Virginia Cavaliers Projections

Overall Record

26.7 - 3.3

Conference Record

14.7 - 3.3

Conference Champs

46.8%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 5.8% 0.0% 46.8% -13.7%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
2.1 81.0% 47.7% 25.9% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

ACC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Virginia 7 1 0.0 14.7 3.3 26.7 3.3 46.8% 25.9%
Duke 5 3 0.0 13.5 4.5 26.5 4.5 17.1% 30.9%
N Carolina 7 2 0.0 13.5 4.5 23.5 7.5 14.9% 17.6%
Notre Dame 8 2 0.0 13.5 4.5 25.5 5.5 6.7% 7.4%
Louisville 6 2 0.0 13.4 4.6 25.4 5.6 14.4% 15.9%
Miami (FL) 4 3 0.0 9.9 8.1 19.9 11.1 0.0% 0.6%
Syracuse 5 3 0.0 9.2 8.8 18.2 12.8 0.0% 0.7%
NC State 5 5 0.0 8.8 9.2 17.8 13.2 0.0% 0.8%
Clemson 5 4 0.0 8.5 9.5 16.5 13.5 0.0% 0.1%
Pittsburgh 4 5 0.0 7.2 10.8 18.2 13.8 0.0% 0.1%
Florida St 3 5 0.0 6.6 11.4 14.6 16.4 0.0% 0.0%
Boston Col 1 7 0.0 4.4 13.6 12.4 17.6 0.0% 0.0%
Wake Forest 2 7 0.0 4.3 13.7 12.3 18.7 0.0% 0.0%
GA Tech 1 8 0.0 4.3 13.7 13.3 16.7 0.0% 0.0%
VA Tech 1 7 0.0 3.4 14.6 11.4 19.6 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/2 N Carolina Away 40.0%
3/7 Louisville Away 41.6%
2/7 Louisville Home 70.9%
2/11 NC State Away 71.7%
3/2 Syracuse Away 72.7%
2/25 Wake Forest Away 88.5%
2/16 Pittsburgh Home 95.6%
2/22 Florida St Home 97.3%
2/14 Wake Forest Home 97.5%
2/28 VA Tech Home 98.8%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/28 VA Tech Home 98.8%
2/14 Wake Forest Home 97.5%
2/22 Florida St Home 97.3%
2/16 Pittsburgh Home 95.6%
2/25 Wake Forest Away 88.5%
3/2 Syracuse Away 72.7%
2/11 NC State Away 71.7%
2/7 Louisville Home 70.9%
3/7 Louisville Away 41.6%
2/2 N Carolina Away 40.0%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 46.8% 29.0%
2 23.5% 27.4%
3 14.4% 23.3%
4 9.1% 18.3%
5 5.4% 13.1%
6 0.6% 13.4%
7 0.2% -
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 25.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.