NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Away

By ranking
Last Updated Wed Apr 30 18:36:44 CDT 2008


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.6041


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. UCLA (9-1)0.66672-02-03-0
5. Washington St (10-3)0.66390-23-14-0
8. Arizona (6-7)0.64702-41-02-2
24. USC (7-4)0.61321-21-01-2
27. Stanford (7-5)0.60831-11-11-3
31. California (5-7)0.60201-20-42-1
44. Oregon (5-7)0.59070-32-21-1
45. Arizona St (4-6)0.59050-31-11-2
67. Washington (4-7)0.57270-30-22-2
209. Oregon St (2-10)0.48620-30-20-3


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5935


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. North Carolina (13-0)0.69203-02-03-0
2. Duke (8-2)0.69202-00-14-0
14. Maryland (6-5)0.63671-10-12-2
17. Clemson (6-5)0.62810-21-11-2
36. Florida St (4-6)0.60000-21-02-2
40. Georgia Tech (6-8)0.59430-40-20-2
62. Virginia (4-7)0.57570-21-11-3
65. Miami Fla (4-6)0.57400-21-02-1
90. Boston College (2-7)0.55320-30-11-2
105. Virginia Tech (4-8)0.54660-20-01-1
143. North Carolina St (2-9)0.52420-40-01-1
176. Wake Forest (2-10)0.50580-30-01-5


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5746


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Louisville (8-3)0.65593-20-01-0
13. Marquette (5-5)0.63821-31-10-1
15. Georgetown (8-4)0.63272-30-00-1
19. Connecticut (7-4)0.62600-11-21-0
21. Notre Dame (5-4)0.62310-41-00-0
46. Pittsburgh (5-7)0.58930-30-31-0
50. Syracuse (4-6)0.58450-31-10-0
52. West Virginia (6-5)0.58250-30-20-0
81. Villanova (4-7)0.56090-30-02-1
89. Cincinnati (3-11)0.55432-40-30-1
91. St Johns (3-9)0.55320-50-20-1
108. DePaul (3-9)0.54430-40-30-0
114. Seton Hall (4-8)0.54150-40-20-0
137. Providence (2-8)0.52811-30-10-2
203. Rutgers (3-10)0.49101-30-00-3
207. South Florida (3-10)0.48790-20-10-1


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5722


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Tennessee (9-2)0.69142-11-02-1
25. Florida (4-6)0.60850-20-32-1
26. Mississippi St (7-4)0.60830-10-31-0
30. Kentucky (4-6)0.60520-20-21-2
35. South Carolina (3-6)0.60040-32-00-3
64. Vanderbilt (4-6)0.57490-10-21-2
66. Auburn (4-7)0.57310-21-20-1
100. Mississippi (3-7)0.54880-10-22-1
113. LSU (3-8)0.54180-10-41-0
124. Arkansas (2-7)0.53480-10-30-2
133. Georgia (2-8)0.52900-30-10-2
263. Alabama (1-9)0.45020-00-40-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5642


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Wisconsin (10-2)0.65981-12-10-0
20. Indiana (7-3)0.62310-21-01-0
28. Purdue (6-5)0.60681-20-20-0
59. Michigan St (4-6)0.57700-10-31-0
77. Ohio St (4-8)0.56560-30-21-0
80. Minnesota (4-8)0.56310-30-30-1
110. Illinois (3-8)0.54300-20-30-1
120. Iowa (3-8)0.53780-20-30-0
161. Northwestern (3-10)0.51400-20-30-0
166. Penn St (2-8)0.51080-20-20-1
177. Michigan (2-10)0.50540-40-20-0


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5625


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Kansas (8-3)0.64290-12-12-1
12. Texas (7-3)0.63921-03-11-1
16. Baylor (6-4)0.62850-21-12-1
33. Oklahoma (4-6)0.60110-21-22-1
37. Texas A&M (4-5)0.59860-11-31-1
60. Kansas St (3-5)0.57680-11-10-2
121. Nebraska (2-9)0.53680-21-40-1
139. Oklahoma St (2-9)0.52690-21-30-2
149. Missouri (2-9)0.52090-10-51-2
155. Colorado (3-10)0.51730-30-20-2
205. Texas Tech (1-10)0.48970-20-30-4
234. Iowa St (1-10)0.47150-20-30-3


