NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Neutral

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5571


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. UCLA (10-1)0.73434-13-02-0
11. Stanford (5-2)0.69132-21-02-0
29. USC (4-3)0.63090-20-14-0
35. Washington St (7-2)0.61730-21-01-0
37. California (1-1)0.61300-10-00-0
126. Arizona (2-2)0.53020-20-00-0
173. Oregon (1-4)0.48380-10-11-1
184. Arizona St (2-2)0.46890-00-10-0
221. Washington (0-3)0.43330-00-10-2
264. Oregon St (1-2)0.36780-00-10-0


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. North Carolina (9-1)0.71983-12-02-0
25. North Carolina St (3-1)0.63530-01-10-0
34. Georgia Tech (3-2)0.62210-11-01-0
36. Miami Fla (5-3)0.61430-11-01-1
49. Clemson (3-3)0.59441-10-20-0
58. Duke (5-3)0.58971-30-02-0
65. Virginia Tech (3-3)0.58730-21-10-0
102. Florida St (2-4)0.54940-21-00-1
152. Boston College (1-2)0.50990-10-01-0
201. Maryland (0-4)0.45130-10-00-1
262. Virginia (0-2)0.37450-00-00-1
303. Wake Forest (0-1)0.00-00-00-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Pittsburgh (6-1)0.72544-10-01-0
17. Georgetown (4-2)0.65091-21-01-0
23. West Virginia (7-4)0.63892-31-10-0
24. Louisville (4-4)0.63881-21-21-0
27. Villanova (6-3)0.63301-20-03-0
30. Marquette (4-3)0.62800-31-02-0
54. Seton Hall (2-1)0.59200-10-00-0
77. South Florida (2-1)0.57700-00-01-1
86. Providence (3-3)0.56260-11-11-0
119. Notre Dame (3-4)0.53680-21-11-1
123. Connecticut (1-4)0.53090-20-10-1
135. DePaul (1-2)0.52400-10-10-0
145. Syracuse (1-2)0.51740-00-20-0
186. Rutgers (0-0)0.46730-00-00-0
242. St Johns (0-2)0.39790-00-00-1
295. Cincinnati (0-1)0.00-10-00-0


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5606


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Tennessee (6-3)0.67102-22-11-0
31. Arkansas (6-4)0.62762-12-01-1
46. Alabama (3-2)0.59820-10-11-0
52. Mississippi (5-2)0.59241-00-10-1
56. Georgia (4-4)0.59170-13-11-0
57. Vanderbilt (3-2)0.58990-00-12-1
75. Florida (3-2)0.57980-00-11-0
96. Mississippi St (4-4)0.55370-10-01-3
109. South Carolina (3-3)0.54580-10-00-1
130. Auburn (2-2)0.52730-20-00-0
206. Kentucky (0-3)0.44520-10-10-1
236. LSU (0-4)0.40480-00-10-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Michigan St (6-3)0.69382-32-01-0
15. Wisconsin (5-1)0.66701-11-01-0
21. Ohio St (3-2)0.64050-12-11-0
32. Illinois (6-3)0.62610-21-12-0
81. Purdue (3-3)0.56831-11-00-0
92. Michigan (2-3)0.55640-20-10-0
107. Indiana (1-3)0.54630-11-10-0
118. Minnesota (4-1)0.54000-01-00-0
255. Penn St (0-4)0.38310-00-00-0
259. Iowa (0-3)0.37770-00-00-2
301. Northwestern (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.6059


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (10-0)0.77905-02-03-0
7. Texas (7-3)0.69672-32-02-0
14. Texas A&M (5-2)0.66770-23-00-0
19. Nebraska (2-1)0.64670-10-01-0
22. Oklahoma (5-3)0.63921-31-01-0
61. Colorado (3-1)0.58850-01-10-0
70. Kansas St (3-5)0.58080-21-20-1
88. Texas Tech (1-3)0.56140-21-00-1
99. Baylor (3-3)0.55140-01-20-0
117. Iowa St (1-2)0.54060-01-10-0
138. Oklahoma St (2-4)0.52200-20-01-1
158. Missouri (1-3)0.49680-10-01-1


