NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI League

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5745


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. North Carolina (17-2)0.67344-11-06-1
8. Duke (14-4)0.65202-21-16-0
16. Clemson (12-7)0.62971-41-14-2
41. Virginia Tech (10-8)0.59140-41-14-1
48. Florida St (8-10)0.57601-52-01-2
53. Georgia Tech (8-10)0.56841-40-21-3
55. Miami Fla (9-9)0.56792-30-04-3
70. Maryland (8-9)0.55831-30-12-2
115. Wake Forest (7-10)0.53201-21-03-6
131. Boston College (5-13)0.51960-51-12-5
136. North Carolina St (4-13)0.51630-61-12-3
152. Virginia (5-12)0.50940-40-12-6


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5717


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Texas (15-4)0.66781-17-15-1
4. Kansas (16-3)0.66481-15-14-1
36. Kansas St (10-7)0.59601-22-22-2
40. Oklahoma (10-8)0.59170-43-24-1
43. Texas A&M (10-9)0.58391-33-32-3
49. Baylor (9-8)0.57520-32-34-1
50. Oklahoma St (8-10)0.57001-32-53-1
77. Nebraska (8-10)0.55310-43-21-1
89. Texas Tech (7-10)0.54761-22-51-3
123. Missouri (6-11)0.52591-21-41-4
175. Colorado (4-14)0.49460-32-51-3
184. Iowa St (4-13)0.48940-30-62-2


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5698


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. UCLA (19-2)0.67495-04-17-0
10. Stanford (15-6)0.64003-34-14-2
27. USC (12-8)0.60472-51-15-2
42. Washington St (12-8)0.59080-52-26-1
58. Oregon (9-10)0.56471-62-23-1
67. Arizona St (9-10)0.55991-53-22-2
86. Arizona (9-11)0.54822-51-12-4
106. California (7-13)0.53591-61-31-3
114. Washington (7-12)0.53271-51-33-4
250. Oregon St (0-19)0.44650-60-50-6


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5694


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Tennessee (15-3)0.65691-13-15-1
9. Kentucky (12-5)0.64392-22-13-2
19. Mississippi St (13-5)0.62180-22-23-1
28. Vanderbilt (11-7)0.60341-11-34-2
37. Arkansas (11-8)0.59573-12-21-3
68. Florida (8-9)0.55981-30-33-1
75. Georgia (8-12)0.55480-44-21-4
103. South Carolina (6-12)0.53940-52-11-5
121. LSU (6-11)0.52820-21-52-1
134. Mississippi (7-10)0.51781-12-22-2
150. Alabama (6-12)0.51001-12-51-3
164. Auburn (4-13)0.50100-32-40-3


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5626


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Georgetown (17-4)0.65575-33-01-1
13. Notre Dame (14-5)0.63604-51-01-0
15. Louisville (14-5)0.63215-32-01-0
22. Connecticut (13-6)0.61074-21-21-0
25. Pittsburgh (14-8)0.60845-41-21-0
26. Marquette (13-8)0.60791-63-10-1
35. West Virginia (13-8)0.59733-50-21-0
60. Villanova (10-10)0.56343-50-12-1
78. Syracuse (9-10)0.55252-51-30-0
93. Cincinnati (8-11)0.54653-61-11-0
132. DePaul (6-12)0.51950-61-30-1
137. Seton Hall (7-12)0.51591-70-20-1
149. Providence (6-13)0.51062-70-20-1
157. St Johns (5-13)0.50730-80-20-1
203. Rutgers (3-15)0.47501-61-10-1
221. South Florida (3-15)0.46200-60-21-1


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5500


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Wisconsin (19-2)0.63912-03-20-0
18. Purdue (15-4)0.62543-11-20-0
21. Indiana (14-5)0.61231-33-00-0
33. Michigan St (13-7)0.60030-24-30-0
82. Ohio St (10-9)0.54991-31-30-0
109. Minnesota (10-11)0.53440-42-40-0
113. Illinois (8-14)0.53320-51-60-0
141. Penn St (7-12)0.51461-31-40-0
172. Iowa (6-13)0.49701-31-50-0
173. Michigan (6-14)0.49610-41-40-0
248. Northwestern (1-18)0.44800-40-60-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5360