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5576


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Xavier (7-4)0.62810-02-02-4
22. Massachusetts (8-6)0.62240-11-03-3
23. St Josephs (9-6)0.61750-11-23-2
42. Temple (7-5)0.59320-10-11-2
47. Dayton (7-7)0.58781-11-11-2
72. La Salle (8-7)0.56760-10-21-1
85. Richmond (6-8)0.55830-20-01-3
87. Fordham (4-9)0.55550-21-01-3
92. Rhode Island (5-7)0.55320-00-31-1
102. Duquesne (5-8)0.54830-31-00-3
117. Charlotte (4-8)0.53971-00-21-3
131. St Louis (3-9)0.52960-20-21-1
251. Geo Washington (1-12)0.45870-20-00-5
270. St Bonaventure (1-14)0.44620-10-10-4


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5277


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Drake (10-3)0.63971-02-11-1
57. Bradley (7-9)0.57831-10-21-3
69. Illinois St (7-5)0.57060-11-01-1
78. Creighton (5-8)0.56520-20-11-3
111. Northern Iowa (6-7)0.54200-10-21-1
167. Southern Ill (3-10)0.51030-10-21-2
212. Indiana St (2-13)0.48480-20-30-3
224. Missouri St (2-11)0.47770-10-30-3
229. Wichita St (2-10)0.47570-10-21-1
283. Evansville (2-12)0.43310-10-20-3


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5217


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
39. UNLV (6-5)0.59460-00-12-3
49. BYU (8-5)0.58670-20-02-2
53. New Mexico (8-6)0.58250-10-22-1
95. Utah (5-10)0.55150-20-21-3
103. San Diego St (6-8)0.54730-10-22-3
169. Air Force (3-7)0.50900-10-10-3
194. Wyoming (3-10)0.49610-10-11-3
290. TCU (1-12)0.42930-30-10-4
319. Colorado St (0-14)0.39830-20-10-4


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.5180


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. American (10-7)0.57040-10-11-0
88. Holy Cross (7-8)0.55450-00-02-3
127. Colgate (8-9)0.53260-00-11-3
145. Lafayette (7-9)0.52330-10-00-1
159. Army (7-9)0.51430-00-00-3
185. Navy (8-7)0.50140-00-01-1
210. Bucknell (4-12)0.48590-00-10-1
245. Lehigh (3-11)0.46200-00-00-3


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5179


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Memphis (10-0)0.64200-01-02-0
75. Uab (8-6)0.56620-10-01-1
79. Houston (5-6)0.56460-10-21-1
112. SO Mississippi (3-10)0.54200-20-20-3
138. Tulsa (3-11)0.52720-20-20-3
144. Texas El Paso (3-10)0.52350-20-20-3
170. Tulane (4-8)0.50780-10-11-1
173. Marshall (3-8)0.50670-10-10-3
173. Marshall (3-8)0.50670-10-10-3
182. Central Florida (3-8)0.50380-10-00-4
232. SMU (2-9)0.47160-10-10-2
275. East Carolina (1-8)0.44190-10-10-0
293. Rice (1-13)0.42840-10-20-2


HORIZON LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.5126


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Butler (11-2)0.58190-00-02-2
56. Wright St (7-6)0.57890-10-12-1
86. Cleveland St (6-9)0.55570-30-12-1
126. Illinois Chi (5-10)0.53320-20-10-4
147. Wisc Milwaukee (5-8)0.52230-20-01-3
195. Wisc Green Bay (3-12)0.49490-30-20-4
225. Loyola Chi (4-12)0.47760-10-11-2
265. Youngstown St (2-14)0.44900-20-10-4
304. Detroit (1-13)0.41990-10-10-4


