NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Home Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:43 CDT 2008

Home Court Advantage = 3.6

BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 86.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (18-0)99.41-05-02-0
4. Texas (16-1)93.92-14-03-0
12. Kansas St (14-2)90.82-12-12-0
35. Texas Tech (13-2)86.73-01-21-0
43. Oklahoma St (12-3)86.31-22-12-0
45. Oklahoma (14-3)85.81-23-03-0
47. Nebraska (16-3)85.71-11-23-0
56. Texas A&M (15-4)84.61-11-23-1
62. Missouri (13-4)83.92-21-10-1
67. Baylor (11-4)83.21-31-12-0
94. Iowa St (11-6)79.70-42-01-1
167. Colorado (5-9)74.90-32-30-2


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Duke (15-1)93.62-12-03-0
20. North Carolina (14-2)89.11-11-03-1
27. Clemson (14-2)88.10-14-03-1
36. Miami Fla (13-2)86.72-11-02-1
41. Wake Forest (15-2)86.41-03-13-1
58. Virginia Tech (14-3)84.50-11-25-0
81. Florida St (13-5)80.81-21-02-2
85. North Carolina St (10-6)80.21-32-11-1
95. Maryland (13-6)79.60-20-14-1
103. Virginia (13-7)79.20-30-31-1
109. Georgia Tech (6-7)78.91-21-11-3
135. Boston College (11-8)77.70-21-32-2


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Tennessee (15-0)95.40-04-05-0
10. Vanderbilt (19-0)91.91-04-05-0
19. Arkansas (15-1)89.20-04-04-1
46. Mississippi St (12-3)85.80-23-13-0
49. Mississippi (16-2)85.60-05-03-1
55. Kentucky (14-4)84.71-23-04-0
70. Florida (17-4)83.00-10-16-1
78. Alabama (13-5)81.50-22-22-0
97. Georgia (10-5)79.60-12-23-2
134. LSU (9-6)77.70-11-22-2
174. Auburn (8-7)74.50-11-21-3
177. South Carolina (8-9)74.30-10-42-2


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 83.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Notre Dame (17-0)94.14-01-01-0
6. Georgetown (16-0)93.83-02-01-0
13. Connecticut (16-1)90.85-01-00-1
18. Louisville (15-2)89.34-02-02-1
24. West Virginia (12-2)88.42-11-02-0
29. Marquette (15-2)87.92-20-03-0
30. Pittsburgh (15-2)87.72-11-02-0
61. Villanova (12-3)84.03-20-11-0
64. Syracuse (16-6)83.72-21-34-1
87. Providence (10-5)80.11-30-12-0
127. Cincinnati (10-7)78.11-32-02-1
138. Seton Hall (11-6)77.01-30-11-0
154. South Florida (7-8)75.90-51-02-0
159. St Johns (8-8)75.60-40-21-0
161. DePaul (7-8)75.50-41-12-1
204. Rutgers (8-10)72.20-51-00-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 82.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Stanford (16-1)91.41-13-03-0
15. UCLA (15-2)90.22-12-13-0
44. Oregon (12-3)86.11-21-14-0
59. USC (10-5)84.31-32-13-0
65. Arizona St (15-5)83.32-23-11-2
66. Washington St (9-4)83.20-22-12-1
76. Arizona (10-6)82.32-20-24-2
86. Washington (12-7)80.11-32-11-2
123. California (11-8)78.30-33-22-3
295. Oregon St (3-12)65.20-30-30-3


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Michigan St (17-0)93.90-03-02-0
21. Indiana (17-2)89.01-23-03-0
23. Purdue (16-1)88.52-01-02-0
25. Wisconsin (16-2)88.21-11-13-0
28. Ohio St (17-3)88.01-22-14-0
77. Penn St (13-4)82.21-12-21-1
91. Minnesota (12-5)79.80-21-10-2
152. Illinois (7-8)76.00-20-31-1
153. Iowa (10-8)76.01-21-20-2
180. Michigan (6-9)74.20-21-21-1
265. Northwestern (4-11)68.30-30-30-1


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 82.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Drake (13-1)86.50-00-05-1
42. Southern Ill (13-3)86.41-01-25-1
48. Creighton (15-2)85.60-12-04-1
50. Missouri St (13-2)85.51-00-02-2
52. Illinois St (15-2)85.00-10-04-1
71. Indiana St (11-2)82.90-10-04-1
90. Bradley (13-6)79.90-20-05-2
126. Northern Iowa (10-6)78.10-11-03-2
148. Wichita St (8-7)76.40-10-02-4
178. Evansville (6-8)74.30-10-12-3


