NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Neutral Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:43 CDT 2008

Home Court Advantage = 3.6

BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 86.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (10-0)106.35-02-02-0
7. Texas (7-3)93.42-32-02-0
8. Texas A&M (5-2)92.91-22-01-0
16. Nebraska (2-1)91.00-12-00-0
29. Oklahoma (5-3)87.92-31-00-0
38. Colorado (3-1)86.00-01-10-0
82. Kansas St (3-5)82.40-41-01-1
95. Texas Tech (1-3)81.61-10-10-1
113. Oklahoma St (2-4)79.90-20-01-2
116. Missouri (1-3)79.50-10-11-1
120. Iowa St (1-2)79.30-11-00-1
121. Baylor (3-3)79.31-00-20-0


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 82.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. UCLA (10-1)97.55-11-03-0
12. Stanford (5-2)92.02-21-01-0
18. Washington St (7-2)89.91-21-00-0
30. USC (4-3)86.80-30-03-0
45. California (1-1)85.50-10-01-0
90. Arizona (2-2)81.80-20-01-0
132. Arizona St (2-2)78.00-00-10-1
167. Oregon (1-4)75.80-10-21-0
208. Washington (0-3)71.00-10-10-1
259. Oregon St (1-2)66.30-00-10-0


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 82.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Pittsburgh (6-1)95.14-10-01-0
19. Georgetown (4-2)89.71-21-01-0
21. West Virginia (7-4)89.02-31-12-0
22. Louisville (4-4)88.91-21-20-0
23. Marquette (4-3)88.81-30-02-0
26. Villanova (6-3)88.21-21-03-0
72. Providence (3-3)83.10-11-11-1
78. Seton Hall (2-1)82.60-10-01-0
80. Notre Dame (3-4)82.51-20-21-0
84. South Florida (2-1)82.30-00-01-1
129. DePaul (1-2)78.30-10-10-0
130. Syracuse (1-2)78.20-00-21-0
160. Connecticut (1-4)76.20-30-00-0
163. Cincinnati (0-1)75.90-10-00-0
186. Rutgers (0-0)73.40-00-00-0
263. St Johns (0-2)66.10-00-00-1


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 81.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Tennessee (6-3)88.62-21-12-0
34. Arkansas (6-4)86.51-12-02-2
35. Alabama (3-2)86.30-11-11-0
54. Georgia (4-4)84.20-23-01-0
61. Mississippi (5-2)83.81-00-11-1
85. Mississippi St (4-4)82.30-11-01-3
92. South Carolina (3-3)81.70-10-01-1
100. Vanderbilt (3-2)81.10-00-11-1
109. Florida (3-2)80.40-00-11-1
158. Auburn (2-2)76.30-10-00-1
198. Kentucky (0-3)71.60-10-00-2
202. LSU (0-4)71.20-00-10-3


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 80.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. North Carolina (9-1)97.53-13-01-0
32. Clemson (3-3)86.61-10-20-0
36. Virginia Tech (3-3)86.20-21-10-0
37. Duke (5-3)86.21-31-01-0
43. Georgia Tech (3-2)85.61-10-02-0
50. Miami Fla (5-3)84.80-11-12-0
57. North Carolina St (3-1)84.10-01-11-0
93. Florida St (2-4)81.70-10-12-1
115. Boston College (1-2)79.60-10-01-1
244. Maryland (0-4)67.90-10-10-1
253. Wake Forest (0-1)67.10-00-00-1
305. Virginia (0-2)60.90-00-10-0


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 80.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Michigan St (6-3)92.92-33-01-0
11. Wisconsin (5-1)92.22-10-02-0
27. Ohio St (3-2)88.00-23-00-0
28. Illinois (6-3)87.90-22-13-0
64. Minnesota (4-1)83.70-01-00-1
66. Purdue (3-3)83.51-11-01-1
111. Michigan (2-3)80.00-10-10-1
128. Indiana (1-3)78.30-10-11-1
207. Northwestern (0-1)71.00-00-00-1
254. Penn St (0-4)67.00-00-00-3
298. Iowa (0-3)62.20-00-00-1


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 79.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Wisc Green Bay (1-0)92.90-00-00-0
14. Butler (5-1)91.80-11-03-0
55. Cleveland St (3-1)84.10-00-01-0
76. Youngstown St (1-0)82.60-00-00-0
127. Wright St (1-1)78.30-00-00-0
164. Wisc Milwaukee (0-0)75.90-00-00-0
181. Illinois Chi (1-3)74.30-00-00-1
218. Detroit (0-0)70.40-00-00-0
288. Loyola Chi (0-1)63.30-00-00-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 78.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Xavier (7-2)91.92-12-13-0
41. St Josephs (4-2)85.71-00-10-1
56. Rhode Island (5-1)84.10-00-02-1
71. Massachusetts (4-2)83.10-01-10-1
83. Temple (4-4)82.30-11-11-1
87. Dayton (1-1)82.20-10-00-0
105. Charlotte (3-3)80.80-01-11-1
140. St Louis (1-1)77.40-00-00-1
143. St Bonaventure (2-0)77.30-00-00-0
148. Duquesne (1-1)77.00-00-00-0
153. La Salle (1-3)76.70-00-11-1
236. Richmond (1-1)68.70-00-10-0
267. Geo Washington (0-1)65.70-00-00-0
297. Fordham (0-1)62.20-00-10-0


