NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Wins Power Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Court Advantage = 4.3

BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 86.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (36-3)102.47-19-16-1
5. Texas (30-7)96.25-59-05-2
24. Texas A&M (24-11)89.01-45-56-2
28. Oklahoma (23-12)88.52-84-27-1
34. Kansas St (20-12)87.03-62-33-3
41. Baylor (20-11)86.22-62-34-1
50. Nebraska (20-13)84.91-44-44-3
59. Oklahoma St (16-16)83.82-62-44-4
65. Texas Tech (15-15)83.12-52-53-3
81. Missouri (16-16)81.92-42-71-4
131. Iowa St (13-18)77.81-61-52-6
144. Colorado (11-20)76.70-63-50-6


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 85.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. UCLA (34-4)99.811-37-05-1
10. Stanford (28-8)93.25-55-26-1
15. Washington St (26-9)91.43-67-24-1
23. USC (21-12)89.02-76-36-1
43. Arizona (18-15)86.04-91-46-1
47. Oregon (18-14)84.91-84-44-1
48. Arizona St (21-13)84.93-73-23-4
69. California (17-16)82.62-71-74-1
85. Washington (16-17)81.41-93-31-5
290. Oregon St (6-24)65.70-80-70-4


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 85.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. North Carolina (36-3)100.67-25-011-1
9. Duke (28-6)93.75-41-111-1
25. Clemson (23-10)88.92-42-38-3
39. Miami Fla (22-11)86.42-42-07-5
58. Virginia Tech (21-14)84.20-51-36-3
60. Florida St (19-15)83.51-62-06-8
68. Georgia Tech (15-17)82.82-50-55-4
72. Maryland (19-15)82.51-40-18-6
73. Wake Forest (17-13)82.41-22-14-9
94. North Carolina St (15-16)80.71-72-13-4
101. Virginia (17-16)80.00-51-13-9
121. Boston College (14-17)78.50-61-25-6


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 84.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Georgetown (28-6)94.05-53-03-1
11. Louisville (27-9)92.77-43-35-0
18. Pittsburgh (26-10)90.66-51-35-0
19. Notre Dame (25-8)90.13-53-23-1
20. Marquette (24-10)90.14-81-14-1
21. West Virginia (25-11)89.63-72-34-0
26. Connecticut (24-9)88.95-41-22-3
38. Villanova (22-13)86.43-71-06-3
57. Syracuse (21-14)84.32-51-66-1
87. Providence (15-16)81.30-83-22-2
102. Seton Hall (17-15)79.91-70-31-2
110. Cincinnati (13-19)79.43-71-32-4
129. DePaul (11-19)78.00-91-41-4
150. St Johns (11-19)76.40-90-31-3
152. South Florida (12-19)76.30-60-23-5
190. Rutgers (11-20)72.81-71-20-3


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Tennessee (30-5)95.94-27-27-1
32. Vanderbilt (26-8)87.51-12-39-4
36. Mississippi St (23-11)86.50-33-47-4
37. Arkansas (23-12)86.51-26-35-5
49. Mississippi (24-11)84.91-14-36-3
54. Florida (24-12)84.50-22-66-3
56. Kentucky (18-13)84.41-43-34-5
88. Georgia (16-17)81.30-44-54-4
96. Alabama (17-16)80.60-43-51-3
118. South Carolina (14-18)78.70-52-43-7
133. LSU (12-18)77.70-21-83-4
145. Auburn (14-16)76.60-32-61-4


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 83.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Wisconsin (31-5)95.23-54-08-0
17. Michigan St (27-9)91.23-54-28-0
22. Purdue (25-9)89.04-32-23-2
27. Indiana (25-8)88.52-43-27-1
33. Ohio St (24-13)87.12-83-27-1
82. Minnesota (20-14)81.80-52-40-5
86. Illinois (16-19)81.31-81-55-2
116. Penn St (15-16)79.01-51-23-4
159. Iowa (13-19)75.71-61-31-4
166. Michigan (10-22)75.20-101-31-3
208. Northwestern (7-22)71.10-70-41-4


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 81.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Drake (26-5)91.31-03-27-2
44. Illinois St (24-10)85.70-30-39-2
52. Creighton (21-11)84.60-41-28-3
62. Southern Ill (18-15)83.11-33-45-5
77. Bradley (21-17)82.11-31-25-9
98. Northern Iowa (17-14)80.10-22-23-5
103. Missouri St (16-16)79.91-20-43-6
115. Indiana St (14-16)79.10-51-14-5
178. Wichita St (11-20)74.20-20-33-7
210. Evansville (8-21)71.00-30-21-8


