NCAA Tournament Bracket Odds 2015

The table below lists the percentage odds for every NCAA tournament team to reach every round of the 2015 tournament bracket. We derive these odds by using our power ratings to analyze the likelihood of every possible path to the NCAA championship.

Bracket Projection NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
Massachusetts Lowell (6-5) 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota (4-8) 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant (2-5) 11.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota (4-6) 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
CS Bakersfld (2-10) 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word (8-1) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian (4-8) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT (5-7) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N Kentucky (5-6) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
S Dakota St (9-3) 19.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Neb Omaha (5-5) 8.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Canyon (6-7) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 62 SC Upstate (9-4) 41.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N Dakota St (6-4) 12.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fla Gulf Cst (9-2) 30.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood (4-8) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle (5-6) 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Bap (4-5) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Val St (3-7) 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N Florida (7-5) 18.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Ark (0-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edward (2-7) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 60 NC Central (8-5) 63.3% 8.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian (4-6) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N Colorado (5-5) 6.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St (4-8) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Auburn (5-5) 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama (7-3) 13.7% 5.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU (8-2) 24.6% 10.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Miss State (5-5) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 18 Arkansas (8-2) 84.7% 57.7% 25.7% 9.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Mississippi (7-3) 13.7% 5.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
S Carolina (6-3) 36.9% 19.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
7 25 Florida (7-4) 84.0% 57.9% 27.7% 11.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Georgia (5-3) 35.5% 17.4% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Tennessee (5-4) 6.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt (7-3) 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1 Kentucky (12-0) 100.0% 99.2% 92.2% 80.2% 64.4% 48.7% 34.8%
14 57 Ste F Austin (9-3) 46.9% 7.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas State (6-3) 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St (5-4) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX-Arlington (6-4) 8.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana (3-8) 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NW State (4-5) 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Hous St (7-4) 44.6% 6.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St (2-6) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar (4-6) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX-San Ant (4-5) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LA Monroe (6-4) 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX-Pan Am (5-6) 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M-CC (4-6) 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Savannah St (3-9) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IPFW (6-4) 9.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia (6-3) 23.0% 6.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell (5-4) 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton (4-8) 3.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yale (9-4) 23.2% 6.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth (5-5) 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 36 Harvard (7-1) 59.4% 23.8% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
U Penn (3-5) 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown (5-6) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola-Chi (8-2) 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright State (8-4) 4.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngs St (8-6) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
7 26 Butler (8-3) 74.2% 44.2% 17.0% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
WI-Milwkee (5-7) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IL-Chicago (3-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 40 WI-Grn Bay (8-2) 61.5% 20.3% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St (5-6) 16.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit (6-6) 7.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford (7-4) 7.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charl South (5-4) 9.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop (4-6) 4.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 61 Coastal Car (8-3) 52.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VA Military (5-6) 10.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty (5-6) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point (8-3) 9.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC-Asheville (4-6) 3.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii (8-3) 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fresno St (4-8) 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nevada (2-8) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 17 S Methodist (8-3) 92.6% 57.2% 23.2% 7.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
LA Tech (8-3) 23.5% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rice (3-6) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX El Paso (6-4) 43.8% 14.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulsa (6-5) 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boise State (9-2) 40.6% 15.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
San Jose St (2-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 35 Georgetown (7-3) 61.6% 33.6% 12.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Providence (9-3) 30.9% 13.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
13 52 St Johns (9-1) 40.0% 17.9% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Rutgers (6-5) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pittsburgh (8-3) 8.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 47 Miami (FL) (9-2) 43.2% 19.6% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
10 38 Connecticut (4-4) 63.9% 28.0% 7.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
VA Tech (6-4) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 32 Notre Dame (11-1) 65.0% 42.3% 16.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5 Villanova (11-0) 99.4% 87.4% 59.9% 32.8% 14.9% 5.9% 2.1%
6 21 W Virginia (10-1) 83.3% 56.1% 26.9% 10.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Syracuse (6-4) 31.5% 16.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Boston Col (6-3) 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seton Hall (9-1) 37.9% 17.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Pepperdine (7-3) 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Santa Clara (5-5) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Fransco (6-5) 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7 Gonzaga (11-1) 100.0% 92.5% 71.3% 44.5% 23.0% 11.3% 5.0%
Loyola Mymt (3-6) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego (6-5) 7.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St Marys (6-3) 9.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland (8-3) 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay (4-7) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 58 E Kentucky (6-4) 36.9% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
TN Tech (6-5) 3.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TN Martin (7-3) 8.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