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 77.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. UNLV (1-1)91.40-10-01-0
40. BYU (3-3)85.91-30-01-0
58. Utah (2-1)84.00-01-10-0
104. Colorado St (4-1)80.80-00-10-0
122. San Diego St (3-2)79.30-00-20-0
188. TCU (0-0)73.30-00-00-0
216. New Mexico (0-1)70.40-00-00-1
221. Air Force (1-3)70.30-10-00-1
268. Wyoming (1-2)65.70-00-00-0


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 77.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Drake (3-1)89.60-00-02-1
53. Creighton (1-1)84.20-10-01-0
86. Northern Iowa (1-1)82.30-00-01-1
88. Illinois St (2-3)82.20-10-11-1
103. Southern Ill (2-2)80.80-01-10-0
118. Indiana St (1-1)79.50-10-00-0
134. Bradley (1-2)77.80-00-00-2
149. Missouri St (1-3)76.90-00-10-2
222. Wichita St (1-3)70.10-00-10-0
325. Evansville (0-1)54.30-00-00-1


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 76.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Memphis (8-1)100.14-13-00-0
62. Tulsa (4-1)83.80-00-01-0
73. Tulane (3-1)83.00-00-11-0
77. Texas El Paso (3-1)82.60-00-01-1
89. SO Mississippi (5-1)82.20-00-11-0
133. Houston (2-2)77.90-00-00-1
138. East Carolina (1-1)77.50-00-01-1
156. Central Florida (1-3)76.50-10-10-1
174. Uab (1-4)74.70-00-01-3
211. Marshall (0-2)70.80-10-00-0
211. Marshall (0-2)70.80-10-00-0
276. Rice (1-2)64.70-00-00-1
329. SMU (0-1)53.80-00-00-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 75.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Denver (1-0)90.50-00-00-0
25. Western KY (6-3)88.41-30-00-0
102. South Alabama (2-2)80.90-00-10-1
142. Arkansas Lr (1-1)77.30-00-00-1
144. Middle Tenn St (1-1)77.10-00-00-1
152. Ul Lafayette (1-1)76.70-00-00-1
201. New Orleans (2-1)71.40-00-00-1
229. Florida Intl (0-0)69.20-00-00-0
246. Arkansas St (0-0)67.70-00-00-0
251. North Texas (0-1)67.40-00-00-1
287. Troy St (0-1)63.30-00-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 75.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
47. Gonzaga (5-4)85.31-21-12-1
52. St Marys CA (4-1)84.20-00-12-0
97. San Diego (2-3)81.31-00-10-2
162. Santa Clara (1-1)76.00-10-00-0
190. Pepperdine (2-2)73.00-00-00-1
205. Portland (2-2)71.10-00-00-1
215. San Francisco (1-1)70.50-00-00-0
300. Loyola Marymnt (1-2)61.70-00-00-0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 75.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Davidson (6-2)96.13-20-00-0
63. Elon (3-1)83.70-10-00-0
65. NC Greensboro (2-1)83.60-10-00-0
139. Wofford (3-1)77.50-10-00-0
150. Geo Southern (3-3)76.80-00-11-1
151. Coll Of Charltn (3-3)76.70-00-11-1
161. Appalachian St (2-2)76.00-01-00-0
210. Chattanooga (1-3)70.80-00-00-2
226. Westrn Carolina (1-2)69.60-00-00-0
291. Furman (1-4)62.90-00-00-1
327. The Citadel (0-2)53.90-10-00-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 74.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. Kent (4-2)85.90-10-03-1
42. Miami Ohio (4-2)85.60-01-12-1
101. Akron (4-2)80.90-00-01-1
135. Toledo (1-1)77.70-00-00-1
154. Ohio (2-3)76.70-10-10-1
168. Western Mich (2-2)75.50-00-00-1
179. Central Mich (1-1)74.50-00-00-1