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5006


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
32. Gonzaga (7-3)0.60160-10-12-1
76. San Diego (7-6)0.56600-00-21-3
94. St Marys CA (6-5)0.55160-10-10-3
160. Santa Clara (6-9)0.51410-10-21-3
165. Pepperdine (5-13)0.51090-10-30-4
276. San Francisco (2-13)0.44020-00-40-3
302. Loyola Marymnt (2-13)0.42050-00-31-2
316. Portland (2-12)0.39990-00-20-1


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.5002


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. South Alabama (7-4)0.60060-11-10-0
38. Western KY (9-3)0.59700-00-10-1
61. New Orleans (9-5)0.57670-00-20-0
97. Middle Tenn St (5-8)0.55080-11-20-2
146. Ul Lafayette (6-8)0.52290-10-10-1
188. North Texas (4-8)0.49840-10-00-0
217. Arkansas Lr (6-7)0.48170-00-20-0
259. Troy St (3-12)0.45460-00-30-0
285. Florida Intl (1-11)0.43260-00-30-1
299. Arkansas St (1-14)0.42480-10-20-1
333. Denver (0-16)0.36180-00-30-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4961


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
58. Stephen Austin (11-4)0.57750-01-11-2
118. Sam Houston (8-5)0.53960-00-00-2
150. SE Louisiana (6-8)0.52040-00-11-0
162. Texas St (5-8)0.51310-10-10-2
171. Lamar (5-8)0.50760-00-20-2
197. Texas Arlington (4-8)0.49420-00-01-2
214. McNeese St (5-11)0.48320-00-10-1
215. Tex San Antonio (3-11)0.48240-10-10-4
220. Northwestern St (4-10)0.47940-10-11-2
221. Ul Monroe (3-14)0.47920-20-30-1
239. Texas A&M-CC (3-10)0.46900-10-00-3
241. Nicholls St (3-15)0.46820-20-10-3
279. Central Arkansas (3-11)0.43580-00-00-3


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4958


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
55. UC Santa Barbara (10-5)0.57950-20-11-1
74. CS Northridge (9-5)0.56690-00-13-0
82. CS Fullerton (9-5)0.56030-00-20-1
128. Pacific (8-6)0.53130-00-01-2
201. Cal Poly (4-11)0.49230-00-10-4
237. UC Irvine (3-10)0.47090-00-11-3
322. Long Beach St (1-15)0.38290-00-00-3
323. UC Riverside (0-15)0.38230-00-20-4


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4955


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
71. Robert Morris (14-3)0.56910-00-00-1
93. Wagner (10-5)0.55160-00-10-0
104. Mt St Marys (10-7)0.54700-00-10-1
199. Liu Brooklyn (5-10)0.49280-00-10-0
206. Central Conn (6-10)0.48960-00-10-0
213. Fair Dickinson (4-10)0.48330-00-00-2
258. St Francis PA (3-11)0.45470-00-00-1
271. Monmouth NJ (3-12)0.44440-00-00-0
295. St Francis NY (3-12)0.42730-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4949


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
48. Siena (8-6)0.58690-10-01-2
106. Rider (9-7)0.54480-00-01-1
125. Niagara (8-7)0.53390-00-00-1
132. Fairfield (7-9)0.52950-10-02-0
142. Marist (6-7)0.52510-00-00-2
163. Loyola MD (6-11)0.51180-10-11-1
186. Iona (5-12)0.50100-30-00-1
242. Manhattan (5-11)0.46720-00-00-2
320. St Peters (1-14)0.39630-00-00-2
337. Canisius (0-15)0.35260-00-00-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4931


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. Oral Roberts (8-6)0.57550-10-20-2
73. Valparaiso (6-9)0.56750-40-01-2
122. Iupui (7-5)0.53630-10-00-1
184. Oakland (5-9)0.50210-20-00-2
226. Southern Utah (4-11)0.47730-00-10-5
282. Western Ill (2-13)0.43360-10-10-2
292. Mo Kansas City (2-13)0.42900-10-10-2
301. Centenary (3-14)0.42350-00-10-3