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 79.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Xavier (16-1)90.50-11-04-0
53. Dayton (15-3)84.91-11-14-1
63. Charlotte (13-3)83.71-11-04-1
73. Massachusetts (13-3)82.80-10-14-0
75. Temple (10-4)82.51-11-24-0
84. Rhode Island (11-4)80.20-10-23-1
92. St Josephs (8-5)79.81-12-00-1
101. Duquesne (11-4)79.30-11-10-0
106. Geo Washington (8-4)79.10-10-22-0
116. St Louis (11-5)78.70-11-03-2
144. Richmond (9-6)76.60-01-13-1
188. Fordham (7-7)73.30-00-02-3
222. La Salle (5-7)70.80-00-01-4
239. St Bonaventure (5-8)69.80-00-01-4


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 79.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. BYU (16-0)92.10-01-03-0
32. UNLV (19-2)87.00-13-14-0
57. New Mexico (16-2)84.50-00-14-1
93. San Diego St (10-3)79.70-01-12-1
107. Utah (10-4)79.10-00-23-0
141. TCU (12-4)77.00-01-22-1
145. Air Force (10-4)76.50-00-22-1
190. Wyoming (6-6)73.30-00-21-2
301. Colorado St (2-9)64.40-00-20-3


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 78.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Memphis (20-1)93.02-11-08-0
17. Uab (14-1)89.60-10-03-0
38. Tulsa (18-2)86.70-10-08-0
54. Houston (17-2)84.90-10-14-0
100. Central Florida (12-4)79.40-10-11-2
112. Texas El Paso (13-3)78.90-00-14-2
115. SO Mississippi (7-3)78.70-10-01-1
124. Marshall (11-4)78.20-10-03-1
124. Marshall (11-4)78.20-10-03-1
183. Tulane (9-6)73.70-10-00-3
211. East Carolina (7-9)71.50-10-01-3
272. SMU (6-10)67.50-10-01-3
327. Rice (1-12)61.20-20-00-4


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 78.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Kent (16-0)88.10-00-05-0
37. Western Mich (11-1)86.71-00-03-0
51. Ohio (13-1)85.50-00-05-1
80. Miami Ohio (9-3)81.31-00-01-3
88. Akron (13-3)80.10-00-03-2
131. Toledo (9-3)77.90-00-03-2
137. Eastern Mich (10-4)77.10-00-03-1
147. Central Mich (7-3)76.50-00-03-1
151. Bowling Green (8-5)76.10-00-03-4
193. Buffalo (7-6)72.90-00-01-5
233. Ball St (5-10)70.10-10-10-4
245. Northern Ill (5-7)69.40-00-00-3


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 78.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
22. Butler (14-1)88.80-11-01-0
68. Illinois Chi (11-2)83.00-00-11-0
79. Cleveland St (10-3)81.50-01-10-0
99. Wright St (13-3)79.40-01-01-1
105. Wisc Green Bay (11-3)79.20-00-10-1
169. Loyola Chi (6-6)74.80-00-10-2
176. Wisc Milwaukee (8-8)74.40-20-10-0
195. Youngstown St (4-7)72.80-00-10-1
221. Detroit (5-10)70.80-00-11-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 75.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Iupui (13-0)89.80-01-02-0
74. Oral Roberts (11-1)82.50-00-02-1
118. Valparaiso (11-4)78.60-00-12-0
179. Oakland (8-4)74.20-00-01-2
200. Western Ill (8-4)72.30-00-00-2
207. Southern Utah (7-6)72.00-00-00-3
248. Mo Kansas City (7-7)69.30-00-00-2
269. Centenary (5-6)67.80-00-02-1


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. George Mason (13-1)84.00-00-02-0
96. VA Commonwealth (12-2)79.60-00-00-1
121. Old Dominion (13-4)78.40-11-01-1
142. NC Wilmington (12-3)76.90-00-01-1
162. Northeastern (7-3)75.40-00-01-1
175. Towson (11-4)74.50-00-00-1
191. James Madison (9-5)73.20-00-02-1
198. Delaware (7-5)72.40-00-01-1
205. Hofstra (8-5)72.20-00-01-2
210. William & Mary (7-5)71.60-00-00-1
234. Georgia St (6-8)70.00-00-11-2
237. Drexel (7-9)70.00-00-10-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 74.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. South Alabama (15-1)83.00-01-02-0
72. Western KY (12-1)82.80-01-00-1
98. North Texas (13-2)79.60-00-02-1
157. Arkansas Lr (11-3)75.70-00-01-1
158. Middle Tenn St (10-6)75.60-10-01-1
173. Denver (9-3)74.50-00-00-0
217. Ul Lafayette (7-6)71.00-00-00-2
220. Troy St (7-6)70.90-00-00-2
231. Florida Intl (7-9)70.10-00-10-4
255. Arkansas St (7-6)68.80-00-00-0
261. New Orleans (6-7)68.50-00-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 74.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Davidson (11-2)86.40-20-00-0
82. Chattanooga (11-3)80.40-20-00-0
102. NC Greensboro (10-3)79.30-10-00-1
122. Geo Southern (9-2)78.40-10-00-0
164. Appalachian St (8-4)75.30-10-00-0
181. Coll Of Charltn (9-4)74.10-10-00-0
208. Elon (7-5)71.90-10-00-0
219. Westrn Carolina (7-6)70.90-10-00-0
226. Wofford (5-5)70.50-10-00-0
230. Furman (5-6)70.20-10-00-0
328. The Citadel (2-10)61.10-10-10-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
110. Marist (10-2)78.90-00-00-1
125. Loyola MD (11-2)78.10-00-01-0
128. Rider (11-2)78.00-00-00-1
133. Siena (13-4)77.71-00-10-0
140. Niagara (10-2)77.00-00-00-1
203. Fairfield (7-6)72.20-00-10-1
206. Iona (7-5)72.20-00-01-1
270. Manhattan (6-8)67.80-00-01-0
285. Canisius (5-9)66.50-10-00-1
288. St Peters (5-9)65.70-00-00-1