E Illinois (5-6) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Murray St (8-4) 22.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Missouri (5-6) 3.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St (4-10) 3.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jksnville St (7-5) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TN State (2-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford (4-8) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska (6-3) 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 19 Baylor (9-1) 84.3% 56.8% 26.6% 10.0% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Missouri (5-6) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Tech (9-1) 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9 Kansas (9-1) 99.6% 85.6% 57.6% 30.8% 14.4% 5.9% 2.2%
Texas A&M (7-3) 24.7% 11.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado (6-3) 33.1% 15.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 16 Iowa State (9-1) 88.8% 65.8% 35.7% 15.6% 6.3% 2.2% 0.7%
Kansas St (7-4) 11.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10 Texas (10-1) 99.1% 87.3% 61.8% 35.4% 17.7% 7.8% 3.1%
12 46 Oklahoma St (9-1) 50.1% 27.6% 10.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 20 Oklahoma (7-3) 85.4% 60.6% 31.1% 13.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Florida Intl (6-5) 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
W Kentucky (5-5) 5.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AR Lit Rock (4-4) 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St (4-4) 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Middle Tenn (6-5) 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LA Lafayette (6-5) 11.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans (3-4) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
S Alabama (2-7) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Texas (5-4) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 68 Denver (5-6) 21.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 59 N Mex State (4-8) 68.1% 8.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho State (3-8) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N Arizona (4-7) 5.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sac State (5-4) 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber State (4-5) 10.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana (3-6) 6.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St (3-8) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St (5-4) 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 49 E Washingtn (8-4) 55.8% 13.1% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Wyoming (9-2) 18.0% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14 Utah (8-2) 98.1% 78.5% 47.4% 22.0% 8.9% 3.3% 1.1%
9 34 Colorado St (11-0) 61.9% 26.4% 6.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico (8-3) 13.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 22 San Diego St (8-3) 86.5% 49.7% 18.4% 5.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
UNLV (7-3) 17.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 29 BYU (9-3) 74.0% 42.8% 15.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Air Force (6-4) 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany (4-6) 17.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine (1-8) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 64 Vermont (5-5) 33.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton (1-12) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N Hampshire (6-4) 11.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston U (3-7) 2.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland BC (2-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford (6-5) 7.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastrn (7-3) 20.8% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook (5-6) 20.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois St (6-4) 11.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drake (2-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 23 N Iowa (10-1) 85.2% 46.8% 16.1% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Missouri St (5-6) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley (4-6) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Creighton (9-3) 12.1% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11 Wichita St (8-1) 98.2% 78.4% 46.0% 19.8% 7.2% 2.4% 0.7%
S Illinois (7-5) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 43 Evansville (8-2) 45.5% 20.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Indiana St (4-7) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St (5-7) 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC A&T (1-12) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton (5-6) 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Beth-Cook (3-9) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St (2-10) 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
S Car State (4-8) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard (6-7) 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland ES (5-8) 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin State (1-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St (8-5) 9.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M (0-10) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware (0-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Geo Mason (4-6) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel (2-8) 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Mad (7-4) 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 30 Old Dominion (9-1) 68.3% 29.5% 6.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
16 65 Hofstra (7-3) 30.3% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15 VCU (8-3) 97.4% 69.2% 34.7% 12.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
NC-Wilmgton (5-3) 17.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wm & Mary (6-3) 18.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson (7-4) 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Citadel (4-6) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 50 Davidson (9-1) 42.9% 18.9% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
13 54 Wofford (9-2) 47.5% 9.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Col Charlestn (5-6) 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Furman (2-7) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
GA Southern (6-2) 7.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC-Grnsboro (4-8) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon (6-5) 8.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga (6-6) 7.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
W Carolina (3-8) 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
E Tenn St (6-2) 18.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
App State (3-5) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Belmont (8-4) 17.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell (5-6) 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fla Atlantic (5-4) 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville (4-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson (3-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb (4-7) 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 41 Georgia St (6-3) 75.8% 27.2% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Gard-Webb (7-5) 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central FL (6-4) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer (6-5) 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy (4-4) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
U Mass (6-5) 10.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fordham (3-5) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rhode Island (7-3) 37.3% 16.7% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
St Josephs (6-4) 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St Bonavent (7-2) 9.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Temple (7-4) 16.6% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Duquesne (4-5) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dayton (8-2) 29.3% 11.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
6 24 Xavier (8-3) 75.8% 47.4% 19.7% 6.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