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 80.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Xavier (30-7)92.32-27-15-4
42. Massachusetts (25-11)86.10-11-29-6
45. Dayton (23-11)85.32-31-27-2
51. St Josephs (21-13)84.62-13-33-5
53. Temple (21-13)84.61-31-26-5
70. Charlotte (20-14)82.62-11-37-5
83. Rhode Island (21-12)81.70-11-33-5
111. St Louis (15-15)79.30-21-54-2
112. Duquesne (17-13)79.30-41-11-3
119. Richmond (16-15)78.70-21-14-4
138. La Salle (14-17)77.40-11-31-5
162. Fordham (11-17)75.50-21-12-7
173. Geo Washington (9-17)74.80-31-11-6
248. St Bonaventure (8-22)68.90-10-20-7


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 78.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Butler (30-4)92.00-21-014-2
71. Wright St (21-10)82.51-10-15-5
75. Cleveland St (19-13)82.11-20-36-3
100. Illinois Chi (17-15)80.00-30-14-6
135. Wisc Green Bay (15-15)77.70-40-24-6
153. Wisc Milwaukee (13-16)76.30-50-03-7
177. Loyola Chi (10-19)74.30-30-03-9
209. Youngstown St (7-21)71.00-40-11-9
242. Detroit (6-23)69.10-31-01-9


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 77.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. BYU (27-8)86.91-31-22-2
40. UNLV (26-8)86.30-23-23-1
64. New Mexico (24-9)83.10-01-42-1
107. San Diego St (19-13)79.50-01-63-3
113. Utah (17-15)79.30-01-62-4
169. Air Force (14-14)75.00-11-30-3
192. TCU (13-16)72.70-10-61-2
206. Wyoming (10-18)71.30-00-40-3
287. Colorado St (6-24)66.00-10-50-3


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 77.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Memphis (38-2)102.05-25-08-0
66. Uab (23-11)83.00-20-04-4
76. Houston (24-10)82.10-20-23-3
80. Tulsa (25-14)81.90-30-16-4
120. SO Mississippi (15-14)78.60-30-11-6
128. Texas El Paso (19-14)78.10-20-13-7
146. Central Florida (16-15)76.60-10-41-4
156. Marshall (14-14)76.00-30-03-4
156. Marshall (14-14)76.00-30-03-4
158. Tulane (16-15)75.80-20-12-4
226. East Carolina (9-18)70.10-20-03-3
282. SMU (8-20)66.60-20-10-6
327. Rice (3-27)60.30-30-20-4


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Kent (28-7)87.90-22-110-1
63. Akron (24-11)83.10-00-58-2
89. Miami Ohio (17-16)81.21-31-44-7
93. Western Mich (20-12)80.71-00-23-4
97. Ohio (20-13)80.30-11-25-6
154. Central Mich (13-16)76.20-00-13-8
176. Toledo (11-19)74.60-11-41-7
179. Bowling Green (13-17)74.20-01-22-6
187. Eastern Mich (14-17)73.60-11-12-6
222. Buffalo (9-20)70.20-10-30-8
266. Ball St (6-24)67.80-30-20-7
268. Northern Ill (6-22)67.70-10-21-7


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 74.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Western KY (27-7)87.61-21-11-3
55. South Alabama (24-7)84.40-13-21-1
148. North Texas (17-11)76.50-10-22-0
155. Middle Tenn St (16-15)76.10-20-32-2
167. Arkansas Lr (18-11)75.00-00-21-2
172. New Orleans (17-13)74.90-00-11-3
189. Ul Lafayette (14-15)73.00-10-10-4
237. Troy St (10-19)69.30-00-30-3
247. Denver (10-19)69.00-00-20-1
264. Florida Intl (8-20)68.00-10-30-4
284. Arkansas St (8-20)66.10-10-10-2


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. VA Commonwealth (24-8)83.30-00-24-2
95. George Mason (23-11)80.60-12-22-1
136. Old Dominion (18-16)77.50-40-03-3
140. NC Wilmington (20-13)77.00-00-22-3
171. William & Mary (15-16)74.90-10-01-5
175. Northeastern (14-17)74.70-00-11-7
184. Delaware (14-17)73.70-00-01-5
202. Hofstra (12-18)71.50-00-01-5
207. Towson (13-18)71.30-00-00-5
213. James Madison (13-17)70.70-00-02-3
219. Drexel (12-20)70.40-00-00-6
257. Georgia St (9-21)68.20-00-01-5


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 74.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Oral Roberts (23-9)82.80-30-14-2
79. Iupui (23-7)82.00-11-02-2
90. Valparaiso (20-14)81.10-40-17-5
164. Oakland (15-14)75.30-21-01-4
223. Southern Utah (11-18)70.20-00-10-8
253. Western Ill (10-18)68.30-10-10-5
267. Mo Kansas City (9-21)67.70-10-10-7
275. Centenary (9-21)67.10-00-12-5


