NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Non-League

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5666


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. North Carolina (19-1)0.68124-13-04-0
14. Duke (14-2)0.63033-20-03-0
23. Miami Fla (13-2)0.60990-12-01-0
62. Clemson (11-3)0.55890-02-20-1
63. North Carolina St (11-3)0.55871-11-00-0
85. Virginia Tech (11-6)0.54590-11-20-0
90. Maryland (11-6)0.54270-10-01-4
91. Wake Forest (10-3)0.54260-11-00-2
100. Virginia (12-4)0.53720-11-00-2
101. Florida St (11-5)0.53710-11-01-2
107. Georgia Tech (7-7)0.53420-31-11-1
126. Boston College (9-4)0.52030-10-11-0


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5645


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Kansas (20-0)0.67724-03-04-0
7. Texas (15-3)0.63813-32-02-0
26. Texas A&M (14-2)0.59960-12-11-0
35. Oklahoma (13-4)0.59091-22-12-1
49. Baylor (11-3)0.56960-11-20-0
67. Texas Tech (8-5)0.55690-21-01-2
77. Kansas St (10-5)0.55090-21-11-2
86. Nebraska (12-3)0.54540-00-33-0
102. Missouri (10-5)0.53650-11-21-1
133. Oklahoma St (8-6)0.51670-20-00-2
154. Colorado (7-6)0.49940-20-00-2
170. Iowa St (9-5)0.49200-11-00-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5601


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Louisville (13-4)0.63052-11-33-0
19. Pittsburgh (12-2)0.62121-10-12-0
21. Georgetown (11-2)0.61220-20-02-0
24. Villanova (12-3)0.60441-10-03-1
27. West Virginia (12-3)0.59951-21-11-0
32. Marquette (11-2)0.59531-20-03-0
37. Syracuse (12-4)0.59030-00-34-1
39. Connecticut (11-3)0.58760-11-11-1
57. Providence (9-3)0.56300-01-12-1
75. Seton Hall (10-3)0.55330-00-10-0
95. Notre Dame (11-3)0.53980-11-11-1
105. South Florida (9-4)0.53450-01-01-2
153. St Johns (6-6)0.49990-10-10-2
182. Cincinnati (5-8)0.48110-20-21-2
189. DePaul (5-7)0.47880-30-20-0
206. Rutgers (8-5)0.47090-10-00-2


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5591


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. UCLA (15-2)0.63453-22-02-0
12. Washington St (14-1)0.63110-13-02-0
15. Arizona (9-4)0.62961-31-03-0
38. Stanford (13-2)0.58791-10-03-1
50. California (10-3)0.56950-00-23-1
70. USC (9-4)0.55450-21-13-0
80. Oregon (9-4)0.54930-01-21-1
104. Arizona St (12-3)0.53461-00-01-2
164. Washington (9-5)0.49610-10-12-3
305. Oregon St (6-5)0.40390-00-00-0


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5513


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Tennessee (15-2)0.69074-23-02-0
10. Mississippi (17-1)0.63121-01-14-0
17. Vanderbilt (15-1)0.62590-02-05-1
34. Arkansas (12-4)0.59100-12-12-0
52. Florida (16-3)0.56900-01-23-1
89. Alabama (11-4)0.54300-20-10-1
93. Mississippi St (10-6)0.54060-20-21-2
134. Auburn (10-3)0.51670-20-00-0
148. Georgia (8-5)0.50780-20-11-0
176. South Carolina (8-6)0.48470-10-20-1
213. Kentucky (6-8)0.46710-30-20-2
241. LSU (6-7)0.44780-00-20-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5424


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Michigan St (14-2)0.64362-21-02-0
11. Ohio St (14-4)0.63110-33-15-0
22. Wisconsin (12-3)0.61121-31-03-0
45. Indiana (11-3)0.57300-21-13-0
111. Illinois (8-5)0.53240-10-12-2
116. Minnesota (10-3)0.52740-10-00-2
127. Purdue (10-5)0.51911-21-00-0
162. Northwestern (6-4)0.49670-10-00-0
169. Penn St (8-4)0.49230-00-01-1
172. Michigan (4-8)0.49120-40-10-0
240. Iowa (7-6)0.44880-10-00-2


