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Bracket Advancement Odds By Conference

Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself. Why this matters.


Projected NCAA Tournament Wins By Conference (not counting play-in games)



Atlantic Coast Conference (11.5 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Pittsburgh (4-2) 18-14 17% 16% 8% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
5 19 Miami (FL) (6-0) 23-8 86% 85% 55% 26% 10% 4% 1% 0%
VA Tech (3-2) 12-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (5-1) 21-10 30% 29% 17% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0%
10 40 Syracuse (4-1) 20-11 59% 57% 34% 14% 6% 2% 1% 0%
Boston Col (2-3) 12-18 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 6 Louisville (5-0) 26-5 99% 99% 90% 69% 46% 27% 15% 7%
Florida St (2-3) 13-18 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 17 Virginia (5-0) 22-7 91% 90% 66% 37% 17% 8% 3% 1%
Clemson (3-2) 16-14 7% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
13 52 NC State (5-0) 19-12 43% 40% 20% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0%
1 2 Duke (6-0) 28-3 100% 100% 98% 85% 68% 50% 33% 21%
Wake Forest (4-2) 14-17 4% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (3-1) 13-16 4% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 13 N Carolina (4-1) 23-8 97% 96% 78% 52% 28% 14% 7% 3%

Big Ten Conference (9.8 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Rutgers (2-2) 7-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (3-1) 14-14 22% 20% 9% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
1 4 Wisconsin (6-0) 27-4 100% 100% 92% 72% 49% 29% 16% 8%
12 47 Purdue (5-1) 20-11 43% 42% 24% 9% 3% 1% 0% 0%
11 42 Iowa (4-2) 20-11 54% 52% 33% 14% 6% 2% 1% 0%
Michigan (4-1) 17-13 27% 26% 13% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0%
Penn State (5-1) 14-17 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 7 Ohio State (4-0) 26-5 95% 95% 82% 57% 35% 18% 9% 4%
7 25 Michigan St (4-1) 22-8 79% 78% 56% 29% 14% 6% 2% 1%
Indiana (4-1) 18-13 24% 23% 12% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
4 14 Illinois (5-0) 25-7 88% 87% 66% 39% 19% 8% 3% 1%
Minnesota (3-2) 17-14 16% 15% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (5-1) 13-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6 23 Maryland (5-0) 23-8 79% 78% 54% 27% 12% 5% 2% 0%

Big 12 Conference (7.7 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
6 24 W Virginia (6-0) 22-9 77% 75% 47% 22% 8% 3% 1% 0%
7 26 Baylor (5-0) 21-10 75% 73% 46% 22% 9% 3% 1% 0%
Texas Tech (3-1) 13-17 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
4 16 Kansas (3-1) 21-9 91% 89% 65% 37% 17% 7% 3% 1%
7 27 Iowa State (3-1) 20-10 73% 72% 51% 26% 12% 5% 2% 1%
Kansas St (3-3) 16-15 18% 17% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
2 5 Texas (5-0) 25-6 99% 98% 87% 63% 39% 21% 10% 5%
12 48 Oklahoma St (6-0) 19-11 48% 45% 24% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0%
6 21 Oklahoma (4-1) 20-10 80% 78% 53% 27% 12% 5% 2% 1%
TX Christian (5-0) 17-13 4% 4% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southeastern Conference (7.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Auburn (3-2) 13-18 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
13 53 Alabama (4-1) 20-11 42% 39% 19% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (3-2) 16-15 8% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss State (4-0) 13-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 11 Arkansas (4-0) 26-5 92% 91% 69% 39% 19% 7% 3% 1%
Mississippi (3-1) 17-13 20% 19% 9% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (3-3) 14-16 8% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9 33 Florida (3-2) 21-10 66% 64% 40% 17% 7% 3% 1% 0%
Georgia (3-2) 16-14 18% 17% 7% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Tennessee (2-1) 15-14 10% 10% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (4-0) 15-15 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
1 1 Kentucky (6-0) 29-2 100% 100% 99% 89% 74% 57% 41% 27%
Missouri (3-3) 11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9 36 Texas A&M (3-1) 20-10 54% 53% 30% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0%