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Xavier (7-2)0.69442-14-01-1
41. Rhode Island (5-1)0.60370-01-00-1
47. Dayton (1-1)0.59780-10-00-0
66. St Josephs (4-2)0.58601-00-10-1
91. Massachusetts (4-2)0.55860-00-11-1
104. Temple (4-4)0.54780-10-02-1
131. Duquesne (1-1)0.52660-00-00-0
132. Charlotte (3-3)0.52460-01-01-2
134. St Louis (1-1)0.52400-00-10-0
180. La Salle (1-3)0.47120-00-10-1
202. Richmond (1-1)0.45100-00-00-1
216. St Bonaventure (2-0)0.43640-00-00-0
294. Fordham (0-1)0.00-00-00-1
320. Geo Washington (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Drake (3-1)0.67130-02-10-0
39. Creighton (1-1)0.60750-10-01-0
67. Northern Iowa (1-1)0.58470-00-11-0
78. Illinois St (2-3)0.57660-20-10-0
83. Southern Ill (2-2)0.56420-01-10-0
94. Indiana St (1-1)0.55510-10-00-0
137. Bradley (1-2)0.52290-10-10-0
191. Missouri St (1-3)0.46290-00-20-0
230. Wichita St (1-3)0.42000-00-10-0
330. Evansville (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. UNLV (1-1)0.69851-10-00-0
48. BYU (3-3)0.59451-20-11-0
62. Utah (2-1)0.58830-00-01-1
79. Colorado St (4-1)0.57580-00-11-0
100. San Diego St (3-2)0.55090-00-20-0
181. TCU (0-0)0.47110-00-00-0
190. Air Force (1-3)0.46430-10-00-1
265. Wyoming (1-2)0.36240-00-00-0
291. New Mexico (0-1)0.00-00-00-1


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
153. Holy Cross (0-0)0.50830-00-00-0
187. Army (0-0)0.46600-00-00-0
197. Lehigh (0-0)0.45410-00-00-0
234. Bucknell (1-1)0.41110-00-00-0
292. American (0-1)0.00-10-00-0
297. Colgate (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
299. Lafayette (0-1)0.00-00-10-0
304. Navy (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Memphis (8-1)0.74584-13-00-0
51. Tulane (3-1)0.59280-00-11-0
63. East Carolina (1-1)0.58820-00-01-1
82. Texas El Paso (3-1)0.56530-00-01-1
93. Tulsa (4-1)0.55560-01-00-0
108. Houston (2-2)0.54630-00-00-1
133. SO Mississippi (5-1)0.52450-00-10-0
174. Uab (1-4)0.48130-00-01-3
176. Central Florida (1-3)0.47990-00-20-0
222. Marshall (0-2)0.43160-10-00-0
222. Marshall (0-2)0.43160-10-00-0
270. Rice (1-2)0.35950-00-00-0
316. SMU (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Butler (5-1)0.66120-11-03-0
42. Cleveland St (3-1)0.60140-00-02-0
80. Wright St (1-1)0.57510-00-01-1
167. Wisc Milwaukee (0-0)0.49060-00-00-0
225. Illinois Chi (1-3)0.42540-00-00-1
226. Detroit (0-0)0.42370-00-00-0
308. Wisc Green Bay (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
314. Loyola Chi (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
322. Youngstown St (1-0)0.00-00-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4976


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. St Marys CA (4-1)0.63330-00-12-0
38. Gonzaga (5-4)0.61001-21-12-1
73. San Diego (2-3)0.58031-00-30-0
142. Santa Clara (1-1)0.51890-00-10-0
164. Pepperdine (2-2)0.49260-00-00-0
193. Portland (2-2)0.46010-00-00-1
256. San Francisco (1-1)0.38180-00-00-0
285. Loyola Marymnt (1-2)0.30410-00-00-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Western KY (6-3)0.64541-20-11-0
76. South Alabama (2-2)0.57720-10-01-1
87. Arkansas Lr (1-1)0.56190-00-10-0
103. Ul Lafayette (1-1)0.54900-00-00-1
115. Middle Tenn St (1-1)0.54150-00-10-0
213. Florida Intl (0-0)0.43950-00-00-0
217. New Orleans (2-1)0.43610-00-00-0
227. Arkansas St (0-0)0.42340-00-00-0
306. North Texas (0-1)0.00-00-10-0
321. Troy St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
339. Denver (1-0)0.00-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Texas Arlington (3-1)0.64730-10-01-0
71. Texas A&M-CC (1-1)0.58070-00-01-0
155. Northwestern St (2-3)0.50250-00-01-1
156. Sam Houston (1-1)0.49960-00-00-0
189. Nicholls St (1-1)0.46430-00-00-0
212. Stephen Austin (1-1)0.44010-00-00-0
231. Texas St (1-1)0.41810-00-00-0
300. SE Louisiana (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
302. Lamar (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
310. McNeese St (0-1)0.00-00-00-1
311. Tex San Antonio (0-1)0.00-00-00-1
313. Ul Monroe (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
327. Central Arkansas (1-0)0.00-00-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4788