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5402


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Dayton (14-2)0.65202-01-14-1
9. Xavier (15-4)0.63422-24-02-2
18. Massachusetts (15-4)0.62260-10-16-1
25. Rhode Island (14-2)0.60050-01-11-0
56. Duquesne (10-3)0.56350-30-00-0
73. St Josephs (9-5)0.55420-01-31-1
109. Charlotte (9-6)0.53282-00-01-4
115. Temple (7-8)0.52780-30-11-2
121. St Louis (8-5)0.52530-20-02-1
156. Richmond (7-7)0.49810-10-01-2
188. Fordham (5-6)0.47890-10-00-1
212. Geo Washington (4-6)0.46740-10-00-2
226. St Bonaventure (6-8)0.45640-00-00-3
239. La Salle (5-8)0.44890-00-20-2


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5385


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Creighton (10-2)0.61820-10-04-1
29. Drake (8-2)0.59671-00-20-0
64. Southern Ill (7-7)0.55830-13-22-2
68. Bradley (12-7)0.55490-30-03-3
74. Illinois St (9-4)0.55370-10-22-0
103. Missouri St (7-5)0.53640-00-20-1
135. Indiana St (5-5)0.51650-10-10-1
143. Wichita St (7-5)0.51120-01-11-0
181. Northern Iowa (7-4)0.48140-01-00-1
225. Evansville (5-5)0.45750-10-01-1


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.5210


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Butler (14-2)0.62910-22-07-0
43. Cleveland St (9-6)0.57580-10-24-1
112. Illinois Chi (7-6)0.52970-00-12-3
120. Wright St (8-6)0.52550-00-13-4
124. Wisc Green Bay (7-7)0.52290-20-21-2
151. Wisc Milwaukee (5-7)0.50380-30-01-3
163. Loyola Chi (5-6)0.49650-00-12-1
197. Youngstown St (2-9)0.47450-20-10-3
270. Detroit (3-9)0.43101-00-10-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5126


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Memphis (19-2)0.68755-25-02-0
58. Houston (13-3)0.56290-00-23-1
82. Uab (11-6)0.54840-00-02-3
88. Tulsa (13-5)0.54330-00-15-2
114. Tulane (9-4)0.52870-00-11-1
130. Marshall (6-5)0.51830-20-01-1
130. Marshall (6-5)0.51830-20-01-1
131. Texas El Paso (9-5)0.51770-10-10-3
183. Central Florida (7-7)0.48100-10-31-2
216. SO Mississippi (4-6)0.46600-00-20-1
236. Rice (3-10)0.45070-20-20-0
252. East Carolina (4-6)0.44110-10-01-0
314. SMU (4-7)0.39960-00-10-1


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5114


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. UNLV (11-4)0.58751-20-12-1
60. New Mexico (13-3)0.56070-00-12-1
71. Utah (9-5)0.55440-00-12-2
78. BYU (11-5)0.55041-20-10-1
94. San Diego St (9-5)0.53990-00-22-2
200. Colorado St (5-7)0.47270-10-01-1
233. Wyoming (5-6)0.45240-00-00-1
247. TCU (7-5)0.44480-10-10-1
253. Air Force (6-5)0.44010-10-00-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5044


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Kent (12-4)0.59630-32-02-0
36. Ohio (11-5)0.59040-10-13-2
48. Miami Ohio (6-8)0.57031-22-20-3
76. Akron (11-5)0.55320-00-23-2
140. Central Mich (4-7)0.51210-00-01-1
149. Western Mich (7-7)0.50591-00-01-4
202. Toledo (3-10)0.47240-20-20-2
207. Buffalo (6-6)0.47080-20-00-0
217. Bowling Green (6-7)0.46510-00-11-1
227. Northern Ill (3-9)0.45510-00-20-2
245. Eastern Mich (5-8)0.44540-01-10-2
290. Ball St (1-12)0.41630-20-20-3


