NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Non-League Power Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008

Home Court Advantage = 3.6

BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 85.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (20-0)105.13-04-03-0
8. Texas (15-3)93.13-32-02-0
11. Texas A&M (14-2)90.90-12-13-0
27. Oklahoma (13-4)87.52-22-11-0
43. Nebraska (12-3)84.80-01-12-2
47. Baylor (11-3)84.41-10-21-0
59. Missouri (10-5)83.10-11-21-2
60. Kansas St (10-5)83.10-31-12-1
86. Texas Tech (8-5)80.81-10-20-0
116. Oklahoma St (8-6)78.20-20-01-3
136. Iowa St (9-5)77.20-11-00-3
158. Colorado (7-6)75.10-20-10-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 84.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. UCLA (15-2)94.94-20-02-0
6. Washington St (14-1)94.52-11-00-0
25. Stanford (13-2)88.41-10-01-1
26. Arizona (9-4)87.91-30-05-1
46. USC (9-4)84.50-31-03-0
58. California (10-3)83.10-12-12-1
74. Oregon (9-4)81.71-00-32-0
77. Arizona St (12-3)81.51-00-21-1
103. Washington (9-5)79.30-20-11-1
257. Oregon St (6-5)69.10-00-00-0


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. North Carolina (19-1)98.93-13-02-0
9. Duke (14-2)91.83-20-03-0
22. Miami Fla (13-2)88.60-12-02-0
44. Clemson (11-3)84.70-02-22-1
51. North Carolina St (11-3)83.81-11-01-0
52. Wake Forest (10-3)83.80-01-01-3
83. Virginia Tech (11-6)80.90-10-21-0
84. Florida St (11-5)80.90-01-12-3
87. Maryland (11-6)80.80-10-23-2
97. Virginia (12-4)79.80-11-10-1
99. Georgia Tech (7-7)79.81-20-11-2
108. Boston College (9-4)78.60-10-11-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 83.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Marquette (11-2)91.31-20-03-0
14. Louisville (13-4)90.41-11-24-1
18. West Virginia (12-3)89.71-21-12-0
19. Georgetown (11-2)89.40-20-01-0
21. Pittsburgh (12-2)88.81-10-04-1
28. Villanova (12-3)87.51-10-14-0
38. Connecticut (11-3)85.50-22-01-0
45. Notre Dame (11-3)84.61-10-21-0
56. Providence (9-3)83.40-01-12-2
57. Syracuse (12-4)83.30-01-34-1
85. South Florida (9-4)80.80-00-03-2
100. Seton Hall (10-3)79.60-00-11-0
166. St Johns (6-6)74.50-10-20-1
167. Cincinnati (5-8)74.50-20-01-3
168. DePaul (5-7)74.40-20-10-2
189. Rutgers (8-5)72.60-10-20-0


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 82.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Tennessee (15-2)94.74-22-02-0
15. Mississippi (17-1)90.31-03-13-0
31. Vanderbilt (15-1)86.50-02-03-1
33. Florida (16-3)86.40-00-24-1
34. Arkansas (12-4)86.10-13-13-1
65. Mississippi St (10-6)82.70-22-10-3
82. Alabama (11-4)80.90-30-02-0
125. Georgia (8-5)77.90-31-01-0
126. Auburn (10-3)77.80-20-00-0
141. South Carolina (8-6)76.90-10-21-1
172. LSU (6-7)74.10-10-10-3
192. Kentucky (6-8)72.50-30-10-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Michigan St (14-2)94.02-22-02-0
16. Wisconsin (12-3)90.12-30-02-0
17. Ohio St (14-4)90.00-34-12-0
41. Indiana (11-3)84.90-21-13-0
62. Purdue (10-5)82.71-21-11-0
80. Illinois (8-5)81.00-11-12-2
92. Minnesota (10-3)80.30-00-00-3
124. Northwestern (6-4)78.10-10-01-1
129. Penn St (8-4)77.60-01-10-2
182. Iowa (7-6)73.30-10-00-2
197. Michigan (4-8)72.20-30-10-1


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 80.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Drake (8-2)88.40-01-11-1
32. Creighton (10-2)86.40-12-12-0
69. Bradley (12-7)82.40-10-13-4
71. Southern Ill (7-7)82.30-02-32-3
81. Illinois St (9-4)81.00-00-10-2
101. Missouri St (7-5)79.60-00-20-2
142. Indiana St (5-5)76.80-00-20-1
143. Wichita St (7-5)76.70-00-11-0
148. Northern Iowa (7-4)76.30-01-00-0
214. Evansville (5-5)71.40-00-10-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 80.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Xavier (15-4)90.42-22-04-2
20. Dayton (14-2)89.22-00-13-1
29. Rhode Island (14-2)87.10-01-03-1
30. Massachusetts (15-4)86.70-03-12-2
36. Duquesne (10-3)85.70-30-00-0
64. St Josephs (9-5)82.70-11-21-1
94. Charlotte (9-6)80.12-00-22-2
112. St Louis (8-5)78.40-10-02-2
118. Temple (7-8)78.20-30-21-2
171. Richmond (7-7)74.20-11-00-3
186. Fordham (5-6)73.10-10-20-0
207. La Salle (5-8)71.70-00-20-1
213. Geo Washington (4-6)71.40-10-10-1
233. St Bonaventure (6-8)70.40-00-10-1