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
53. CS Fullerton (4-1)0.59230-10-00-0
121. Pacific (2-1)0.53290-00-00-0
127. UC Irvine (3-4)0.52830-00-11-2
139. UC Riverside (1-1)0.52080-00-00-1
171. UC Santa Barbara (2-1)0.48420-00-00-0
214. CS Northridge (1-2)0.43920-00-00-1
238. Cal Poly (1-2)0.40140-00-10-0
278. Long Beach St (0-2)0.33150-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
50. Mt St Marys (1-1)0.59350-10-00-0
55. Monmouth NJ (2-1)0.59170-00-11-0
136. Wagner (0-0)0.52300-00-00-0
182. Central Conn (0-0)0.47000-00-00-0
198. Fair Dickinson (0-2)0.45280-00-00-2
239. St Francis NY (0-0)0.40030-00-00-0
240. St Francis PA (0-0)0.39850-00-00-0
260. Robert Morris (1-1)0.37730-00-00-0
309. Liu Brooklyn (1-0)0.00-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Siena (2-1)0.58441-00-10-0
95. Niagara (1-1)0.55400-00-00-0
140. Rider (3-2)0.52020-00-10-0
148. Marist (2-5)0.51260-00-20-2
160. Canisius (1-1)0.49590-00-00-0
195. Loyola MD (2-1)0.45810-00-00-0
289. Iona (0-3)0.26240-00-00-0
298. Fairfield (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
317. Manhattan (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
337. St Peters (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Oakland (2-1)0.58880-00-01-1
72. Valparaiso (3-1)0.58050-00-02-1
101. Oral Roberts (4-2)0.54990-10-02-0
111. Centenary (1-1)0.54410-00-00-1
146. Iupui (3-2)0.51510-00-00-2
315. Southern Utah (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
329. Western Ill (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
331. Mo Kansas City (0-1)0.00-00-00-1


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. William & Mary (3-1)0.60380-00-01-1
59. Drexel (2-1)0.58950-00-00-0
90. George Mason (5-3)0.55970-01-20-0
97. VA Commonwealth (3-3)0.55330-00-22-0
120. NC Wilmington (3-1)0.53370-00-00-1
124. Towson (1-1)0.53040-00-00-1
129. Northeastern (1-1)0.52820-00-00-1
161. Delaware (1-1)0.49410-00-00-0
162. Old Dominion (0-3)0.49400-20-00-0
199. James Madison (1-1)0.45170-00-00-0
258. Hofstra (0-3)0.38060-00-00-1
328. Georgia St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
43. Boise St (2-1)0.60020-10-01-0
112. Utah St (2-2)0.54410-10-00-1
143. New Mexico St (0-2)0.51870-20-00-0
175. San Jose St (2-2)0.48080-00-00-1
233. Idaho (0-0)0.41170-00-00-0
253. Louisiana Tech (1-3)0.38520-00-00-0
293. Nevada (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
323. Hawaii (0-1)0.00-00-00-1
325. Fresno St (0-1)0.00-00-00-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Kent (4-2)0.63300-21-02-0
33. Miami Ohio (4-2)0.62570-12-11-0
84. Toledo (1-1)0.56290-10-00-0
98. Akron (4-2)0.55180-10-00-1
116. Ohio (2-3)0.54080-10-10-1
151. Western Mich (2-2)0.51090-00-00-1
172. Central Mich (1-1)0.48380-00-00-1
209. Eastern Mich (1-2)0.44160-00-00-1
218. Bowling Green (1-2)0.43540-00-01-0
257. Buffalo (1-2)0.38070-00-00-1
268. Northern Ill (0-3)0.36160-00-10-0
336. Ball St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.5197


