Virginia Cavaliers Projections

Overall Record

26.1 - 3.9

Conference Record

14.2 - 3.8

Conference Champs

19.3%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 19.3% 10.5%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
3.0 76.6% 39.4% 18.2% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

ACC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Duke 0 0 0.0 15.3 2.7 28.2 2.8 41.5% 40.2%
Louisville 0 0 0.0 14.2 3.8 26.6 4.4 22.0% 20.3%
Virginia 0 0 0.0 14.2 3.8 26.1 3.9 19.3% 18.2%
N Carolina 0 0 0.0 13.7 4.3 23.7 7.3 15.2% 16.6%
Notre Dame 1 0 0.0 11.5 6.5 23.5 7.5 1.5% 2.8%
Syracuse 0 0 0.0 9.5 8.5 18.2 12.8 0.2% 0.6%
NC State 1 0 0.0 9.1 8.9 18.7 12.3 0.2% 0.6%
Miami (FL) 0 0 0.0 9.0 9.0 19.5 11.5 0.1% 0.4%
Pittsburgh 0 0 0.0 7.3 10.7 17.9 14.1 0.0% 0.1%
Florida St 0 1 0.0 6.3 11.7 14.1 16.9 0.0% 0.0%
Clemson 0 0 0.0 6.3 11.7 14.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
GA Tech 0 0 0.0 6.2 11.8 15.2 14.8 0.0% 0.0%
Boston Col 0 0 0.0 4.5 13.5 12.0 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
Wake Forest 0 1 0.0 4.2 13.8 11.1 19.9 0.0% 0.0%
VA Tech 0 0 0.0 3.5 14.5 11.2 19.8 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
3/7 Louisville Away 33.4%
2/2 N Carolina Away 36.5%
1/31 Duke Home 50.1%
1/10 Notre Dame Away 58.7%
2/7 Louisville Home 63.1%
3/2 Syracuse Away 72.0%
2/11 NC State Away 72.0%
1/3 Miami (FL) Away 75.7%
1/7 NC State Home 91.1%
2/25 Wake Forest Away 91.3%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/28 VA Tech Home 99.2%
2/14 Wake Forest Home 98.3%
2/22 Florida St Home 97.5%
1/13 Clemson Home 97.3%
1/22 GA Tech Home 97.1%
2/16 Pittsburgh Home 95.7%
1/25 VA Tech Away 95.0%
12/30 Davidson Home 93.7%
1/17 Boston Col Away 91.4%
2/25 Wake Forest Away 91.3%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 19.3% 28.1%
2 22.8% 21.5%
3 24.0% 17.3%
4 17.5% 13.1%
5 10.2% 9.7%
6 3.7% 7.6%
7 1.4% 7.4%
8 0.8% 7.4%
9 0.1% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 18.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.