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 77.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. UNLV (11-4)85.50-20-12-0
50. New Mexico (13-3)83.80-00-12-2
66. BYU (11-5)82.61-30-00-1
70. Utah (9-5)82.40-10-12-2
109. San Diego St (9-5)78.60-00-31-1
202. Wyoming (5-6)72.10-00-00-1
203. Colorado St (5-7)71.90-10-00-1
223. Air Force (6-5)71.00-10-00-1
236. TCU (7-5)70.30-10-10-1


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 77.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Butler (14-2)90.40-22-05-0
75. Cleveland St (9-6)81.60-00-12-3
79. Illinois Chi (7-6)81.10-00-01-3
111. Wright St (8-6)78.50-00-02-2
144. Loyola Chi (5-6)76.50-00-10-2
145. Wisc Green Bay (7-7)76.50-20-20-1
153. Wisc Milwaukee (5-7)75.40-30-00-1
245. Detroit (3-9)69.60-10-01-1
265. Youngstown St (2-9)68.10-20-00-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 77.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Memphis (19-2)97.56-24-01-0
55. Houston (13-3)83.50-00-21-1
76. Tulsa (13-5)81.60-00-15-2
89. Uab (11-6)80.70-00-12-3
110. Tulane (9-4)78.60-00-21-0
135. Texas El Paso (9-5)77.20-10-12-3
140. Central Florida (7-7)76.90-20-20-1
146. Marshall (6-5)76.30-20-00-0
146. Marshall (6-5)76.30-20-00-0
199. SO Mississippi (4-6)72.10-00-10-3
205. East Carolina (4-6)71.80-10-01-1
268. Rice (3-10)68.10-20-10-2
310. SMU (4-7)64.90-00-00-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Kent (12-4)85.10-21-02-1
67. Ohio (11-5)82.60-10-13-2
72. Miami Ohio (6-8)82.01-21-12-2
78. Akron (11-5)81.40-00-12-2
121. Western Mich (7-7)78.11-00-11-2
138. Central Mich (4-7)77.10-00-11-2
169. Bowling Green (6-7)74.20-00-00-3
176. Buffalo (6-6)73.70-20-01-0
204. Toledo (3-10)71.90-10-11-4
218. Northern Ill (3-9)71.20-10-10-1
226. Eastern Mich (5-8)70.80-10-01-2
305. Ball St (1-12)65.10-10-30-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 74.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. Davidson (5-7)88.53-40-00-2
63. NC Greensboro (6-3)82.70-01-10-2
73. Wofford (3-3)81.70-11-10-1
106. Geo Southern (5-4)78.90-00-11-2
119. Coll Of Charltn (5-5)78.20-00-11-3
152. Chattanooga (3-5)75.40-10-10-2
163. Appalachian St (4-5)74.70-01-00-1
231. Westrn Carolina (3-6)70.50-00-10-1
296. Elon (1-6)65.80-00-10-3
319. The Citadel (1-4)63.80-10-10-1
327. Furman (1-8)62.30-10-00-1


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 74.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Western KY (12-5)85.31-31-00-1
53. South Alabama (10-4)83.70-01-21-2
90. North Texas (8-3)80.60-10-02-0
147. Arkansas Lr (10-3)76.30-00-01-1
157. New Orleans (8-4)75.10-00-00-1
188. Ul Lafayette (6-7)72.60-10-00-4
198. Troy St (6-6)72.20-00-10-1
234. Arkansas St (6-7)70.40-10-00-1
255. Middle Tenn St (4-9)69.20-20-00-1
256. Denver (4-9)69.10-00-10-0
275. Florida Intl (4-9)67.70-00-20-3


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 74.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Iupui (12-3)83.60-11-01-0
98. Valparaiso (20-14)79.80-20-23-2
102. Oral Roberts (10-8)79.40-30-12-1
159. Oakland (7-8)74.90-21-00-1
224. Centenary (7-10)70.80-00-21-0
239. Mo Kansas City (6-11)69.80-10-20-0
243. Western Ill (6-9)69.70-20-10-0
259. Southern Utah (5-12)68.90-00-20-2