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 74.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Davidson (28-7)92.62-41-00-3
109. NC Greensboro (19-12)79.40-30-11-1
132. Geo Southern (18-12)77.70-20-02-3
147. Chattanooga (16-13)76.60-30-10-3
151. Appalachian St (17-13)76.40-21-00-1
182. Coll Of Charltn (16-17)74.10-20-11-2
191. Elon (13-18)72.70-30-00-3
196. Wofford (12-16)72.41-40-10-1
260. Westrn Carolina (9-21)68.10-20-10-2
285. Furman (7-23)66.00-30-00-1
334. The Citadel (2-24)57.60-40-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Gonzaga (25-8)87.60-43-25-2
46. St Marys CA (24-7)85.11-12-33-3
92. San Diego (21-14)80.70-14-51-4
199. Santa Clara (13-16)71.80-10-50-3
239. Pepperdine (10-21)69.30-10-60-4
279. San Francisco (9-21)66.90-10-60-3
291. Portland (8-22)65.40-00-60-3
320. Loyola Marymnt (5-26)61.00-00-61-3


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 73.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. CS Fullerton (23-9)80.80-10-20-1
105. UC Santa Barbara (22-9)79.70-21-12-0
134. CS Northridge (19-10)77.70-00-12-3
142. Pacific (20-10)76.80-00-12-1
168. UC Irvine (17-16)75.00-10-10-4
234. Cal Poly (11-18)69.40-10-20-3
289. UC Riverside (8-21)65.70-10-10-5
318. Long Beach St (6-25)61.60-00-10-4


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
84. Siena (23-11)81.61-11-11-3
108. Rider (23-11)79.40-00-11-3
125. Niagara (19-10)78.20-00-00-2
137. Marist (18-14)77.40-00-21-5
143. Loyola MD (19-14)76.70-10-12-2
180. Fairfield (14-16)74.10-10-01-3
238. Iona (12-20)69.30-20-11-2
263. Manhattan (12-19)68.10-00-01-2
301. Canisius (6-25)63.70-10-00-2
307. St Peters (6-24)63.10-00-00-3


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 72.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
130. American (21-12)77.90-20-11-0
183. Holy Cross (15-14)73.80-00-12-2
186. Colgate (18-14)73.60-10-01-1
195. Lafayette (15-15)72.50-10-10-0
198. Navy (16-14)72.20-00-00-0
211. Bucknell (12-19)70.80-00-11-2
221. Army (14-16)70.30-00-00-2
228. Lehigh (14-15)70.00-00-00-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 72.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Stephen Austin (22-6)82.00-01-11-1
127. Sam Houston (19-8)78.20-00-02-1
157. Lamar (15-11)75.80-00-20-3
161. Texas Arlington (17-12)75.50-10-01-2
194. SE Louisiana (13-13)72.50-00-10-2
197. Northwestern St (12-17)72.30-10-11-3
216. McNeese St (10-16)70.50-10-00-2
232. Tex San Antonio (9-17)69.60-10-10-5
249. Texas A&M-CC (9-20)68.70-00-21-3
251. Nicholls St (9-21)68.50-10-21-4
256. Texas St (10-16)68.30-20-00-2
274. Central Arkansas (10-16)67.20-00-00-3
278. Ul Monroe (7-21)66.90-20-40-2


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 71.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
99. Boise St (24-9)80.00-21-01-1
122. Nevada (20-12)78.40-10-12-5
123. Utah St (23-11)78.30-00-23-1
149. New Mexico St (20-14)76.50-40-03-3
259. Fresno St (12-19)68.10-10-30-2
261. San Jose St (13-19)68.10-10-00-3
272. Hawaii (11-19)67.30-00-00-9
297. Idaho (7-21)64.10-10-20-2
326. Louisiana Tech (6-24)60.30-00-10-3


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 69.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
74. Cornell (21-6)82.20-20-01-2
126. Brown (19-10)78.20-10-10-5
220. Yale (12-15)70.30-30-10-2
233. Columbia (13-15)69.50-00-20-2
245. Pennsylvania (13-18)69.00-10-20-4
294. Dartmouth (9-18)64.60-00-00-3
296. Harvard (8-22)64.20-10-00-3
319. Princeton (5-22)61.50-10-10-2


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 69.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
114. Portland St (21-10)79.20-30-02-2
163. Northrn Arizona (19-11)75.40-11-20-0
200. Weber St (15-13)71.80-00-10-2
236. Montana St (13-15)69.30-00-21-0
240. Montana (12-16)69.30-10-10-2
271. Idaho St (10-19)67.40-20-10-2
286. Eastern Wash (9-19)66.00-20-00-3
339. Sacramento St (2-24)55.10-20-20-0