Pacific-12 Conference (5.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Colorado (3-1) 18-10 33% 32% 16% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0%
5 20 Utah (3-1) 22-8 84% 83% 58% 30% 14% 6% 2% 1%
Wash State (1-3) 8-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (3-2) 19-12 26% 25% 12% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
USC (3-3) 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCLA (4-2) 19-12 39% 36% 18% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0%
Oregon St (3-2) 11-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
7 28 Stanford (4-1) 21-9 76% 74% 46% 20% 8% 3% 1% 0%
10 39 California (4-1) 22-9 58% 56% 32% 12% 5% 1% 0% 0%
Washington (4-0) 17-12 16% 15% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (3-2) 16-15 10% 9% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 9 Arizona (6-0) 26-5 98% 98% 81% 52% 28% 13% 5% 2%

Big East Conference (4.7 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
8 29 Butler (4-1) 21-10 70% 68% 40% 17% 6% 2% 1% 0%
9 35 Georgetown (4-1) 19-10 66% 63% 34% 13% 4% 1% 0% 0%
11 44 Providence (5-0) 20-11 52% 49% 24% 9% 3% 1% 0% 0%
St Johns (4-0) 16-15 15% 13% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 10 Villanova (5-0) 25-6 94% 94% 73% 43% 21% 9% 3% 1%
Seton Hall (4-0) 17-13 21% 20% 8% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
11 43 Creighton (5-0) 20-10 48% 46% 24% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0%
4 15 Xavier (5-0) 23-7 89% 88% 60% 30% 12% 5% 2% 0%
Marquette (3-2) 13-16 8% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (2-1) 7-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

West Coast Conference (3.5 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Pepperdine (3-1) 15-14 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (2-3) 12-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Fransco (3-2) 18-12 8% 7% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
1 3 Gonzaga (5-0) 29-2 100% 100% 93% 73% 51% 30% 16% 8%
Loyola Mymt (3-2) 8-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (3-2) 15-14 5% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Marys (4-0) 19-10 23% 22% 9% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (3-0) 18-12 6% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 32 BYU (4-2) 23-8 73% 70% 40% 16% 6% 2% 1% 0%
Pacific (3-2) 9-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Missouri Valley Conference (2.5 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Loyola-Chi (3-1) 12-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (2-2) 17-13 10% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (1-3) 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 30 N Iowa (6-0) 24-6 73% 70% 36% 13% 4% 1% 0% 0%
Missouri St (2-2) 14-15 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (2-2) 8-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2 8 Wichita St (3-0) 25-3 95% 95% 74% 43% 21% 9% 3% 1%
S Illinois (2-3) 14-17 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
10 37 Evansville (4-1) 24-6 58% 57% 28% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Indiana St (3-2) 14-16 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Atlantic 10 Conference (2.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Geo Mason (1-4) 7-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5 18 VCU (4-1) 24-7 89% 88% 56% 26% 10% 3% 1% 0%
Davidson (3-1) 18-11 22% 21% 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
12 49 U Mass (5-1) 21-10 45% 42% 17% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (1-3) 8-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (3-1) 17-11 12% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (3-3) 11-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (3-1) 16-13 4% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (2-0) 17-12 6% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (3-1) 20-10 33% 32% 14% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (4-0) 17-13 12% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (2-2) 19-12 28% 27% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (3-1) 21-8 40% 39% 19% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (3-1) 15-15 3% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Mountain West Conference (2.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Fresno St (1-5) 10-21 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (2-3) 10-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boise State (4-1) 20-10 23% 21% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (1-4) 7-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (5-0) 21-10 14% 13% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8 31 Colorado St (4-0) 23-7 64% 62% 31% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0%
New Mexico (3-2) 18-12 12% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3 12 San Diego St (5-1) 26-5 96% 96% 68% 36% 15% 6% 2% 1%
UNLV (3-1) 16-15 12% 11% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (3-2) 14-15 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah State (3-2) 15-15 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

American Athletic Conference (1.8 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
6 22 S Methodist (3-3) 22-8 85% 83% 48% 19% 7% 2% 1% 0%
Tulsa (3-2) 18-12 27% 25% 9% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9 34 Connecticut (3-1) 20-10 70% 68% 32% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Central FL (3-1) 12-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (3-2) 17-14 12% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (3-1) 15-15 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (4-1) 13-18 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (1-2) 20-11 40% 39% 18% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (3-3) 13-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Houston (2-1) 18-12 4% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (4-0) 19-11 38% 35% 14% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%