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Xavier (15-3)0.63620-04-03-3
29. Temple (14-5)0.60321-01-15-2
44. St Josephs (12-8)0.58332-12-12-3
59. Charlotte (11-8)0.56370-11-24-2
71. Massachusetts (10-7)0.55820-11-03-4
91. Dayton (9-9)0.54680-30-14-1
104. Richmond (9-8)0.53680-11-13-3
112. La Salle (9-9)0.53340-11-11-4
135. St Louis (7-10)0.51710-11-42-2
153. Rhode Island (7-10)0.50910-11-30-4
161. Fordham (6-11)0.50270-11-12-5
178. Geo Washington (5-11)0.49340-21-11-4
191. Duquesne (7-10)0.48330-11-11-3
259. St Bonaventure (2-14)0.43630-10-20-4


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5336


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Drake (18-3)0.63390-06-02-2
32. Illinois St (15-6)0.60110-32-03-1
65. Southern Ill (11-8)0.56041-11-32-0
80. Creighton (11-9)0.55060-30-23-2
102. Northern Iowa (10-10)0.53940-21-43-2
122. Bradley (9-10)0.52761-12-30-2
126. Indiana St (9-11)0.52220-32-22-2
142. Missouri St (9-11)0.51351-10-52-2
243. Wichita St (4-15)0.45070-20-41-3
256. Evansville (3-16)0.43690-21-30-4


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5308


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. BYU (16-3)0.62761-20-06-1
20. UNLV (15-4)0.61530-02-15-2
64. New Mexico (11-6)0.56061-10-23-2
85. San Diego St (10-8)0.54840-21-22-2
124. Utah (8-10)0.52401-20-22-3
125. Air Force (8-9)0.52381-10-21-6
180. TCU (6-11)0.49230-30-23-3
216. Wyoming (5-12)0.46700-20-22-4
285. Colorado St (1-17)0.41810-20-30-6


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5220


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Memphis (19-0)0.65840-02-05-0
38. Uab (12-5)0.59550-20-02-1
61. SO Mississippi (11-8)0.56320-31-10-2
62. Tulsa (12-9)0.56300-31-11-1
79. Houston (11-7)0.55200-20-11-1
110. Texas El Paso (10-9)0.53410-10-23-3
133. Central Florida (9-8)0.51900-10-11-3
144. Marshall (8-9)0.51250-11-11-2
144. Marshall (8-9)0.51250-11-11-2
187. Tulane (7-11)0.48740-20-21-1
227. SMU (4-13)0.46020-20-10-4
249. East Carolina (5-12)0.44710-10-11-2
319. Rice (0-17)0.38070-10-10-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.5027


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Western KY (15-2)0.61040-00-20-0
39. South Alabama (14-3)0.59220-02-00-0
51. Middle Tenn St (12-6)0.56950-02-40-0
159. New Orleans (9-9)0.50560-00-40-0
176. Ul Lafayette (8-8)0.49420-00-20-0
179. Arkansas Lr (8-8)0.49290-00-30-0
185. North Texas (9-8)0.48850-01-20-0
213. Denver (6-10)0.46880-00-20-0
241. Florida Intl (4-11)0.45200-00-40-0
244. Troy St (4-13)0.45050-00-40-0
297. Arkansas St (2-13)0.40530-00-20-0


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4996


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Butler (16-2)0.60260-00-03-2
63. Wright St (13-4)0.56251-10-01-1
100. Cleveland St (10-7)0.53981-20-01-1
156. Illinois Chi (10-9)0.50750-30-01-3
167. Wisc Green Bay (8-8)0.49890-20-02-2
192. Wisc Milwaukee (8-9)0.48320-20-02-2
245. Youngstown St (5-12)0.45010-20-00-4
261. Loyola Chi (5-13)0.43570-20-01-3
288. Detroit (3-14)0.41660-20-00-5