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Davidson (6-2)0.69312-21-00-0
45. NC Greensboro (2-1)0.59850-10-00-0
74. Elon (3-1)0.58020-10-00-0
106. Geo Southern (3-3)0.54640-01-01-2
144. Appalachian St (2-2)0.51760-01-00-0
149. Wofford (3-1)0.51190-10-00-0
150. Coll Of Charltn (3-3)0.51170-00-11-1
179. Chattanooga (1-3)0.47220-00-10-1
188. Westrn Carolina (1-2)0.46590-00-00-1
228. The Citadel (0-2)0.42070-10-00-0
241. Furman (1-4)0.39820-00-00-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
85. Hartford (4-0)0.56270-00-00-0
89. Umbc (2-1)0.56040-10-00-0
168. Boston U (1-1)0.48890-00-00-0
178. Stony Brook (1-1)0.47330-00-00-1
196. Vermont (0-2)0.45490-00-00-2
200. Binghamton (0-0)0.45170-00-00-0
286. Maine (0-3)0.29960-00-00-0
305. Albany NY (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
324. New Hampshire (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
114. Austin Peay (3-2)0.54220-10-00-1
192. Tenn Martin (1-1)0.46040-00-00-1
194. Morehead St (0-0)0.45920-00-00-0
204. Tennessee St (1-3)0.44670-00-00-2
207. Eastern KY (0-0)0.44510-00-00-0
211. Samford (0-0)0.44030-00-00-0
224. Tennessee Tech (0-0)0.42910-00-00-0
247. Murray St (0-2)0.39060-00-00-1
250. SE Missouri St (1-1)0.38920-00-00-0
338. Eastern Ill (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
341. Jacksonville St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Portland St (4-2)0.59900-10-02-0
64. Montana (2-1)0.58800-10-00-0
122. Northrn Arizona (2-1)0.53230-00-00-1
266. Eastern Wash (0-2)0.36180-00-00-1
267. Sacramento St (0-0)0.36170-00-00-0
277. Idaho St (0-2)0.33150-00-00-1
284. Weber St (0-2)0.31990-00-00-0
326. Montana St (1-0)0.00-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
125. Harvard (1-1)0.53030-00-00-1
128. Brown (0-0)0.52820-00-00-0
159. Princeton (0-2)0.49630-10-00-1
169. Yale (0-0)0.48780-00-00-0
210. Pennsylvania (0-0)0.44080-00-00-0
296. Cornell (0-1)0.00-10-00-0
307. Columbia (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
332. Dartmouth (1-0)0.00-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
105. Jacksonville (2-1)0.54710-00-00-1
110. Belmont (5-3)0.54570-10-00-1
154. Gardner-Webb (2-3)0.50460-10-10-0
166. East Tenn St (1-3)0.49080-00-11-1
183. Mercer (1-1)0.46980-00-00-0
208. Fla Gulf Coast (1-1)0.44320-00-00-1
220. Fla Atlantic (1-3)0.43470-00-00-1
261. Stetson (0-4)0.37640-00-00-1
263. Lipscomb (1-3)0.37030-00-00-0
271. SC Upstate (0-4)0.35700-00-00-2
275. Kennesaw St (0-2)0.33530-00-00-0
335. Campbell (0-1)0.00-00-00-1
340. North Florida (0-1)0.00-00-00-1


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4132


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Winthrop (4-3)0.58220-11-21-0
147. NC Asheville (0-0)0.51340-00-00-0
223. Coast Carolina (0-0)0.42980-00-00-0
237. Radford (0-0)0.40330-00-00-0
246. High Point (1-2)0.39390-00-00-1
252. Charleston Sou (0-0)0.38580-00-00-0
279. Liberty (0-2)0.32400-00-00-1
288. VMI (0-2)0.27300-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4094


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
113. Coppin St (5-2)0.54290-00-00-0
163. Hampton (2-1)0.49370-00-01-0
203. Norfolk St (1-1)0.45000-00-00-0
219. Morgan St (2-3)0.43510-00-00-0
229. Delaware St (1-3)0.42020-00-00-0
232. SO Carolina St (2-4)0.41180-00-00-0
243. Bethune Cookman (1-2)0.39650-00-00-0
269. Howard (0-5)0.35960-00-00-0
274. NO Carolina A&T (0-2)0.33810-00-00-0
276. Florida A&M (1-3)0.33420-00-00-0
283. MD Eastrn Shore (0-3)0.32090-00-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
170. Miss Valley St (3-4)0.48470-20-00-0
185. Ark Pine Bluff (1-1)0.46860-00-00-0
215. Jackson St (3-4)0.43800-00-00-0
249. Prairie View (0-0)0.38980-00-00-0
251. Alabama St (1-1)0.38900-00-00-0
273. Texas Southern (0-3)0.33950-00-00-0
280. Alcorn St (0-4)0.32390-00-00-0
281. Southern (0-2)0.32370-00-00-0
287. Alabama A&M (0-3)0.28670-00-00-0
334. Grambling (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
141. IPFW (1-1)0.52000-00-00-1
165. NC Central (1-1)0.49120-00-00-0
205. Savannah St (1-1)0.44540-00-00-0
235. UC Davis (0-0)0.40790-00-00-0
244. CSU Bakersfield (0-0)0.39610-00-00-0
245. TX Pan American (4-4)0.39410-00-00-0
248. Winston-Salem (1-1)0.39000-00-00-0
254. South Dakota St (0-0)0.38450-00-00-0
272. Longwood (0-2)0.34070-00-00-0
282. NJIT (0-2)0.32150-00-00-0
290. Presbyterian (0-2)0.21570-00-00-0
312. Chicago St (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
318. North Dakota St (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
319. Utah Valley St (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
333. Northern Colorado (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
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