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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

RPI Away

By division
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008


Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. North Carolina (13-0)0.69203-02-03-0
2. Duke (8-2)0.69202-00-14-0
3. Tennessee (9-2)0.69142-11-02-1
4. UCLA (9-1)0.66672-02-03-0
5. Washington St (10-3)0.66390-23-14-0
6. Wisconsin (10-2)0.65981-12-10-0
7. Louisville (8-3)0.65593-20-01-0
8. Arizona (6-7)0.64702-41-02-2
9. Kansas (8-3)0.64290-12-12-1
10. Memphis (10-0)0.64200-01-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Drake (10-3)0.63971-02-11-1
12. Texas (7-3)0.63921-03-11-1
13. Marquette (5-5)0.63821-31-10-1
14. Maryland (6-5)0.63671-10-12-2
15. Georgetown (8-4)0.63272-30-00-1
16. Baylor (6-4)0.62850-21-12-1
17. Clemson (6-5)0.62810-21-11-2
18. Xavier (7-4)0.62810-02-02-4
19. Connecticut (7-4)0.62600-11-21-0
20. Indiana (7-3)0.62310-21-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Notre Dame (5-4)0.62310-41-00-0
22. Massachusetts (8-6)0.62240-11-03-3
23. St Josephs (9-6)0.61750-11-23-2
24. USC (7-4)0.61321-21-01-2
25. Florida (4-6)0.60850-20-32-1
26. Mississippi St (7-4)0.60830-10-31-0
27. Stanford (7-5)0.60831-11-11-3
28. Purdue (6-5)0.60681-20-20-0
29. VA Commonwealth (9-3)0.60640-00-02-1
30. Kentucky (4-6)0.60520-20-21-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. California (5-7)0.60201-20-42-1
32. Gonzaga (7-3)0.60160-10-12-1
33. Oklahoma (4-6)0.60110-21-22-1
34. South Alabama (7-4)0.60060-11-10-0
35. South Carolina (3-6)0.60040-32-00-3
36. Florida St (4-6)0.60000-21-02-2
37. Texas A&M (4-5)0.59860-11-31-1
38. Western KY (9-3)0.59700-00-10-1
39. UNLV (6-5)0.59460-00-12-3
40. Georgia Tech (6-8)0.59430-40-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Davidson (11-3)0.59350-00-00-1
42. Temple (7-5)0.59320-10-11-2
43. Akron (7-6)0.59100-10-24-0
44. Oregon (5-7)0.59070-32-21-1
45. Arizona St (4-6)0.59050-31-11-2
46. Pittsburgh (5-7)0.58930-30-31-0
47. Dayton (7-7)0.58781-11-11-2
48. Siena (8-6)0.58690-10-01-2
49. BYU (8-5)0.58670-20-02-2
50. Syracuse (4-6)0.58450-31-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Kent (8-5)0.58320-11-02-1
52. West Virginia (6-5)0.58250-30-20-0
53. New Mexico (8-6)0.58250-10-22-1
54. Butler (11-2)0.58190-00-02-2
55. UC Santa Barbara (10-5)0.57950-20-11-1
56. Wright St (7-6)0.57890-10-12-1
57. Bradley (7-9)0.57831-10-21-3
58. Stephen Austin (11-4)0.57750-01-11-2
59. Michigan St (4-6)0.57700-10-31-0
60. Kansas St (3-5)0.57680-11-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. New Orleans (9-5)0.57670-00-20-0
62. Virginia (4-7)0.57570-21-11-3
63. Oral Roberts (8-6)0.57550-10-20-2
64. Vanderbilt (4-6)0.57490-10-21-2
65. Miami Fla (4-6)0.57400-21-02-1
66. Auburn (4-7)0.57310-21-20-1
67. Washington (4-7)0.57270-30-22-2
68. Boise St (12-3)0.57100-00-01-1