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. VA Commonwealth (8-4)83.00-00-24-1
93. George Mason (8-5)80.21-10-12-2
122. Old Dominion (7-8)78.10-41-00-2
132. James Madison (8-3)77.40-00-01-0
156. Drexel (7-6)75.20-00-10-3
173. Northeastern (4-7)74.10-10-10-3
174. Delaware (4-7)73.80-00-00-2
191. NC Wilmington (7-6)72.50-00-10-2
219. Towson (5-6)71.10-00-00-1
225. Hofstra (4-7)70.80-00-11-1
274. Georgia St (4-7)67.70-00-10-2
280. William & Mary (2-7)67.20-10-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 74.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Gonzaga (11-6)86.01-42-13-1
49. St Marys CA (12-4)83.91-11-13-2
155. San Diego (7-11)75.31-00-21-4
177. Santa Clara (6-7)73.60-10-01-1
185. Pepperdine (5-10)73.20-10-20-1
248. Portland (5-10)69.40-00-20-2
289. San Francisco (3-11)66.40-10-20-0
314. Loyola Marymnt (3-13)64.00-00-30-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 73.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
91. UC Santa Barbara (12-4)80.50-20-11-0
105. CS Fullerton (10-5)79.10-10-20-0
134. Pacific (11-4)77.20-00-11-0
139. CS Northridge (9-5)76.90-10-00-2
195. Cal Poly (6-8)72.30-00-20-1
211. UC Irvine (6-9)71.70-10-10-2
292. Long Beach St (5-11)66.00-00-10-3
298. UC Riverside (4-9)65.70-10-10-3


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Siena (7-6)82.41-10-31-0
96. Niagara (7-3)79.90-00-00-1
120. Marist (6-6)78.20-00-20-2
127. Rider (8-5)77.70-10-00-0
215. Loyola MD (6-7)71.40-10-00-2
222. Fairfield (3-8)71.00-10-10-1
230. Manhattan (6-5)70.50-00-00-0
266. Iona (4-9)68.10-20-01-1
279. Canisius (3-8)67.40-10-00-0
283. St Peters (3-8)67.00-00-00-1


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 72.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
88. Holy Cross (10-4)80.70-01-01-3
150. American (8-8)75.80-20-01-1
151. Lafayette (9-6)75.60-10-10-0
179. Colgate (9-6)73.30-10-10-0
232. Bucknell (5-10)70.40-00-10-2
260. Navy (7-8)68.70-00-00-1
263. Lehigh (7-7)68.60-00-00-1
269. Army (7-7)68.00-00-00-1


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 72.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. Stephen Austin (7-2)84.90-01-10-1
48. Sam Houston (8-1)84.10-00-02-1
95. Texas Arlington (7-3)80.00-10-00-1
183. SE Louisiana (4-5)73.30-00-10-1
190. McNeese St (3-6)72.50-10-11-0
201. Central Arkansas (6-4)72.10-00-00-2
212. Nicholls St (3-10)71.50-10-10-5
262. Ul Monroe (7-19)68.60-20-20-3
264. Lamar (2-7)68.50-00-20-2
281. Tex San Antonio (2-7)67.00-10-10-1
285. Texas A&M-CC (3-10)66.90-00-11-2
297. Texas St (4-6)65.70-20-00-0
328. Northwestern St (1-9)61.10-10-10-2


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 72.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
113. Utah St (10-6)78.40-00-01-3
115. Nevada (7-7)78.30-10-01-5
133. Boise St (9-5)77.40-21-00-1
162. San Jose St (8-6)74.80-10-00-0
165. New Mexico St (6-9)74.50-41-10-1
175. Fresno St (7-7)73.80-10-20-2
284. Hawaii (4-9)67.00-00-20-2
323. Idaho (2-9)63.20-20-00-1
329. Louisiana Tech (3-10)60.90-00-10-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 70.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
131. Brown (8-7)77.50-10-10-3
160. Cornell (7-6)74.80-20-11-1
194. Yale (5-8)72.30-30-10-0
237. Columbia (6-8)70.20-00-20-0
240. Harvard (5-11)69.70-10-00-1
252. Dartmouth (6-7)69.30-00-00-1
302. Pennsylvania (5-12)65.30-10-30-2
321. Princeton (2-11)63.70-10-00-1