Big West Conference (0.5 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Hawaii (6-2) 15-14 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (2-2) 11-17 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (4-0) 13-16 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (3-3) 17-14 33% 30% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (2-3) 10-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
12 45 UCSB (2-2) 21-8 54% 53% 21% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (2-4) 12-19 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (2-2) 21-8 39% 37% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (2-3) 13-18 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (0.5 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Quinnipiac (2-2) 16-13 6% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (2-2) 16-15 6% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (2-3) 10-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (1-3) 15-14 6% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
10 38 Iona (4-1) 25-6 76% 73% 32% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Rider (2-3) 13-17 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (1-4) 13-17 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (2-2) 14-15 4% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (1-2) 18-11 26% 25% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (1-4) 10-20 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (1-2) 8-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Mid-American Conference (0.5 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Ohio (2-1) 14-13 11% 10% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (3-2) 20-11 17% 16% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
13 54 Buffalo (3-1) 21-9 45% 41% 13% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (2-3) 10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (4-1) 18-12 8% 7% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (2-1) 14-15 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (6-0) 16-15 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (3-0) 19-10 24% 23% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (2-3) 19-12 28% 27% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (3-2) 17-12 11% 10% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (2-2) 12-17 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (4-0) 19-10 13% 12% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Conference USA (0.5 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
TX-San Ant (2-2) 8-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14 58 LA Tech (4-1) 24-7 37% 36% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (1-3) 9-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (3-0) 20-8 34% 32% 10% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (3-2) 12-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (2-3) 14-16 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (3-1) 15-15 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (4-1) 12-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (4-1) 23-7 39% 38% 12% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (1-3) 13-16 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (3-2) 15-16 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (3-1) 16-13 5% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (2-4) 11-20 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (3-2) 19-12 17% 16% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Ivy League (0.4 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Columbia (3-1) 18-10 16% 16% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (3-4) 11-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (1-4) 13-16 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Yale (5-1) 22-9 40% 38% 11% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (0-2) 12-16 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
13 51 Harvard (3-1) 20-8 50% 49% 17% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (0-4) 7-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (1-5) 12-19 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Horizon (0.4 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Wright State (3-2) 14-16 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (4-3) 13-18 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (2-4) 12-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (2-4) 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
11 41 WI-Grn Bay (4-1) 22-7 71% 69% 24% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (2-3) 17-14 19% 18% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (4-2) 18-13 10% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (1-5) 9-22 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (4-1) 19-12 12% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Sun Belt Conference (0.3 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Texas State (2-1) 14-15 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (3-2) 17-13 7% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (2-3) 17-13 7% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (3-1) 15-14 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (0-2) 10-19 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (2-3) 19-12 10% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (1-2) 12-19 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (3-1) 17-11 9% 8% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
App State (2-2) 9-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
12 46 Georgia St (4-2) 25-6 73% 70% 21% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (1-3) 10-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Ohio Valley Conference (0.3 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
SIU Edward (1-3) 11-16 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (2-4) 11-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14 57 E Kentucky (4-0) 22-7 43% 41% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (3-2) 14-16 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (3-1) 18-11 7% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (1-4) 10-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (2-2) 21-9 25% 24% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (2-3) 14-15 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (3-4) 17-14 6% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (2-3) 9-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (2-3) 6-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (5-1) 20-9 27% 25% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big Sky Conference (0.3 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
North Dakota (2-2) 15-15 4% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (2-2) 16-13 5% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (0-4) 9-21 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (1-4) 16-14 7% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (3-1) 15-14 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (2-3) 14-14 11% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (2-2) 15-14 7% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (0-4) 6-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (4-0) 16-12 6% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
13 50 E Washingtn (5-1) 25-6 66% 62% 18% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (0-4) 4-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (2-2) 13-16 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Western Athletic Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
CS Bakersfld (1-4) 14-16 8% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grand Canyon (2-3) 14-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (1-3) 13-15 10% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (3-1) 15-13 7% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (3-1) 8-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14 55 N Mex State (3-3) 23-8 73% 70% 15% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (2-4) 11-20 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (2-5) 8-23 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southern Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
VA Military (2-3) 14-15 7% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (2-4) 10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (2-3) 10-19 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14 56 Wofford (5-1) 23-7 55% 51% 11% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Furman (1-3) 8-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (1-4) 8-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (3-3) 18-13 8% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (3-3) 14-17 4% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (3-1) 18-11 21% 20% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (3-2) 17-13 13% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Colonial Athletic Association (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
16 65 Northeastrn (4-1) 21-10 34% 32% 7% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (0-4) 6-23 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (1-4) 10-18 5% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (4-1) 14-17 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (3-2) 18-13 12% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (2-1) 16-13 16% 15% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (4-1) 17-12 22% 20% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (5-1) 18-13 9% 8% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (2-3) 16-15 12% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (2-3) 13-17 4% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Patriot League (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Boston U (1-3) 14-14 9% 8% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (3-2) 19-10 20% 19% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (5-0) 20-9 21% 20% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colgate (1-4) 13-18 5% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (2-4) 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (1-4) 12-16 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (4-2) 18-12 21% 20% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (2-4) 12-19 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16 67 Holy Cross (3-0) 18-10 25% 24% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (2-3) 8-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