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4991


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
52. American (13-4)0.56860-00-00-0
130. Navy (9-6)0.51970-00-02-0
162. Colgate (9-8)0.50210-00-00-3
170. Bucknell (7-9)0.49750-00-01-1
181. Army (7-9)0.49230-00-00-3
188. Lehigh (7-8)0.48640-00-00-2
211. Lafayette (6-9)0.47050-00-00-2
237. Holy Cross (5-10)0.45610-00-01-2


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4990


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
57. CS Fullerton (13-4)0.56600-00-00-2
81. UC Irvine (11-7)0.55010-00-03-3
90. CS Northridge (10-5)0.54730-00-02-3
119. UC Santa Barbara (10-5)0.52960-00-02-0
128. Pacific (9-6)0.52060-00-02-2
246. Cal Poly (5-10)0.44990-00-00-4
258. UC Riverside (4-12)0.43650-00-00-5
311. Long Beach St (1-14)0.39210-00-00-4


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4916


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Oral Roberts (13-1)0.60240-00-02-1
95. Iupui (11-4)0.54480-00-01-2
101. Valparaiso (0-0)0.53940-00-00-0
154. Oakland (8-6)0.50900-00-01-4
182. Southern Utah (6-6)0.49210-00-00-4
270. Western Ill (4-9)0.42850-00-00-4
277. Mo Kansas City (3-10)0.42390-00-00-5
309. Centenary (2-11)0.39220-00-01-4


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4915


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. VA Commonwealth (16-4)0.56640-00-00-1
73. George Mason (15-6)0.55600-00-01-0
84. NC Wilmington (13-7)0.54890-00-02-3
111. William & Mary (13-9)0.53380-00-01-4
127. Old Dominion (11-8)0.52150-00-02-2
177. Northeastern (10-10)0.49370-00-01-3
183. Delaware (10-10)0.49080-00-01-3
210. Hofstra (8-11)0.47080-00-00-3
240. Towson (8-12)0.45240-00-00-4
272. James Madison (5-14)0.42820-00-01-3
273. Georgia St (5-14)0.42690-00-01-2
293. Drexel (5-14)0.40850-00-00-3


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4870


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. Kent (16-3)0.59770-00-07-1
76. Akron (13-6)0.55360-30-04-0
97. Western Mich (13-5)0.54110-10-02-2
118. Miami Ohio (11-8)0.53140-30-02-3
160. Ohio (9-8)0.50381-10-01-4
190. Toledo (8-9)0.48441-10-01-2
209. Bowling Green (7-10)0.47081-10-02-4
212. Central Mich (9-9)0.47010-10-01-3
217. Eastern Mich (9-9)0.46690-10-01-2
286. Buffalo (3-14)0.41760-20-00-7
287. Ball St (5-12)0.41730-10-00-3
314. Northern Ill (3-13)0.38880-10-01-2


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4835


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
92. Siena (16-5)0.54650-00-00-0
96. Rider (15-6)0.54280-00-01-2
107. Loyola MD (13-7)0.53550-00-02-1
129. Marist (12-8)0.52050-00-00-2
138. Niagara (12-7)0.51560-00-00-2
148. Fairfield (11-8)0.51070-00-01-1
235. Iona (8-11)0.45660-00-00-2
278. Manhattan (6-14)0.42300-00-01-2
308. St Peters (3-16)0.39270-00-00-2
313. Canisius (3-17)0.39080-00-00-2


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4799


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
72. Boise St (15-4)0.55730-00-03-2
83. Utah St (13-5)0.54960-00-03-2
87. New Mexico St (14-5)0.54810-00-04-4
88. Nevada (13-5)0.54800-00-01-3
218. Hawaii (7-10)0.46570-00-01-6
254. Idaho (5-12)0.43860-00-00-6
282. Fresno St (5-12)0.42020-00-00-7
299. San Jose St (5-13)0.40300-00-02-5
315. Louisiana Tech (3-14)0.38850-00-00-6