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4925


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. VA Commonwealth (9-3)0.60640-00-02-1
123. Old Dominion (5-9)0.53560-10-11-1
154. NC Wilmington (5-9)0.51800-00-21-1
156. William & Mary (5-10)0.51640-10-00-2
157. George Mason (5-7)0.51500-10-00-1
172. Delaware (6-11)0.50690-00-00-4
196. Northeastern (6-13)0.49440-10-00-4
227. Hofstra (4-10)0.47700-00-00-2
261. James Madison (3-11)0.45440-00-00-2
264. Drexel (3-10)0.44960-00-00-2
281. Georgia St (3-12)0.43410-00-00-2
314. Towson (1-13)0.40190-00-00-3


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4829


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Boise St (12-3)0.57100-00-01-1
84. Nevada (7-9)0.56000-20-00-3
99. New Mexico St (5-8)0.54910-20-01-4
202. Utah St (5-9)0.49140-00-11-2
204. San Jose St (4-11)0.48990-10-01-4
266. Hawaii (2-9)0.44740-00-00-5
272. Fresno St (2-12)0.44290-20-10-4
294. Idaho (2-14)0.42810-10-10-4
331. Louisiana Tech (0-12)0.36600-00-10-4


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4814


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
43. Akron (7-6)0.59100-10-24-0
51. Kent (8-5)0.58320-11-02-1
151. Miami Ohio (4-11)0.51950-30-00-5
158. Western Mich (7-9)0.51470-10-00-5
183. Ohio (5-9)0.50270-10-01-4
219. Central Mich (5-12)0.48020-00-00-3
233. Bowling Green (4-10)0.47150-10-00-3
278. Eastern Mich (3-11)0.43800-00-10-3
287. Buffalo (1-12)0.43200-30-00-3
300. Toledo (1-15)0.42440-10-20-4
307. Northern Ill (1-12)0.41730-10-11-1
313. Ball St (1-13)0.40270-10-10-3


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4787


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
41. Davidson (11-3)0.59350-00-00-1
129. Appalachian St (7-7)0.53120-10-00-1
136. NC Greensboro (7-8)0.52840-10-01-1
148. Geo Southern (6-7)0.52130-10-00-2
175. Wofford (4-10)0.50600-21-10-0
181. Chattanooga (4-7)0.50390-10-10-0
230. Coll Of Charltn (4-10)0.47530-10-00-1
252. Elon (3-12)0.45790-10-00-3
315. Furman (1-13)0.40010-20-00-0
318. Westrn Carolina (1-13)0.39940-10-10-0
338. The Citadel (0-12)0.34930-10-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4778


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
109. Umbc (9-7)0.54380-10-11-0
187. Albany NY (7-9)0.49890-10-00-2
191. Vermont (8-9)0.49700-00-00-2
198. Boston U (6-10)0.49360-10-10-1
223. Binghamton (5-10)0.47790-00-00-3
235. Maine (4-10)0.47140-10-01-1
236. Hartford (4-13)0.47110-10-20-2
267. New Hampshire (3-10)0.44730-00-00-2
317. Stony Brook (2-13)0.39960-00-10-3


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4674


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
115. Austin Peay (8-8)0.54080-20-01-1
140. Tenn Martin (8-9)0.52640-30-10-1
164. Tennessee St (6-9)0.51120-10-10-2
189. Eastern KY (5-9)0.49820-10-10-2
211. Samford (7-9)0.48590-10-00-2
238. Murray St (4-9)0.47090-00-20-1
249. Morehead St (4-12)0.45940-10-10-2
253. Tennessee Tech (6-13)0.45770-00-00-4
256. SE Missouri St (4-12)0.45610-10-10-3
324. Eastern Ill (2-13)0.38160-00-00-1
336. Jacksonville St (1-12)0.35320-00-00-2


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4648


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
119. Portland St (8-7)0.53910-20-00-1
134. Northrn Arizona (6-7)0.52890-10-10-2
208. Montana (5-9)0.48750-00-10-2
240. Weber St (4-9)0.46840-00-10-2
262. Idaho St (4-12)0.45290-10-10-2
273. Montana St (3-12)0.44290-10-00-4
284. Eastern Wash (2-12)0.43260-20-00-2
330. Sacramento St (0-15)0.36610-20-10-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4631