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4988


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. St Marys CA (12-4)0.59591-20-14-1
33. Gonzaga (11-6)0.59121-41-14-1
139. Pepperdine (5-10)0.51340-10-10-2
141. San Diego (7-11)0.51201-10-31-5
158. Santa Clara (6-7)0.49790-10-01-2
269. Portland (5-10)0.43110-00-10-3
275. Loyola Marymnt (3-13)0.42750-00-21-4
283. San Francisco (3-11)0.42120-00-20-3


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4965


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Davidson (5-7)0.59792-41-00-1
53. Wofford (3-3)0.56770-11-10-0
69. Geo Southern (5-4)0.55490-01-01-4
72. NC Greensboro (6-3)0.55440-10-01-1
110. Chattanooga (3-5)0.53240-10-20-2
146. Coll Of Charltn (5-5)0.50970-00-11-2
159. Appalachian St (4-5)0.49770-01-00-1
260. Westrn Carolina (3-6)0.43470-00-10-1
297. The Citadel (1-4)0.40940-10-10-0
307. Elon (1-6)0.40280-00-00-3
311. Furman (1-8)0.40060-10-00-1


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4900


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
55. George Mason (8-5)0.56510-12-21-1
66. VA Commonwealth (8-4)0.55760-00-34-0
108. James Madison (8-3)0.53400-00-01-0
137. Drexel (7-6)0.51450-00-10-2
142. Old Dominion (7-8)0.51200-40-11-0
167. Northeastern (4-7)0.49460-10-00-3
174. Delaware (4-7)0.48830-00-00-2
196. NC Wilmington (7-6)0.47610-00-20-0
218. Towson (5-6)0.46500-00-00-1
277. William & Mary (2-7)0.42650-10-00-0
280. Hofstra (4-7)0.42440-00-01-2
282. Georgia St (4-7)0.42220-00-10-2


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4883


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Western KY (12-5)0.57401-20-12-1
47. South Alabama (10-4)0.57210-21-11-1
65. North Texas (8-3)0.55770-10-01-0
160. Arkansas Lr (10-3)0.49760-00-11-0
175. Ul Lafayette (6-7)0.48610-10-10-2
178. New Orleans (8-4)0.48420-00-00-0
210. Troy St (6-6)0.46830-00-10-0
219. Middle Tenn St (4-9)0.46360-20-01-3
231. Arkansas St (6-7)0.45270-10-00-1
281. Florida Intl (4-9)0.42350-00-20-2
320. Denver (4-9)0.39200-00-10-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4837


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Iupui (12-3)0.55960-11-00-1
96. Valparaiso (20-14)0.53940-50-05-4
98. Oral Roberts (10-8)0.53770-20-32-1
180. Oakland (7-8)0.48160-20-01-0
234. Centenary (7-10)0.45230-00-11-1
246. Western Ill (6-9)0.44500-10-10-0
274. Southern Utah (5-12)0.42880-00-10-5
278. Mo Kansas City (6-11)0.42520-10-10-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4819


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
46. Siena (7-6)0.57232-10-11-3
83. Niagara (7-3)0.54730-00-00-0
99. Marist (6-6)0.53750-00-21-3
152. Rider (8-5)0.50200-00-10-0
187. Loyola MD (6-7)0.47920-10-11-0
214. Iona (4-9)0.46650-30-00-0
220. Fairfield (3-8)0.46210-10-01-1
256. Manhattan (6-5)0.43750-00-00-0
296. St Peters (3-8)0.40940-00-00-1
303. Canisius (3-8)0.40550-10-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4776


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. UC Santa Barbara (12-4)0.56131-20-10-1
113. CS Fullerton (10-5)0.52880-10-21-1
147. Pacific (11-4)0.50850-00-01-1
150. CS Northridge (9-5)0.50430-00-11-0
185. Cal Poly (6-8)0.48000-00-21-2
242. UC Irvine (6-9)0.44740-00-21-4
309. UC Riverside (4-9)0.40160-00-20-2
323. Long Beach St (5-11)0.38890-00-10-1