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 69.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
124. Winthrop (20-12)78.30-31-23-0
170. NC Asheville (19-10)74.90-20-10-1
224. High Point (13-14)70.10-00-10-2
255. Liberty (13-16)68.30-00-00-3
273. Coast Carolina (10-15)67.30-00-00-2
277. VMI (10-15)66.90-00-10-0
293. Radford (8-20)64.70-20-00-0
314. Charleston Sou (6-20)62.30-00-00-2


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 69.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
106. Robert Morris (26-8)79.60-00-00-1
141. Wagner (23-8)76.80-00-10-0
174. Mt St Marys (19-15)74.70-10-20-0
217. Central Conn (14-16)70.40-00-10-0
227. Liu Brooklyn (15-15)70.10-10-00-0
299. Fair Dickinson (8-20)63.70-00-00-4
310. Monmouth NJ (7-24)63.00-10-01-0
312. St Francis NY (7-22)62.60-00-00-1
325. St Francis PA (5-23)60.60-00-10-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 68.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
117. Umbc (23-9)78.80-20-10-0
201. Hartford (18-16)71.60-10-20-0
205. Vermont (16-15)71.40-00-00-2
218. Albany NY (15-15)70.40-10-00-2
230. Boston U (14-17)69.90-10-10-1
241. Binghamton (14-16)69.20-00-00-2
302. New Hampshire (8-20)63.50-00-00-1
323. Stony Brook (7-23)60.80-00-10-2
331. Maine (6-23)59.20-00-10-2


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 67.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. Belmont (24-9)79.90-20-01-1
165. East Tenn St (18-13)75.30-00-21-2
193. Jacksonville (17-13)72.60-20-00-3
204. Fla Atlantic (15-18)71.40-10-20-4
225. Gardner-Webb (15-16)70.10-10-31-1
229. Lipscomb (14-16)69.90-10-10-0
252. Stetson (15-16)68.30-00-10-4
295. Fla Gulf Coast (10-21)64.20-20-10-2
305. Mercer (10-19)63.21-00-00-1
308. Kennesaw St (9-20)63.10-00-20-1
309. SC Upstate (6-22)63.00-00-00-3
311. Campbell (9-20)62.70-00-00-0
340. North Florida (2-26)53.30-10-10-3


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 67.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
139. Austin Peay (24-11)77.20-20-10-2
215. Murray St (16-13)70.50-00-20-0
243. Tenn Martin (15-16)69.10-10-30-0
244. Tennessee St (13-17)69.00-00-21-2
262. Morehead St (13-15)68.10-10-10-1
280. Samford (12-16)66.90-10-00-1
281. Eastern KY (12-16)66.70-10-10-1
283. Tennessee Tech (11-19)66.50-00-00-3
304. SE Missouri St (10-19)63.30-10-10-2
324. Eastern Ill (6-22)60.70-00-00-0
332. Jacksonville St (5-22)58.90-00-00-1


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 66.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
160. Morgan St (21-11)75.60-00-20-2
188. Hampton (18-12)73.20-00-12-2
231. Delaware St (12-16)69.70-20-20-2
254. Coppin St (14-21)68.30-20-50-1
258. Norfolk St (16-15)68.10-00-10-0
270. NO Carolina A&T (11-16)67.40-30-10-2
276. Florida A&M (13-17)67.00-20-30-1
292. SO Carolina St (12-20)65.00-10-00-1
317. Bethune Cookman (9-20)62.00-10-00-0
329. Howard (6-26)59.90-00-10-1
338. MD Eastrn Shore (4-28)55.70-10-10-3


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 64.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
181. North Dakota St (14-13)74.10-00-01-6
203. IPFW (11-18)71.50-30-20-6
214. Utah Valley St (13-14)70.60-10-00-2
235. Chicago St (8-17)69.40-20-20-6
246. TX Pan American (13-13)69.00-10-00-2
265. Northern Colorado (11-16)68.00-00-10-0
269. Savannah St (10-17)67.50-20-20-2
298. South Dakota St (7-21)64.10-00-01-5
300. Winston-Salem (10-18)63.70-00-10-1
303. NC Central (3-23)63.40-30-20-6
313. CSU Bakersfield (8-21)62.30-00-11-3
315. UC Davis (7-22)62.30-20-00-2
322. Longwood (6-22)60.80-00-20-1
330. Presbyterian (2-25)59.80-10-30-8
341. NJIT (0-29)41.80-00-00-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 60.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
250. Alabama St (17-11)68.50-00-20-1
288. Miss Valley St (15-16)65.70-30-20-2
306. Jackson St (14-20)63.10-10-20-3
316. Alabama A&M (11-15)62.20-00-20-1
321. Southern (10-18)60.90-00-10-3
328. Ark Pine Bluff (11-18)60.30-10-00-1
333. Grambling (7-17)57.60-00-00-3
335. Prairie View (7-22)57.20-20-10-1
336. Texas Southern (7-25)56.80-20-00-2
337. Alcorn St (6-23)55.80-00-20-0
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