America East Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Massachusetts Lowell (4-2) 14-15 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (2-2) 17-12 19% 18% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (0-4) 5-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
15 61 Vermont (3-2) 20-9 41% 39% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (1-5) 7-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (2-2) 14-14 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (0-4) 8-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (4-1) 16-13 7% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (4-2) 20-11 28% 27% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Atlantic Sun Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
N Kentucky (2-3) 14-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (4-1) 22-9 34% 32% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
15 60 Fla Gulf Cst (5-1) 20-10 47% 44% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (3-3) 17-14 15% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (2-4) 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (2-4) 6-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (2-4) 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (2-3) 12-17 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southland Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Incarnate Word (4-0) 19-9 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (1-2) 11-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (0-5) 5-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Abilene Christian (2-2) 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16 63 Ste F Austin (2-3) 22-9 49% 46% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (2-1) 11-17 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (1-4) 13-18 5% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (2-3) 14-15 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (3-2) 23-8 35% 32% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (0-3) 9-19 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (2-3) 12-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (2-2) 16-13 6% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (1-1) 11-16 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
15 59 NC Central (1-3) 21-8 59% 56% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Savannah St (2-3) 11-19 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (2-3) 13-18 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (1-4) 10-20 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (1-5) 15-14 12% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (2-4) 11-20 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (1-5) 11-19 5% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (1-3) 10-21 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (3-3) 16-15 8% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (1-6) 9-22 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (0-4) 5-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (2-3) 15-15 7% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (0-6) 5-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big South Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Presbyterian (2-4) 7-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (2-4) 6-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (2-3) 17-13 6% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (3-1) 16-11 12% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (2-2) 17-12 7% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
15 62 Coastal Car (4-2) 22-8 48% 45% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Liberty (2-4) 13-18 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (4-1) 17-13 7% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (2-3) 16-13 9% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (1-3) 12-19 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (2-3) 17-13 10% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Summit Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
South Dakota (1-5) 12-19 6% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (2-2) 17-13 22% 21% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (2-2) 15-14 11% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (3-2) 14-14 9% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (3-1) 16-12 13% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16 66 Denver (2-2) 17-12 26% 23% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (2-3) 13-17 8% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (2-3) 9-21 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (1-3) 9-18 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Northeast Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Bryant (1-2) 13-16 15% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (1-3) 10-19 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (2-3) 14-15 14% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (0-5) 10-21 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (2-4) 15-15 15% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (2-2) 12-17 6% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (0-3) 12-17 8% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (1-3) 11-19 6% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (1-3) 12-17 8% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16 68 St Fran (NY) (0-4) 16-14 20% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southwestern Athletic Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Alabama St (1-2) 17-10 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (1-4) 14-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (1-4) 13-18 18% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (0-6) 11-19 15% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (1-5) 12-19 14% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16 64 TX Southern (0-5) 14-17 39% 20% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (0-5) 3-27 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (1-4) 3-25 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (1-3) 9-19 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (1-4) 11-18 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Independents (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
NJIT (1-4) 10-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%