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4739


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. Holy Cross (10-4)0.56950-00-12-2
128. American (8-8)0.51890-20-11-1
144. Lafayette (9-6)0.51050-10-11-0
179. Colgate (9-6)0.48310-00-11-1
250. Bucknell (5-10)0.44350-00-11-1
257. Army (7-7)0.43600-00-00-1
284. Lehigh (7-7)0.42050-00-00-2
298. Navy (7-8)0.40930-00-00-1


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4713


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
41. Sam Houston (8-1)0.58060-00-01-1
42. Stephen Austin (7-2)0.57950-01-11-1
81. Texas Arlington (7-3)0.54850-10-00-1
173. Central Arkansas (6-4)0.48880-00-00-2
184. Nicholls St (3-10)0.48010-20-10-2
203. McNeese St (3-6)0.47240-00-10-0
204. SE Louisiana (4-5)0.47150-00-10-0
238. Ul Monroe (7-19)0.45040-20-50-0
268. Texas St (4-6)0.43120-10-10-0
287. Tex San Antonio (2-7)0.41810-10-10-2
299. Texas A&M-CC (3-10)0.40820-10-11-1
302. Lamar (2-7)0.40570-00-20-2
321. Northwestern St (1-9)0.39160-10-10-3


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4689


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
84. Utah St (10-6)0.54730-10-13-1
97. Nevada (7-7)0.53890-20-01-3
119. Boise St (9-5)0.52650-21-01-1
145. San Jose St (8-6)0.51040-10-01-1
171. Fresno St (7-7)0.49140-20-20-2
198. New Mexico St (6-9)0.47380-40-01-2
322. Hawaii (4-9)0.39070-00-00-5
332. Louisiana Tech (3-10)0.37570-00-10-1
336. Idaho (2-9)0.36580-10-10-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4630


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
117. Brown (8-7)0.52720-00-21-2
125. Cornell (7-6)0.52060-20-01-2
129. Yale (5-8)0.51870-30-10-0
211. Columbia (6-8)0.46780-00-20-1
235. Dartmouth (6-7)0.45120-00-00-1
258. Harvard (5-11)0.43500-10-00-1
304. Pennsylvania (5-12)0.40550-10-20-2
331. Princeton (2-11)0.37820-10-00-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4621


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
123. Portland St (7-8)0.52330-30-02-1
132. Northrn Arizona (8-6)0.51720-21-10-1
165. Montana (6-7)0.49510-10-10-2
166. Montana St (7-6)0.49480-10-01-3
249. Weber St (5-7)0.44430-00-11-2
261. Eastern Wash (4-10)0.43440-20-00-3
291. Idaho St (2-11)0.41570-20-10-2
334. Sacramento St (1-11)0.37230-20-10-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4561


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
136. Wagner (11-5)0.51630-00-10-0
138. Robert Morris (11-6)0.51390-00-00-1
161. Mt St Marys (8-10)0.49690-10-10-2
199. Liu Brooklyn (8-7)0.47350-00-10-0
221. Central Conn (6-10)0.46040-00-11-0
244. Fair Dickinson (4-9)0.44640-00-00-4
300. St Francis NY (4-11)0.40670-00-00-1
308. Monmouth NJ (3-13)0.40180-00-11-0
324. St Francis PA (1-12)0.38850-00-00-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4474


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. Umbc (7-6)0.54960-20-11-0
186. Hartford (6-9)0.47920-10-20-0
191. Vermont (6-7)0.47830-00-00-2
224. Albany NY (5-8)0.45820-10-00-2
254. Binghamton (5-8)0.44000-00-00-2
264. Boston U (4-9)0.43320-10-10-1
310. Maine (3-9)0.40120-10-00-1
317. Stony Brook (3-9)0.39370-00-10-3
318. New Hampshire (2-9)0.39300-00-00-1