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4764


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
46. San Diego (14-3)0.58110-03-30-0
47. Gonzaga (14-2)0.58060-01-12-1
69. St Marys CA (12-3)0.55850-01-11-2
224. Santa Clara (7-9)0.46140-00-50-2
260. San Francisco (6-10)0.43630-00-40-2
271. Pepperdine (5-11)0.42820-00-40-3
307. Portland (3-12)0.39280-00-40-2
327. Loyola Marymnt (2-13)0.37250-00-40-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4760


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. Davidson (23-0)0.61050-00-00-0
143. Appalachian St (13-8)0.51290-20-00-0
147. Chattanooga (13-8)0.51150-20-00-0
155. NC Greensboro (13-9)0.50890-30-00-0
158. Geo Southern (13-8)0.50640-20-00-0
189. Elon (12-12)0.48510-30-00-0
226. Coll Of Charltn (11-12)0.46120-20-00-0
239. Wofford (9-13)0.45310-30-00-0
290. Furman (6-15)0.41470-20-00-0
292. Westrn Carolina (6-15)0.41120-20-00-0
331. The Citadel (1-20)0.36020-20-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4730


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
74. Lamar (13-4)0.55490-00-01-1
94. Stephen Austin (15-4)0.54490-00-01-1
146. Northwestern St (11-8)0.51210-00-02-1
151. Sam Houston (11-7)0.50950-00-01-1
174. Texas Arlington (10-9)0.49550-00-02-3
197. Tex San Antonio (7-10)0.47760-00-00-5
202. SE Louisiana (9-8)0.47530-00-01-1
219. Texas A&M-CC (6-10)0.46430-00-01-3
229. Texas St (6-10)0.46000-00-01-3
242. McNeese St (7-10)0.45180-00-00-3
274. Nicholls St (6-11)0.42680-00-01-1
303. Central Arkansas (4-12)0.39660-00-00-2
321. Ul Monroe (0-2)0.37970-00-00-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4639


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
105. Wagner (12-3)0.53610-00-00-0
120. Robert Morris (15-2)0.52860-00-00-0
139. Mt St Marys (11-5)0.51530-00-00-0
193. Central Conn (8-6)0.48310-00-00-0
208. Liu Brooklyn (7-8)0.47150-00-00-0
266. Monmouth NJ (4-11)0.43110-00-00-0
294. St Francis PA (4-11)0.40790-00-00-0
295. Fair Dickinson (4-11)0.40760-00-00-0
305. St Francis NY (3-11)0.39360-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4581


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Portland St (14-2)0.56810-00-00-0
140. Northrn Arizona (11-5)0.51500-00-00-3
169. Weber St (10-6)0.49790-00-01-1
214. Idaho St (8-8)0.46860-00-00-3
276. Montana (6-9)0.42490-00-00-2
281. Montana St (6-9)0.42150-00-00-2
289. Eastern Wash (5-9)0.41600-00-01-1
332. Sacramento St (1-13)0.35290-00-00-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4569


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. Cornell (14-0)0.58140-00-00-0
117. Brown (11-3)0.53150-00-00-2
186. Pennsylvania (8-6)0.48770-00-00-2
231. Yale (7-7)0.45870-00-00-2
232. Columbia (7-7)0.45860-00-00-2
317. Princeton (3-11)0.38280-00-00-2
320. Dartmouth (3-11)0.38030-00-00-2
324. Harvard (3-11)0.37410-00-00-2


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4553


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
116. Winthrop (13-4)0.53170-00-00-0
166. NC Asheville (12-5)0.49910-00-00-0
201. High Point (9-7)0.47570-00-00-0
225. Liberty (8-8)0.46120-00-00-0
265. VMI (6-9)0.43250-00-00-0
269. Coast Carolina (6-9)0.42930-00-00-0
284. Radford (5-10)0.41870-00-00-0
304. Charleston Sou (4-11)0.39440-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4549