La Salle (6-5) 4.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richmond (6-4) 13.3% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Geo Wshgtn (6-3) 33.1% 14.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Alabama St (3-4) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern (3-9) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St (2-10) 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View (1-10) 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ark Pine Bl (2-9) 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 63 TX Southern (2-8) 31.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miss Val St (1-10) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St (2-7) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alab A&M (1-7) 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn State (1-8) 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio (3-4) 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall (4-7) 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron (7-4) 9.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 45 Buffalo (7-2) 52.1% 18.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) (3-7) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent State (7-2) 3.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N Illinois (4-4) 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
E Michigan (9-2) 4.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Grn (6-2) 17.9% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo (7-4) 33.0% 9.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
W Michigan (6-4) 10.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball State (3-6) 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Mich (8-1) 14.5% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mt St Marys (3-6) 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 67 St Fran (PA) (6-4) 27.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Conn (2-8) 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac (4-5) 5.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rob Morris (3-7) 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
F Dickinson (4-5) 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU-Brooklyn (3-6) 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth (5-5) 9.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Hrt (6-4) 11.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner (2-7) 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St Fran (NY) (4-7) 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland (4-8) 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC (4-8) 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valparaiso (11-2) 23.8% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts (4-6) 9.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI (3-8) 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
W Illinois (4-5) 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
S Utah (2-6) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St (3-10) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly (5-5) 5.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis (8-1) 2.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lg Beach St (5-7) 30.9% 6.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside (6-4) 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 55 UCSB (5-5) 46.1% 13.4% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah State (6-5) 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St Nrdge (3-9) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Irvine (4-5) 19.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho (5-5) 5.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
CS Fullerton (5-7) 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific (8-4) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette (7-3) 19.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army (7-2) 19.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate (3-8) 6.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy (3-8) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh (4-5) 9.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 66 American (7-4) 29.2% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell (5-6) 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross (5-3) 10.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3 Wisconsin (10-1) 100.0% 96.3% 80.7% 59.1% 37.7% 21.1% 10.7%
Purdue (8-4) 14.3% 6.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
13 51 Iowa (8-4) 42.0% 22.4% 8.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Michigan (6-5) 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn State (11-1) 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12 Ohio State (9-2) 98.8% 87.9% 63.8% 37.8% 19.9% 9.5% 4.1%
7 27 Michigan St (8-4) 73.2% 49.4% 21.6% 9.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
12 48 Indiana (9-2) 43.5% 22.8% 7.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
9 33 Illinois (9-3) 62.5% 38.4% 14.2% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
10 37 Minnesota (9-2) 53.6% 32.4% 12.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Northwestern (7-4) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette (6-4) 12.5% 4.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulane (9-1) 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
S Mississippi (5-4) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul (6-4) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX Christian (11-0) 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UAB (4-7) 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
S Florida (5-6) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Memphis (6-4) 41.3% 16.1% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
E Carolina (5-6) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4 Louisville (10-0) 99.8% 92.3% 71.6% 46.1% 26.0% 13.0% 5.9%
Houston (5-3) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 39 Cincinnati (7-3) 49.8% 20.5% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte (6-5) 12.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Louis (7-4) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wash State (4-6) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon (8-3) 19.9% 8.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
USC (6-4) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UCLA (8-4) 30.8% 12.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St (8-2) 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 44 Stanford (6-3) 44.2% 23.0% 7.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
11 42 California (10-1) 47.6% 22.5% 6.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
7 28 Washington (10-0) 66.8% 34.5% 10.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Arizona St (6-5) 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6 Arizona (12-0) 99.8% 88.8% 63.0% 35.4% 16.7% 6.9% 2.6%
Florida St (6-5) 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8 Virginia (10-0) 99.5% 86.8% 60.0% 32.2% 15.2% 6.4% 2.4%
Clemson (6-4) 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 31 Maryland (10-1) 68.9% 40.5% 15.3% 5.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
13 53 NC State (9-3) 38.8% 18.6% 6.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2 Duke (10-0) 100.0% 97.7% 85.0% 66.2% 46.2% 29.0% 16.1%
Wake Forest (5-6) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
GA Tech (8-2) 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13 N Carolina (8-3) 99.7% 88.1% 64.0% 36.7% 19.1% 9.1% 3.9%
Fairfield (4-6) 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan (3-7) 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 56 Iona (6-4) 44.8% 12.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider (6-6) 4.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St Peters (4-7) 4.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola-MD (3-6) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius (5-4) 5.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena (3-6) 19.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist (1-10) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara (1-7) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Using Bracket Odds

Team Rankings' bracket odds are calculated by looking at every possible matchup in the tournament. For example, if the West region was slotted to play the Midwest region's champion in the Final Four, a team from the West's bracket odds would be their odds of making the Final Four times the sum of (their odds of beating and Midwest opponent times the odds of that opponent getting to the Final Four out of the Midwest bracket). This way of computing bracket odds has been very effective, and sometimes yields surprising odds in the NCAA Tournament. In many years, the bracket odds of a 6 or 7 seed making the Final Four have been higher than those of a 2 or 3 seed. It may happen again in 2015: look at the odds table above for detail!