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4452


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
92. Belmont (7-7)0.54070-20-00-3
122. East Tenn St (6-7)0.52340-00-21-2
168. Jacksonville (3-8)0.49340-20-20-2
195. Gardner-Webb (5-8)0.47640-30-11-1
209. Lipscomb (5-8)0.46840-10-10-0
223. Fla Gulf Coast (4-10)0.45840-20-00-4
229. Fla Atlantic (12-18)0.45480-10-40-2
292. Stetson (4-9)0.41460-00-20-3
293. Mercer (4-8)0.41440-01-00-0
306. SC Upstate (1-11)0.40320-00-00-3
316. Campbell (4-8)0.39440-00-00-0
325. North Florida (1-10)0.38810-00-20-3
337. Kennesaw St (2-11)0.35690-10-10-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4444


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
87. Hampton (7-6)0.54520-10-02-3
177. NO Carolina A&T (2-8)0.48440-30-10-1
190. Morgan St (5-8)0.47870-10-11-3
230. Coppin St (3-12)0.45330-30-30-1
237. Delaware St (1-9)0.45050-10-20-3
248. Florida A&M (3-9)0.44460-20-30-1
272. SO Carolina St (4-10)0.42970-10-00-0
286. Bethune Cookman (4-8)0.41880-00-10-0
294. Howard (3-12)0.41110-00-10-1
326. Norfolk St (4-9)0.38660-00-00-1
329. MD Eastrn Shore (2-13)0.38560-10-00-4


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4417


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
106. NC Asheville (7-5)0.53440-20-10-1
118. Winthrop (7-8)0.52670-31-22-0
265. High Point (4-7)0.43220-00-10-3
266. VMI (4-6)0.43200-00-10-0
271. Coast Carolina (4-6)0.43040-00-00-2
289. Liberty (5-8)0.41750-00-00-4
328. Radford (3-10)0.38570-20-00-0
333. Charleston Sou (2-9)0.37480-00-00-2


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4338


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Austin Peay (5-7)0.56550-30-02-3
157. Tenn Martin (3-6)0.49800-30-10-0
194. Murray St (2-5)0.47700-00-20-1
201. Tennessee St (1-6)0.47260-10-10-3
215. SE Missouri St (3-6)0.46620-10-10-2
228. Samford (2-5)0.45480-10-00-2
243. Eastern KY (2-5)0.44690-10-20-0
263. Morehead St (1-6)0.43340-10-10-1
327. Tennessee Tech (1-8)0.38650-00-00-3
340. Jacksonville St (0-7)0.29180-00-00-1
341. Eastern Ill (0-8)0.27930-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4241


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
192. North Dakota St (10-12)0.47770-00-01-5
205. IPFW (9-16)0.47120-40-00-7
208. Chicago St (4-15)0.46970-20-20-5
222. Utah Valley St (6-12)0.46000-10-00-5
251. Savannah St (7-16)0.44280-20-20-2
259. NC Central (2-20)0.43480-30-20-3
273. Northern Colorado (11-16)0.42960-00-11-2
279. TX Pan American (6-12)0.42450-10-00-1
288. CSU Bakersfield (7-16)0.41800-00-11-4
295. Winston-Salem (10-17)0.41010-00-10-0
312. UC Davis (5-22)0.40030-20-01-4
315. Longwood (4-20)0.39850-10-10-1
319. South Dakota St (6-17)0.39240-00-00-4
330. Presbyterian (2-24)0.38560-10-30-6
338. NJIT (0-20)0.34720-00-00-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4126


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
232. Miss Valley St (0-10)0.45260-30-30-1
255. Southern (1-8)0.43830-00-10-2
262. Texas Southern (1-12)0.43340-10-10-3
267. Alabama St (1-7)0.43170-00-20-1
276. Jackson St (2-11)0.42690-10-20-3
285. Prairie View (1-10)0.41890-20-10-2
301. Ark Pine Bluff (2-7)0.40620-00-10-1
313. Grambling (0-5)0.40000-00-10-2
335. Alabama A&M (0-7)0.37220-00-20-1
339. Alcorn St (0-11)0.34610-00-10-1
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