69. Illinois St (7-5)0.57060-11-01-1
70. American (10-7)0.57040-10-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Robert Morris (14-3)0.56910-00-00-1
72. La Salle (8-7)0.56760-10-21-1
73. Valparaiso (6-9)0.56750-40-01-2
74. CS Northridge (9-5)0.56690-00-13-0
75. Uab (8-6)0.56620-10-01-1
76. San Diego (7-6)0.56600-00-21-3
77. Ohio St (4-8)0.56560-30-21-0
78. Creighton (5-8)0.56520-20-11-3
79. Houston (5-6)0.56460-10-21-1
80. Minnesota (4-8)0.56310-30-30-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Villanova (4-7)0.56090-30-02-1
82. CS Fullerton (9-5)0.56030-00-20-1
83. Belmont (9-5)0.56020-10-00-1
84. Nevada (7-9)0.56000-20-00-3
85. Richmond (6-8)0.55830-20-01-3
86. Cleveland St (6-9)0.55570-30-12-1
87. Fordham (4-9)0.55550-21-01-3
88. Holy Cross (7-8)0.55450-00-02-3
89. Cincinnati (3-11)0.55432-40-30-1
90. Boston College (2-7)0.55320-30-11-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. St Johns (3-9)0.55320-50-20-1
92. Rhode Island (5-7)0.55320-00-31-1
93. Wagner (10-5)0.55160-00-10-0
94. St Marys CA (6-5)0.55160-10-10-3
95. Utah (5-10)0.55150-20-21-3
96. Cornell (10-4)0.55110-10-00-2
97. Middle Tenn St (5-8)0.55080-11-20-2
98. Brown (10-7)0.54930-00-20-2
99. New Mexico St (5-8)0.54910-20-01-4
100. Mississippi (3-7)0.54880-10-22-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. NC Asheville (7-7)0.54850-20-10-1
102. Duquesne (5-8)0.54830-31-00-3
103. San Diego St (6-8)0.54730-10-22-3
104. Mt St Marys (10-7)0.54700-00-10-1
105. Virginia Tech (4-8)0.54660-20-01-1
106. Rider (9-7)0.54480-00-01-1
107. Sacred Heart (9-8)0.54450-00-00-0
108. DePaul (3-9)0.54430-40-30-0
109. Umbc (9-7)0.54380-10-11-0
110. Illinois (3-8)0.54300-20-30-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Northern Iowa (6-7)0.54200-10-21-1
112. SO Mississippi (3-10)0.54200-20-20-3
113. LSU (3-8)0.54180-10-41-0
114. Seton Hall (4-8)0.54150-40-20-0
115. Austin Peay (8-8)0.54080-20-01-1
116. East Tenn St (7-8)0.54030-00-10-3
117. Charlotte (4-8)0.53971-00-21-3
118. Sam Houston (8-5)0.53960-00-00-2
119. Portland St (8-7)0.53910-20-00-1
120. Iowa (3-8)0.53780-20-30-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Nebraska (2-9)0.53680-21-40-1
122. Iupui (7-5)0.53630-10-00-1
123. Old Dominion (5-9)0.53560-10-11-1
124. Arkansas (2-7)0.53480-10-30-2
125. Niagara (8-7)0.53390-00-00-1
126. Illinois Chi (5-10)0.53320-20-10-4
127. Colgate (8-9)0.53260-00-11-3
128. Pacific (8-6)0.53130-00-01-2
129. Appalachian St (7-7)0.53120-10-00-1
130. Morgan St (7-8)0.53070-10-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. St Louis (3-9)0.52960-20-21-1
132. Fairfield (7-9)0.52950-10-02-0
133. Georgia (2-8)0.52900-30-10-2
134. Northrn Arizona (6-7)0.52890-10-10-2
135. Winthrop (6-6)0.52860-10-00-0
136. NC Greensboro (7-8)0.52840-10-01-1
137. Providence (2-8)0.52811-30-10-2
138. Tulsa (3-11)0.52720-20-20-3
139. Oklahoma St (2-9)0.52690-21-30-2