196. Eastern Mich (1-2)72.00-00-00-2
209. Buffalo (1-2)70.90-00-00-1
213. Bowling Green (1-2)70.70-00-00-0
292. Ball St (0-1)62.90-00-00-0
316. Northern Ill (0-3)57.70-00-10-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 73.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
81. George Mason (5-3)82.41-10-11-0
99. William & Mary (3-1)81.20-00-01-1
119. VA Commonwealth (3-3)79.40-00-22-0
126. NC Wilmington (3-1)78.80-00-00-1
137. Towson (1-1)77.60-00-00-1
155. Drexel (2-1)76.60-00-00-0
157. Northeastern (1-1)76.30-00-00-1
191. Delaware (1-1)72.70-00-00-0
238. James Madison (1-1)68.50-00-00-0
260. Old Dominion (0-3)66.30-20-00-0
264. Georgia St (0-1)65.90-00-00-0
315. Hofstra (0-3)57.80-00-10-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 73.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. Dartmouth (1-0)84.50-00-00-0
79. Columbia (1-0)82.50-00-00-0
141. Brown (0-0)77.40-00-00-0
166. Harvard (1-1)75.80-00-00-0
212. Yale (0-0)70.80-00-00-0
227. Pennsylvania (0-0)69.40-00-00-0
281. Cornell (0-1)64.20-10-00-0
294. Princeton (0-2)62.80-10-00-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 73.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Oral Roberts (4-2)83.40-10-02-0
91. Valparaiso (3-1)81.70-00-00-0
98. Oakland (2-1)81.20-01-00-1
131. Iupui (3-2)78.20-00-00-1
192. Centenary (1-1)72.50-00-00-1
214. Mo Kansas City (0-1)70.50-00-00-1
303. Southern Utah (0-1)61.30-00-00-0
317. Western Ill (0-1)57.40-00-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 72.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. CS Fullerton (4-1)86.50-10-00-0
136. Pacific (2-1)77.70-00-01-0
147. UC Irvine (3-4)77.00-00-10-1
177. UC Riverside (1-1)74.60-00-00-1
180. UC Santa Barbara (2-1)74.40-00-00-0
231. CS Northridge (1-2)68.90-00-00-2
269. Cal Poly (1-2)65.50-00-10-0
311. Long Beach St (0-2)58.80-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 72.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Liu Brooklyn (1-0)86.80-00-00-0
59. Monmouth NJ (2-1)83.90-10-01-0
112. Mt St Marys (1-1)79.90-10-00-0
170. Wagner (0-0)75.40-00-00-0
200. Central Conn (0-0)71.40-00-00-0
257. Robert Morris (1-1)66.50-00-00-0
275. St Francis NY (0-0)64.70-00-00-0
290. St Francis PA (0-0)63.10-00-00-0
313. Fair Dickinson (0-2)58.30-00-10-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 72.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
46. Siena (2-1)85.50-00-11-0
60. Manhattan (1-0)83.90-00-00-0
114. Rider (3-2)79.70-10-00-0
159. Niagara (1-1)76.20-00-00-0
165. Marist (2-5)75.90-00-20-2
172. Loyola MD (2-1)75.30-00-00-0
175. Canisius (1-1)74.70-00-00-0
278. Fairfield (0-1)64.50-00-00-0
328. Iona (0-3)53.90-00-00-0
336. St Peters (0-1)50.90-00-00-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 71.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Nevada (1-0)83.20-00-00-0
74. Boise St (2-1)83.00-10-00-0
146. Utah St (2-2)77.10-00-00-1
204. New Mexico St (0-2)71.10-20-00-0
223. San Jose St (2-2)70.00-00-00-0
256. Hawaii (0-1)66.60-00-00-0
266. Idaho (0-0)65.90-00-00-0
273. Fresno St (0-1)65.20-00-00-0
289. Louisiana Tech (1-3)63.10-00-00-1


