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#16 NC A&T vs. #16 Liberty: Recap

  First Four | Tuesday Mar 19, 2013 - 6:40 pm | Midwest Region | Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH | Team Pages: NCAT | LIB

TR Game Winner Pick Confidence Playing Styles Favor
NC A&T Liberty
Advantage:
+0.2 points

Win Odds Predictions

Model NCAT LIB Likely Score
Decision Tree 65% 35%  
Power Ratings 61% 39% Win by 2.3
Similar Games 46% 54% 70-68
Vegas Implied 59% 41% 65.5-62.5
Simulation 53% 47% Win by 0.5
Seed Difference 50% 50%  

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TR ATS Pick

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TR Over/Under Pick

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TR Money Line Pick

No Line

ATS Analysis » Over/Under Analysis » Money Line Analysis »

No.Carolina A&T Recent Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Rank Score
03/13 Neutral vs NC Central #177 W 55-42
03/15 Neutral vs Delaware St #270 W 84-78
03/16 Neutral vs Morgan St #224 W 57-54
03/19 Neutral vs Liberty #293 W 73-72
03/21 Neutral vs Louisville #1 L 48-79

Complete season game log »

Liberty Recent Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Rank Score
03/05 Away at Coastal Car #278 W 78-61
03/07 Away at High Point #258 W 61-60
03/09 Neutral vs Gard-Webb #218 W 65-62
03/10 Neutral vs Charl South #222 W 87-76
03/19 Neutral vs NC A&T #230 L 72-73

Complete season game log »

Head to Head Notes

  • These teams have met 1 times in the last three seasons
  • Head to head, NC A&T has the better record at 1-0

See more head to head results »

Away Performance Notes

  • NC A&T is 11-14 overall (6-6 in conference) on the road so far this year
  • Adjusting for opponent strength, NC A&T is ranked #280 in our away ratings
  • Liberty is 7-14 overall (6-6 in conference) on the road so far this year
  • Adjusting for opponent strength, Liberty is ranked #278 in our away ratings

Travel Distance Analysis »

Tournament Performance Notes

  • NC A&T has played in 2 NCAA Tournament game(s) since the 1997-1998 season
  • They are 1-1 overall and 0-2-0 against the spread
  • Liberty has played in 2 NCAA Tournament game(s) since the 1997-1998 season
  • They are 0-2 overall and 2-0-0 against the spread

Complete tournament history »

Injuries

  • NC A&T has no players on its official injury report
  • Liberty has no players on its official injury report

Complete injury reports »

Odds

Rot Team Spread O/U Money
540 NCAT -3.0 128.0 -155
539 LIB +3.0   +137

Betting lines favor NC A&T by 3 and expect 128.0 points to be scored in this game.

Line Movement

Type Open Last
Point Spread NCAT -1.0 NCAT -3.0
Over/Under 127.0 128.0

Power Ratings

Rating NCAT adv LIB
Predictive 97.0 94.8
Overall 96.3 92.0
Last 10 Games 101.7 96.0
Away 92.9 93.0
Strength of Schedule 96.7 95.9

Team & Conference Ratings »

Offensive Stats

Stat NCAT adv LIB
Off Efficiency 0.899 0.988
Points/Game 61.6 67.5
Avg Score Margin -0.6 -3.3
Possessions/Gm 68.5 68.3
Effective FG % 45.7% 48.6%
Turnovers/Play 19.6% 17.2%
Off Rebound % 28.4% 27.1%

Defensive Stats

Stat NCAT adv LIB
Def Efficiency 0.908 1.037
Opp Points/Game 62.2 70.8
Opp Effective FG % 45.2% 47.8%
Opp Turnovers/Play 19.9% 12.8%
Def Rebound % 68.6% 69.6%

More Stats »
Offensive vs. Defense Stats »
Detailed Stat Splits »

Records & Travel

Stat NCAT adv LIB
Vs. Spread 7-2-0 6-3-0
Vs. Division 1 20-17 15-21
Streak L1 L1
Away 11-14 7-14
Conference 12-8 10-10
Non-Conference 8-9 5-11
Distance Traveled 317 mi 350 mi

More Results & Trends »