140. Tenn Martin (8-9)0.52640-30-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Yale (5-10)0.52530-30-10-1
142. Marist (6-7)0.52510-00-00-2
143. North Carolina St (2-9)0.52420-40-01-1
144. Texas El Paso (3-10)0.52350-20-20-3
145. Lafayette (7-9)0.52330-10-00-1
146. Ul Lafayette (6-8)0.52290-10-10-1
147. Wisc Milwaukee (5-8)0.52230-20-01-3
148. Geo Southern (6-7)0.52130-10-00-2
149. Missouri (2-9)0.52090-10-51-2
150. SE Louisiana (6-8)0.52040-00-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Miami Ohio (4-11)0.51950-30-00-5
152. Jacksonville (7-10)0.51920-20-20-3
153. Quinnipiac (8-8)0.51870-10-00-0
154. NC Wilmington (5-9)0.51800-00-21-1
155. Colorado (3-10)0.51730-30-20-2
156. William & Mary (5-10)0.51640-10-00-2
157. George Mason (5-7)0.51500-10-00-1
158. Western Mich (7-9)0.51470-10-00-5
159. Army (7-9)0.51430-00-00-3
160. Santa Clara (6-9)0.51410-10-21-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Northwestern (3-10)0.51400-20-30-0
162. Texas St (5-8)0.51310-10-10-2
163. Loyola MD (6-11)0.51180-10-11-1
164. Tennessee St (6-9)0.51120-10-10-2
165. Pepperdine (5-13)0.51090-10-30-4
166. Penn St (2-8)0.51080-20-20-1
167. Southern Ill (3-10)0.51030-10-21-2
168. Delaware St (6-10)0.50950-10-20-3
169. Air Force (3-7)0.50900-10-10-3
170. Tulane (4-8)0.50780-10-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Lamar (5-8)0.50760-00-20-2
172. Delaware (6-11)0.50690-00-00-4
173. Marshall (3-8)0.50670-10-10-3
174. VMI (6-7)0.50630-00-10-0
175. Wofford (4-10)0.50600-21-10-0
176. Wake Forest (2-10)0.50580-30-01-5
177. Michigan (2-10)0.50540-40-20-0
178. TX Pan American (6-6)0.50450-10-00-1
179. Hampton (5-9)0.50440-10-00-3
180. Miss Valley St (6-8)0.50440-10-30-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Chattanooga (4-7)0.50390-10-10-0
182. Central Florida (3-8)0.50380-10-00-4
183. Ohio (5-9)0.50270-10-01-4
184. Oakland (5-9)0.50210-20-00-2
185. Navy (8-7)0.50140-00-01-1
186. Iona (5-12)0.50100-30-00-1
187. Albany NY (7-9)0.49890-10-00-2
188. North Texas (4-8)0.49840-10-00-0
189. Eastern KY (5-9)0.49820-10-10-2
190. Alabama St (8-8)0.49740-00-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Vermont (8-9)0.49700-00-00-2
192. Columbia (6-9)0.49650-00-20-1
193. Florida A&M (5-11)0.49620-20-30-1
194. Wyoming (3-10)0.49610-10-11-3
195. Wisc Green Bay (3-12)0.49490-30-20-4
196. Northeastern (6-13)0.49440-10-00-4
197. Texas Arlington (4-8)0.49420-00-01-2
198. Boston U (6-10)0.49360-10-10-1
199. Liu Brooklyn (5-10)0.49280-00-10-0
200. NO Carolina A&T (5-11)0.49280-30-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Cal Poly (4-11)0.49230-00-10-4
202. Utah St (5-9)0.49140-00-11-2
203. Rutgers (3-10)0.49101-30-00-3
204. San Jose St (4-11)0.48990-10-01-4
205. Texas Tech (1-10)0.48970-20-30-4
206. Central Conn (6-10)0.48960-00-10-0
207. South Florida (3-10)0.48790-20-10-1
208. Montana (5-9)0.48750-00-10-2