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 71.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
49. Texas Arlington (3-1)85.10-10-00-0
106. Ul Monroe (1-0)80.80-00-00-0
123. Central Arkansas (1-0)79.20-00-00-0
124. Texas A&M-CC (1-1)79.00-00-01-0
178. Northwestern St (2-3)74.50-00-00-0
193. Nicholls St (1-1)72.50-00-00-1
194. Sam Houston (1-1)72.30-00-00-0
197. Stephen Austin (1-1)71.90-00-00-0
239. McNeese St (0-1)68.40-00-00-0
255. Texas St (1-1)66.90-00-00-0
277. Tex San Antonio (0-1)64.60-00-00-0
295. Lamar (0-1)62.60-00-00-0
339. SE Louisiana (0-1)49.50-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 70.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
96. Colgate (1-0)81.50-00-00-0
185. Holy Cross (0-0)73.90-00-00-0
189. American (0-1)73.10-10-00-0
217. Army (0-0)70.40-00-00-0
219. Lehigh (0-0)70.30-00-00-0
237. Bucknell (1-1)68.70-00-00-0
240. Navy (0-1)68.40-00-00-0
308. Lafayette (0-1)59.90-00-10-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 70.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Montana St (1-0)85.60-00-00-0
75. Portland St (4-2)83.00-10-02-0
110. Montana (2-1)80.10-10-00-0
169. Northrn Arizona (2-1)75.50-00-00-0
293. Weber St (0-2)62.80-00-00-0
299. Eastern Wash (0-2)61.90-00-10-0
312. Sacramento St (0-0)58.40-00-00-0
330. Idaho St (0-2)53.40-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 68.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
48. North Dakota St (1-0)85.10-00-00-0
70. Chicago St (1-0)83.10-00-00-0
94. Northern Colorado (1-0)81.60-00-00-0
125. Utah Valley St (1-0)79.00-00-00-0
176. IPFW (1-1)74.70-00-00-1
199. Savannah St (1-1)71.50-00-00-0
224. NC Central (1-1)70.00-00-00-0
258. South Dakota St (0-0)66.30-00-00-0
271. TX Pan American (4-4)65.40-00-00-0
274. Winston-Salem (1-1)64.90-00-00-0
282. CSU Bakersfield (0-0)64.20-00-00-0
283. UC Davis (0-0)64.10-00-00-0
323. Longwood (0-2)54.80-00-00-0
335. Presbyterian (0-2)52.30-00-00-0
338. NJIT (0-2)49.70-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 67.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
107. Umbc (2-1)80.70-10-00-0
108. Hartford (4-0)80.60-00-00-0
203. Boston U (1-1)71.20-00-00-0
220. Binghamton (0-0)70.30-00-00-0
234. Stony Brook (1-1)68.80-00-00-0
296. Vermont (0-2)62.50-00-10-0
301. New Hampshire (0-1)61.40-00-00-0
309. Albany NY (0-1)59.80-00-00-0
321. Maine (0-3)56.10-00-00-0


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 66.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Winthrop (4-3)83.50-12-20-0
173. NC Asheville (0-0)74.90-00-00-0
241. Coast Carolina (0-0)68.20-00-00-0
261. Radford (0-0)66.30-00-00-0
272. High Point (1-2)65.20-00-00-1
280. Charleston Sou (0-0)64.20-00-00-0
324. Liberty (0-2)54.50-00-00-1
331. VMI (0-2)53.10-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 66.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
117. Belmont (5-3)79.50-10-00-0
171. Jacksonville (2-1)75.30-00-00-0
184. East Tenn St (1-3)74.00-00-11-0
195. Gardner-Webb (2-3)72.10-10-10-0
243. Fla Atlantic (1-3)68.20-00-00-1
247. Fla Gulf Coast (1-1)67.70-00-00-0
248. Mercer (1-1)67.60-00-00-0
279. Campbell (0-1)64.30-00-00-0
285. Lipscomb (1-3)63.90-00-00-0
306. North Florida (0-1)60.50-00-00-1
320. Stetson (0-4)56.50-00-00-1
322. SC Upstate (0-4)55.60-00-00-2
334. Kennesaw St (0-2)52.50-00-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 65.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
145. Austin Peay (3-2)77.10-10-00-0
225. Tenn Martin (1-1)69.70-00-00-0
228. Tennessee St (1-3)69.20-00-00-1
235. Morehead St (0-0)68.70-00-00-0
242. Tennessee Tech (0-0)68.20-00-00-0
245. Eastern KY (0-0)67.90-00-00-0
249. Samford (0-0)67.60-00-00-0
265. SE Missouri St (1-1)65.90-00-00-0
310. Jacksonville St (0-1)58.90-00-00-0
319. Murray St (0-2)56.50-00-00-0
337. Eastern Ill (0-1)50.70-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 65.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
182. Coppin St (5-2)74.20-00-00-0
183. Hampton (2-1)74.10-00-01-0
232. Norfolk St (1-1)68.90-00-00-0
233. Morgan St (2-3)68.80-00-00-0
252. Delaware St (1-3)67.30-00-00-0
262. SO Carolina St (2-4)66.20-00-00-0
284. Bethune Cookman (1-2)64.00-00-00-0
302. Florida A&M (1-3)61.40-00-00-0
304. NO Carolina A&T (0-2)61.20-00-00-0
318. Howard (0-5)57.10-00-00-0
333. MD Eastrn Shore (0-3)52.70-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 58.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
230. Miss Valley St (3-4)69.00-20-00-0
250. Jackson St (3-4)67.50-00-00-0
270. Ark Pine Bluff (1-1)65.50-00-00-0
286. Alabama St (1-1)63.40-00-00-0
307. Prairie View (0-0)60.00-00-00-0
314. Southern (0-2)58.00-00-00-0
326. Grambling (0-1)54.30-00-00-0
332. Texas Southern (0-3)52.90-00-00-0
340. Alcorn St (0-4)49.10-00-00-1
341. Alabama A&M (0-3)48.50-00-00-0
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