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Gonzaga (13-1)86.90-11-01-0
34. St Marys CA (14-1)86.92-01-01-1
117. San Diego (12-5)78.61-12-00-2
218. Santa Clara (6-6)70.90-10-10-0
259. San Francisco (6-7)68.60-10-10-0
281. Portland (4-8)67.10-10-30-0
291. Pepperdine (3-6)65.50-10-10-0
320. Loyola Marymnt (2-11)62.20-10-20-1


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Utah St (16-0)87.20-00-02-0
119. Nevada (12-3)78.50-00-02-2
130. New Mexico St (15-4)77.90-01-00-0
172. Boise St (10-5)74.50-11-00-2
201. Fresno St (10-6)72.30-00-10-2
229. Hawaii (9-9)70.30-00-11-2
262. San Jose St (7-6)68.50-00-00-1
292. Idaho (5-7)65.50-00-00-1
309. Louisiana Tech (5-9)64.00-00-00-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 73.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
120. UC Irvine (11-2)78.40-00-00-1
146. CS Fullerton (10-3)76.50-00-00-0
160. UC Santa Barbara (10-3)75.60-00-02-0
163. CS Northridge (9-3)75.30-00-00-1
168. Pacific (10-3)74.90-00-01-0
247. Cal Poly (6-5)69.30-00-00-1
251. UC Riverside (7-5)69.00-00-00-1
298. Long Beach St (5-8)65.00-00-10-1


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 71.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
136. High Point (9-1)77.10-00-00-0
150. Winthrop (10-3)76.30-10-01-1
171. Liberty (10-2)74.60-00-00-0
184. NC Asheville (12-3)73.40-00-00-0
232. Coast Carolina (8-3)70.10-00-00-0
268. Radford (6-5)67.90-10-00-0
276. Charleston Sou (5-6)67.20-00-00-0
306. VMI (4-6)64.30-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 70.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
108. Lamar (10-2)79.00-00-00-1
111. Stephen Austin (10-1)78.90-00-00-0
132. Sam Houston (10-2)77.70-00-02-0
187. Texas Arlington (10-3)73.40-00-00-0
227. Northwestern St (6-4)70.40-00-00-0
238. SE Louisiana (7-4)69.90-00-00-0
242. McNeese St (5-4)69.50-00-00-0
257. Tex San Antonio (6-5)68.80-00-00-0
260. Nicholls St (5-5)68.60-00-00-0
267. Central Arkansas (6-5)68.00-00-00-0
283. Texas A&M-CC (5-9)66.90-00-10-0
289. Texas St (4-7)65.70-00-00-0
293. Ul Monroe (3-7)65.50-00-00-2