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
96. Cornell (10-4)0.55110-10-00-2
98. Brown (10-7)0.54930-00-20-2
141. Yale (5-10)0.52530-30-10-1
192. Columbia (6-9)0.49650-00-20-1
228. Pennsylvania (4-10)0.47650-00-20-2
297. Dartmouth (3-12)0.42590-00-00-2
335. Harvard (0-15)0.35550-10-00-1
340. Princeton (0-13)0.32490-00-00-1


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4590


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Belmont (9-5)0.56020-10-00-1
116. East Tenn St (7-8)0.54030-00-10-3
152. Jacksonville (7-10)0.51920-20-20-3
216. Lipscomb (5-10)0.48170-10-10-1
222. Gardner-Webb (5-10)0.47860-20-01-2
244. Fla Atlantic (3-11)0.46300-10-20-1
250. Fla Gulf Coast (5-13)0.45900-10-00-4
255. Stetson (5-10)0.45720-00-20-2
286. SC Upstate (3-13)0.43250-00-00-2
289. Mercer (4-11)0.42960-01-00-0
309. Campbell (3-11)0.41130-00-00-1
327. Kennesaw St (2-13)0.37460-10-10-0
334. North Florida (0-16)0.35960-00-20-3


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4584


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
130. Morgan St (7-8)0.53070-10-10-3
168. Delaware St (6-10)0.50950-10-20-3
179. Hampton (5-9)0.50440-10-00-3
193. Florida A&M (5-11)0.49620-20-30-1
200. NO Carolina A&T (5-11)0.49280-30-10-1
231. Coppin St (4-14)0.47460-30-30-1
257. SO Carolina St (3-11)0.45560-10-00-0
274. Bethune Cookman (4-10)0.44200-00-10-0
306. Norfolk St (6-13)0.41810-00-00-1
328. Howard (1-16)0.36960-00-10-1
339. MD Eastrn Shore (0-18)0.34870-10-00-3


BIGSOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4529


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
101. NC Asheville (7-7)0.54850-20-10-1
135. Winthrop (6-6)0.52860-10-00-0
174. VMI (6-7)0.50630-00-10-0
277. High Point (3-11)0.43930-00-10-2
288. Liberty (3-12)0.43070-00-00-3
310. Coast Carolina (2-12)0.41080-00-00-2
321. Radford (2-15)0.39320-10-00-0
329. Charleston Sou (1-14)0.36610-00-00-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4452


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
180. Miss Valley St (6-8)0.50440-10-30-1
190. Alabama St (8-8)0.49740-00-20-1
246. Alabama A&M (5-9)0.46160-00-20-1
247. Jackson St (4-11)0.46090-10-20-2
268. Ark Pine Bluff (6-11)0.44640-00-10-1
280. Southern (4-12)0.43440-00-00-2
296. Prairie View (3-15)0.42610-20-10-2
298. Texas Southern (3-15)0.42510-10-10-2
305. Grambling (3-11)0.41830-00-10-2
326. Alcorn St (2-14)0.37770-00-10-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4271


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
178. TX Pan American (6-6)0.50450-10-00-1
218. Chicago St (3-13)0.48060-20-20-3
243. North Dakota St (4-11)0.46300-00-00-4
248. Utah Valley St (5-11)0.46060-10-00-3
254. Savannah St (4-13)0.45730-20-20-2
260. CSU Bakersfield (4-11)0.45460-00-11-2
269. IPFW (2-14)0.44620-40-00-3
291. NC Central (1-20)0.42910-30-20-3
303. Northern Colorado (3-12)0.42030-00-11-1
308. UC Davis (1-15)0.41430-20-00-2
311. Longwood (2-15)0.40900-10-10-1
312. Winston-Salem (2-12)0.40830-00-10-0
325. Presbyterian (0-23)0.37990-10-30-6
332. South Dakota St (1-13)0.36450-00-00-2
341. NJIT (0-15)0.31410-00-00-0
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