)67.10-00-12-5
276. Florida A&M (13-17)67.00-20-30-1
277. VMI (10-15)66.90-00-10-0
278. Ul Monroe (7-21)66.90-20-40-2
279. San Francisco (9-21)66.90-10-60-3
280. Samford (12-16)66.90-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Eastern KY (12-16)66.70-10-10-1
282. SMU (8-20)66.60-20-10-6
283. Tennessee Tech (11-19)66.50-00-00-3
284. Arkansas St (8-20)66.10-10-10-2
285. Furman (7-23)66.00-30-00-1
286. Eastern Wash (9-19)66.00-20-00-3
287. Colorado St (6-24)66.00-10-50-3
288. Miss Valley St (15-16)65.70-30-20-2
289. UC Riverside (8-21)65.70-10-10-5
290. Oregon St (6-24)65.70-80-70-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Portland (8-22)65.40-00-60-3
292. SO Carolina St (12-20)65.00-10-00-1
293. Radford (8-20)64.70-20-00-0
294. Dartmouth (9-18)64.60-00-00-3
295. Fla Gulf Coast (10-21)64.20-20-10-2
296. Harvard (8-22)64.20-10-00-3
297. Idaho (7-21)64.10-10-20-2
298. South Dakota St (7-21)64.10-00-01-5
299. Fair Dickinson (8-20)63.70-00-00-4
300. Winston-Salem (10-18)63.70-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Canisius (6-25)63.70-10-00-2
302. New Hampshire (8-20)63.50-00-00-1
303. NC Central (3-23)63.40-30-20-6
304. SE Missouri St (10-19)63.30-10-10-2
305. Mercer (10-19)63.21-00-00-1
306. Jackson St (14-20)63.10-10-20-3
307. St Peters (6-24)63.10-00-00-3
308. Kennesaw St (9-20)63.10-00-20-1
309. SC Upstate (6-22)63.00-00-00-3
310. Monmouth NJ (7-24)63.00-10-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Campbell (9-20)62.70-00-00-0
312. St Francis NY (7-22)62.60-00-00-1
313. CSU Bakersfield (8-21)62.30-00-11-3
314. Charleston Sou (6-20)62.30-00-00-2
315. UC Davis (7-22)62.30-20-00-2
316. Alabama A&M (11-15)62.20-00-20-1
317. Bethune Cookman (9-20)62.00-10-00-0
318. Long Beach St (6-25)61.60-00-10-4
319. Princeton (5-22)61.50-10-10-2
320. Loyola Marymnt (5-26)61.00-00-61-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Southern (10-18)60.90-00-10-3
322. Longwood (6-22)60.80-00-20-1
323. Stony Brook (7-23)60.80-00-10-2
324. Eastern Ill (6-22)60.70-00-00-0
325. St Francis PA (5-23)60.60-00-10-0
326. Louisiana Tech (6-24)60.30-00-10-3
327. Rice (3-27)60.30-30-20-4
328. Ark Pine Bluff (11-18)60.30-10-00-1
329. Howard (6-26)59.90-00-10-1
330. Presbyterian (2-25)59.80-10-30-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Maine (6-23)59.20-00-10-2
332. Jacksonville St (5-22)58.90-00-00-1
333. Grambling (7-17)57.60-00-00-3
334. The Citadel (2-24)57.60-40-00-0
335. Prairie View (7-22)57.20-20-10-1
336. Texas Southern (7-25)56.80-20-00-2
337. Alcorn St (6-23)55.80-00-20-0
338. MD Eastrn Shore (4-28)55.70-10-10-3
339. Sacramento St (2-24)55.10-20-20-0
340. North Florida (2-26)53.30-10-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
341. NJIT (0-29)41.80-00-00-2
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