209. Oregon St (2-10)0.48620-30-20-3
210. Bucknell (4-12)0.48590-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Samford (7-9)0.48590-10-00-2
212. Indiana St (2-13)0.48480-20-30-3
213. Fair Dickinson (4-10)0.48330-00-00-2
214. McNeese St (5-11)0.48320-00-10-1
215. Tex San Antonio (3-11)0.48240-10-10-4
216. Lipscomb (5-10)0.48170-10-10-1
217. Arkansas Lr (6-7)0.48170-00-20-0
218. Chicago St (3-13)0.48060-20-20-3
219. Central Mich (5-12)0.48020-00-00-3
220. Northwestern St (4-10)0.47940-10-11-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Ul Monroe (3-14)0.47920-20-30-1
222. Gardner-Webb (5-10)0.47860-20-01-2
223. Binghamton (5-10)0.47790-00-00-3
224. Missouri St (2-11)0.47770-10-30-3
225. Loyola Chi (4-12)0.47760-10-11-2
226. Southern Utah (4-11)0.47730-00-10-5
227. Hofstra (4-10)0.47700-00-00-2
228. Pennsylvania (4-10)0.47650-00-20-2
229. Wichita St (2-10)0.47570-10-21-1
230. Coll Of Charltn (4-10)0.47530-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Coppin St (4-14)0.47460-30-30-1
232. SMU (2-9)0.47160-10-10-2
233. Bowling Green (4-10)0.47150-10-00-3
234. Iowa St (1-10)0.47150-20-30-3
235. Maine (4-10)0.47140-10-01-1
236. Hartford (4-13)0.47110-10-20-2
237. UC Irvine (3-10)0.47090-00-11-3
238. Murray St (4-9)0.47090-00-20-1
239. Texas A&M-CC (3-10)0.46900-10-00-3
240. Weber St (4-9)0.46840-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Nicholls St (3-15)0.46820-20-10-3
242. Manhattan (5-11)0.46720-00-00-2
243. North Dakota St (4-11)0.46300-00-00-4
244. Fla Atlantic (3-11)0.46300-10-20-1
245. Lehigh (3-11)0.46200-00-00-3
246. Alabama A&M (5-9)0.46160-00-20-1
247. Jackson St (4-11)0.46090-10-20-2
248. Utah Valley St (5-11)0.46060-10-00-3
249. Morehead St (4-12)0.45940-10-10-2
250. Fla Gulf Coast (5-13)0.45900-10-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Geo Washington (1-12)0.45870-20-00-5
252. Elon (3-12)0.45790-10-00-3
253. Tennessee Tech (6-13)0.45770-00-00-4
254. Savannah St (4-13)0.45730-20-20-2
255. Stetson (5-10)0.45720-00-20-2
256. SE Missouri St (4-12)0.45610-10-10-3
257. SO Carolina St (3-11)0.45560-10-00-0
258. St Francis PA (3-11)0.45470-00-00-1
259. Troy St (3-12)0.45460-00-30-0
260. CSU Bakersfield (4-11)0.45460-00-11-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. James Madison (3-11)0.45440-00-00-2
262. Idaho St (4-12)0.45290-10-10-2
263. Alabama (1-9)0.45020-00-40-2
264. Drexel (3-10)0.44960-00-00-2
265. Youngstown St (2-14)0.44900-20-10-4
266. Hawaii (2-9)0.44740-00-00-5
267. New Hampshire (3-10)0.44730-00-00-2
268. Ark Pine Bluff (6-11)0.44640-00-10-1
269. IPFW (2-14)0.44620-40-00-3
270. St Bonaventure (1-14)0.44620-10-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Monmouth NJ (3-12)0.44440-00-00-0
272. Fresno St (2-12)0.44290-20-10-4
273. Montana St (3-12)0.44290-10-00-4
274. Bethune Cookman (4-10)0.44200-00-10-0
275. East Carolina (1-8)0.44190-10-10-0