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 70.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
139. Northrn Arizona (11-3)77.00-00-01-1
149. Weber St (11-2)76.30-00-00-1
156. Portland St (9-1)75.80-00-00-0
214. Montana St (9-3)71.30-00-00-0
243. Eastern Wash (7-5)69.50-00-00-0
250. Idaho St (6-5)69.20-10-00-0
274. Montana (5-6)67.40-00-00-1
330. Sacramento St (2-9)59.60-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 70.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
186. American (11-4)73.40-00-00-0
212. Lafayette (8-5)71.30-00-00-0
215. Lehigh (11-4)71.10-00-00-0
216. Colgate (9-5)71.00-00-00-0
223. Holy Cross (8-6)70.70-00-01-1
228. Bucknell (7-6)70.40-00-00-1
235. Navy (8-6)70.00-00-00-0
275. Army (7-7)67.20-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 69.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
89. Cornell (11-1)80.00-00-01-0
165. Brown (9-3)75.20-00-00-1
252. Yale (7-5)69.00-00-00-0
258. Pennsylvania (9-8)68.70-10-10-1
263. Harvard (7-6)68.40-00-00-0
282. Columbia (6-6)67.00-00-00-0
286. Princeton (5-7)66.10-00-00-0
300. Dartmouth (5-6)64.50-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 68.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
129. Belmont (10-1)78.00-00-00-0
182. Fla Atlantic (11-4)73.90-00-00-2
185. East Tenn St (10-2)73.40-00-00-0
196. Lipscomb (8-3)72.50-00-00-0
197. Stetson (10-2)72.40-00-00-0
199. Gardner-Webb (8-3)72.30-00-00-0
213. Jacksonville (8-2)71.30-00-00-0
278. Kennesaw St (7-5)67.10-00-00-0
303. Campbell (6-8)64.40-00-00-0
305. SC Upstate (3-5)64.30-00-00-0
314. Mercer (5-7)63.30-00-00-1
322. Fla Gulf Coast (4-7)61.80-00-10-0
336. North Florida (2-9)58.10-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 67.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Morgan St (12-0)80.20-00-00-0
170. Hampton (11-2)74.70-00-01-0
189. Norfolk St (9-1)73.30-00-00-0
277. Florida A&M (7-3)67.20-00-00-0
279. NO Carolina A&T (6-3)67.10-00-00-0
280. Delaware St (5-3)67.10-00-00-0
296. SO Carolina St (7-5)65.10-00-00-0
304. Howard (5-5)64.30-00-00-0
311. Coppin St (5-5)63.90-00-00-0
329. Bethune Cookman (4-8)60.40-00-00-0
331. MD Eastrn Shore (4-7)59.50-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 67.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. North Dakota St (9-2)79.20-00-01-1
114. Presbyterian (2-0)78.80-00-00-0
155. IPFW (8-3)75.90-00-00-2
192. Utah Valley St (7-3)73.10-00-00-0
244. Northern Colorado (7-4)69.50-00-00-0
253. Savannah St (5-3)69.00-00-01-0
254. Chicago St (4-4)68.90-00-00-1
271. South Dakota St (6-8)67.60-00-00-2
290. UC Davis (6-7)65.60-00-00-1
299. Winston-Salem (7-5)65.00-00-00-0
307. TX Pan American (3-3)64.20-00-00-0
308. Longwood (4-5)64.00-00-00-0
323. NC Central (1-2)61.70-00-00-0
326. CSU Bakersfield (4-10)61.20-00-00-1
341. NJIT (0-12)48.90-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 67.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
143. Umbc (12-1)76.80-00-00-0
209. Hartford (10-3)71.80-00-00-0
225. Vermont (8-4)70.50-00-00-0
249. Albany NY (8-5)69.20-00-00-0
256. Binghamton (9-6)68.80-00-00-0
264. Boston U (7-6)68.40-00-10-0
302. New Hampshire (5-9)64.40-00-00-0
324. Stony Brook (4-9)61.50-00-00-0
340. Maine (2-10)55.50-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 67.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
113. Austin Peay (13-1)78.90-00-00-1
166. Murray St (12-2)75.10-00-00-0
240. Morehead St (9-3)69.70-00-00-0
284. Tennessee St (6-5)66.90-00-10-0
287. Eastern KY (7-7)65.90-00-00-1
294. Tenn Martin (6-6)65.40-00-00-0
297. Tennessee Tech (5-6)65.10-00-00-0
310. Samford (5-7)63.90-00-00-0
316. SE Missouri St (5-6)62.90-00-00-0
319. Eastern Ill (4-8)62.30-00-00-0
321. Jacksonville St (4-9)62.00-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 66.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
194. Wagner (13-3)72.80-00-00-0
202. Robert Morris (11-4)72.30-00-00-0
224. Central Conn (8-6)70.50-00-00-0
236. Mt St Marys (8-7)70.00-00-00-0
246. Liu Brooklyn (9-5)69.40-00-00-0
318. St Francis NY (4-10)62.30-00-00-1
325. Fair Dickinson (4-8)61.40-00-00-0
332. Monmouth NJ (2-11)59.20-00-00-0
333. St Francis PA (2-12)58.90-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 61.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
241. Alabama St (8-2)69.60-00-00-0
312. Southern (6-4)63.50-00-10-0
313. Jackson St (7-5)63.40-00-00-0
315. Alabama A&M (6-3)63.30-00-00-0
317. Miss Valley St (6-4)62.60-00-00-0
334. Grambling (4-5)58.40-00-00-0
335. Alcorn St (4-5)58.20-00-00-0
337. Texas Southern (4-7)57.80-00-00-0
338. Prairie View (4-7)57.70-00-00-0
339. Ark Pine Bluff (4-6)57.20-00-00-0
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