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
99. Umbc (16-3)0.54010-00-00-0
171. Hartford (12-7)0.49710-00-01-2
200. Vermont (10-8)0.47640-00-00-3
205. Boston U (10-8)0.47360-00-00-2
206. Albany NY (10-7)0.47290-00-00-2
233. Binghamton (9-8)0.45780-00-01-1
283. New Hampshire (6-11)0.41910-00-00-2
318. Stony Brook (4-14)0.38250-00-00-3
322. Maine (3-14)0.37440-00-01-1


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4445


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
66. Belmont (17-2)0.56010-00-00-0
145. Fla Atlantic (3-0)0.51220-00-00-0
163. Jacksonville (14-5)0.50150-00-00-2
165. East Tenn St (12-6)0.50010-00-00-3
215. Gardner-Webb (10-8)0.46750-00-00-2
222. Stetson (11-7)0.46180-00-00-1
238. Lipscomb (9-8)0.45540-00-00-2
291. Kennesaw St (7-9)0.41180-00-01-0
296. SC Upstate (5-11)0.40710-00-00-2
298. Campbell (5-12)0.40500-00-01-2
312. Fla Gulf Coast (6-11)0.39110-00-00-1
316. Mercer (6-11)0.38720-00-00-1
337. North Florida (1-16)0.31810-00-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4441


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
98. Austin Peay (19-4)0.54060-00-00-0
196. Murray St (14-8)0.47810-00-01-1
223. Tennessee St (12-11)0.46160-00-01-2
228. Morehead St (12-9)0.46010-00-00-2
236. Tenn Martin (12-10)0.45630-00-00-3
251. Tennessee Tech (10-11)0.44380-00-00-2
252. Eastern KY (10-11)0.44220-00-00-3
257. Samford (10-11)0.43650-00-01-1
300. SE Missouri St (7-13)0.39930-00-01-1
310. Eastern Ill (6-14)0.39220-00-00-2
323. Jacksonville St (5-15)0.37420-00-00-2


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4337


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
108. Morgan St (16-3)0.53530-00-00-0
195. Norfolk St (12-6)0.47880-00-00-0
199. Hampton (11-6)0.47660-00-00-0
207. Delaware St (11-7)0.47190-00-00-0
234. Coppin St (11-9)0.45710-00-00-0
253. Florida A&M (10-8)0.44200-00-00-0
255. NO Carolina A&T (9-8)0.43710-00-00-0
279. SO Carolina St (8-10)0.42300-00-00-0
325. Bethune Cookman (5-12)0.37370-00-00-0
333. Howard (3-14)0.35280-00-00-0
335. MD Eastrn Shore (2-15)0.32270-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
204. North Dakota St (4-1)0.47410-00-00-0
230. UC Davis (2-0)0.45940-00-00-0
247. Savannah St (3-1)0.44800-00-00-0
263. Chicago St (4-2)0.43450-00-00-0
264. Utah Valley St (7-2)0.43400-00-00-0
267. TX Pan American (7-1)0.43070-00-00-0
268. Northern Colorado (0-0)0.42960-00-00-0
280. IPFW (2-2)0.42220-00-00-0
306. NC Central (1-3)0.39350-00-00-0
334. South Dakota St (1-4)0.34630-00-00-0
336. Longwood (2-2)0.31890-00-00-0
338. CSU Bakersfield (1-5)0.31290-00-00-0
339. NJIT (0-9)0.27150-00-00-0
340. Presbyterian (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
341. Winston-Salem (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4065


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
194. Alabama St (16-4)0.48290-00-00-0
220. Miss Valley St (15-6)0.46320-00-00-0
262. Jackson St (12-9)0.43490-00-00-0
275. Alabama A&M (11-8)0.42540-00-00-0
301. Southern (9-10)0.39880-00-00-0
302. Ark Pine Bluff (9-11)0.39770-00-00-0
326. Grambling (7-12)0.37340-00-00-0
328. Prairie View (6-12)0.36390-00-00-0
329. Alcorn St (6-12)0.36350-00-00-0
330. Texas Southern (6-13)0.36080-00-00-0
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