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 70.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. Winthrop (7-8)79.30-32-21-1
123. NC Asheville (7-5)78.10-20-21-0
242. High Point (4-7)69.70-00-10-3
249. VMI (4-6)69.30-00-10-0
250. Coast Carolina (4-6)69.30-00-00-1
270. Liberty (5-8)67.90-00-10-3
307. Radford (3-10)65.10-20-00-1
326. Charleston Sou (2-9)62.80-00-20-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 70.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
149. Northrn Arizona (8-6)76.20-10-11-1
161. Portland St (7-8)74.80-30-02-2
170. Montana (6-7)74.20-20-00-2
180. Montana St (7-6)73.30-00-00-2
216. Weber St (5-7)71.30-00-20-2
267. Eastern Wash (4-10)68.10-20-20-1
312. Idaho St (2-11)64.30-20-10-2
334. Sacramento St (1-11)59.00-30-10-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 69.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
114. Robert Morris (11-6)78.30-00-10-1
154. Wagner (11-5)75.30-10-00-0
178. Mt St Marys (8-10)73.50-10-20-0
206. Liu Brooklyn (8-7)71.70-10-00-1
229. Central Conn (6-10)70.60-00-10-0
272. Fair Dickinson (4-9)67.80-00-10-3
282. St Francis NY (4-11)67.00-00-00-2
311. Monmouth NJ (3-13)64.30-10-01-0
331. St Francis PA (1-12)60.70-00-00-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 69.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
107. Umbc (7-6)78.80-20-10-0
187. Vermont (6-7)73.00-00-10-2
217. Binghamton (5-8)71.20-00-00-1
220. Albany NY (5-8)71.10-10-00-1
235. Hartford (6-9)70.40-10-20-1
241. Boston U (4-9)69.70-10-20-0
304. Maine (3-9)65.30-10-00-2
318. New Hampshire (2-9)63.80-00-00-1
320. Stony Brook (3-9)63.70-00-10-1


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 68.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
130. Belmont (7-7)77.60-20-01-0
137. East Tenn St (6-7)77.20-00-21-2
200. Gardner-Webb (5-8)72.10-30-11-1
209. Lipscomb (5-8)71.70-00-10-1
210. Fla Atlantic (12-18)71.70-10-00-6
228. Jacksonville (3-8)70.80-20-10-2
251. Fla Gulf Coast (4-10)69.30-10-10-3
278. Mercer (4-8)67.40-01-00-1
293. Stetson (4-9)65.90-00-20-3
300. Campbell (4-8)65.40-00-00-1
308. SC Upstate (1-11)64.90-00-00-5
330. North Florida (1-10)60.90-10-20-2
332. Kennesaw St (2-11)60.40-00-00-3


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 67.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
117. Austin Peay (5-7)78.20-20-00-2
196. Tenn Martin (3-6)72.20-10-10-2
208. Tennessee St (1-6)71.70-00-21-2
244. SE Missouri St (3-6)69.70-10-00-3
246. Murray St (2-5)69.60-00-10-1
254. Samford (2-5)69.20-10-00-1
261. Eastern KY (2-5)68.60-10-00-2
286. Tennessee Tech (1-8)66.80-00-20-1
294. Morehead St (1-6)65.90-10-10-1
338. Eastern Ill (0-8)56.10-00-00-0
339. Jacksonville St (0-7)54.60-00-00-1


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 67.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
128. Hampton (7-6)77.60-00-02-4
184. Morgan St (5-8)73.30-10-20-1
247. NO Carolina A&T (2-8)69.40-30-20-1
277. Delaware St (1-9)67.50-10-20-3
291. Florida A&M (3-9)66.10-40-20-0
295. Coppin St (3-12)65.90-20-30-3
299. Bethune Cookman (4-8)65.60-00-10-1
301. SO Carolina St (4-10)65.40-10-00-1
306. Howard (3-12)65.10-00-10-2
309. Norfolk St (4-9)64.90-00-10-1
333. MD Eastrn Shore (2-13)59.50-10-10-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 66.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
164. North Dakota St (10-12)74.70-00-11-5
193. IPFW (9-16)72.40-30-10-6
227. Utah Valley St (6-12)70.80-10-00-0
238. Chicago St (4-15)70.10-20-10-6
253. Northern Colorado (11-16)69.30-10-01-0
271. Savannah St (7-16)67.80-30-11-2
276. TX Pan American (6-12)67.60-10-00-3
288. South Dakota St (6-17)66.50-00-00-5
290. CSU Bakersfield (7-16)66.20-00-10-2
303. Winston-Salem (10-17)65.30-10-00-3
316. Presbyterian (2-24)63.80-10-50-5
317. NC Central (2-20)63.80-30-20-5
322. Longwood (4-20)63.50-00-10-3
325. UC Davis (5-22)62.90-20-00-3
340. NJIT (0-20)50.70-00-00-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 61.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
258. Alabama St (1-7)68.90-00-10-3
273. Southern (1-8)67.70-00-20-1
287. Ark Pine Bluff (2-7)66.70-10-00-1
313. Jackson St (2-11)64.20-10-20-1
315. Texas Southern (1-12)63.90-10-10-2
324. Prairie View (1-10)63.10-20-10-2
335. Grambling (0-5)58.30-00-00-3
336. Alabama A&M (0-7)57.60-00-20-1
337. Miss Valley St (0-10)56.90-30-20-2
341. Alcorn St (0-11)48.90-00-20-2
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