276. San Francisco (2-13)0.44020-00-40-3
277. High Point (3-11)0.43930-00-10-2
278. Eastern Mich (3-11)0.43800-00-10-3
279. Central Arkansas (3-11)0.43580-00-00-3
280. Southern (4-12)0.43440-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Georgia St (3-12)0.43410-00-00-2
282. Western Ill (2-13)0.43360-10-10-2
283. Evansville (2-12)0.43310-10-20-3
284. Eastern Wash (2-12)0.43260-20-00-2
285. Florida Intl (1-11)0.43260-00-30-1
286. SC Upstate (3-13)0.43250-00-00-2
287. Buffalo (1-12)0.43200-30-00-3
288. Liberty (3-12)0.43070-00-00-3
289. Mercer (4-11)0.42960-01-00-0
290. TCU (1-12)0.42930-30-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. NC Central (1-20)0.42910-30-20-3
292. Mo Kansas City (2-13)0.42900-10-10-2
293. Rice (1-13)0.42840-10-20-2
294. Idaho (2-14)0.42810-10-10-4
295. St Francis NY (3-12)0.42730-00-00-0
296. Prairie View (3-15)0.42610-20-10-2
297. Dartmouth (3-12)0.42590-00-00-2
298. Texas Southern (3-15)0.42510-10-10-2
299. Arkansas St (1-14)0.42480-10-20-1
300. Toledo (1-15)0.42440-10-20-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Centenary (3-14)0.42350-00-10-3
302. Loyola Marymnt (2-13)0.42050-00-31-2
303. Northern Colorado (3-12)0.42030-00-11-1
304. Detroit (1-13)0.41990-10-10-4
305. Grambling (3-11)0.41830-00-10-2
306. Norfolk St (6-13)0.41810-00-00-1
307. Northern Ill (1-12)0.41730-10-11-1
308. UC Davis (1-15)0.41430-20-00-2
309. Campbell (3-11)0.41130-00-00-1
310. Coast Carolina (2-12)0.41080-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Longwood (2-15)0.40900-10-10-1
312. Winston-Salem (2-12)0.40830-00-10-0
313. Ball St (1-13)0.40270-10-10-3
314. Towson (1-13)0.40190-00-00-3
315. Furman (1-13)0.40010-20-00-0
316. Portland (2-12)0.39990-00-20-1
317. Stony Brook (2-13)0.39960-00-10-3
318. Westrn Carolina (1-13)0.39940-10-10-0
319. Colorado St (0-14)0.39830-20-10-4
320. St Peters (1-14)0.39630-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Radford (2-15)0.39320-10-00-0
322. Long Beach St (1-15)0.38290-00-00-3
323. UC Riverside (0-15)0.38230-00-20-4
324. Eastern Ill (2-13)0.38160-00-00-1
325. Presbyterian (0-23)0.37990-10-30-6
326. Alcorn St (2-14)0.37770-00-10-1
327. Kennesaw St (2-13)0.37460-10-10-0
328. Howard (1-16)0.36960-00-10-1
329. Charleston Sou (1-14)0.36610-00-00-2
330. Sacramento St (0-15)0.36610-20-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Louisiana Tech (0-12)0.36600-00-10-4
332. South Dakota St (1-13)0.36450-00-00-2
333. Denver (0-16)0.36180-00-30-0
334. North Florida (0-16)0.35960-00-20-3
335. Harvard (0-15)0.35550-10-00-1
336. Jacksonville St (1-12)0.35320-00-00-2
337. Canisius (0-15)0.35260-00-00-1
338. The Citadel (0-12)0.34930-10-00-0
339. MD Eastrn Shore (0-18)0.34870-10-00-3
340. Princeton (0-13)0.32490-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
341. NJIT (0-15)0.31410-00-00-0
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