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Valparaiso Crusaders Projections

Overall Record

19.0 - 12.0

Conference Record

9.5 - 6.5

Conference Champs

15.5%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5% 3.5%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
3.6 66.6% 32.0% 14.6% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Horizon League CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
WI-Grn Bay 0 0 0.0 11.7 4.3 18.8 8.2 42.7% 46.3%
Cleveland St 0 0 0.0 9.7 6.3 16.3 14.7 17.7% 15.9%
Valparaiso 0 0 0.0 9.5 6.5 19.0 12.0 15.5% 14.6%
Detroit 0 0 0.0 8.9 7.1 15.6 14.4 10.7% 10.9%
Wright State 0 0 0.0 7.5 8.5 14.8 15.2 4.2% 5.0%
Oakland 0 0 0.0 7.3 8.7 11.4 19.6 4.8% 5.0%
WI-Milwkee 0 0 0.0 6.7 9.3 11.6 18.4 2.7% 0.0%
Youngs St 0 0 0.0 5.4 10.6 12.6 18.4 0.9% 1.2%
IL-Chicago 0 0 0.0 5.2 10.8 10.2 19.8 0.7% 1.1%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/3 E Kentucky Away 13.6%
1/23 WI-Grn Bay Away 22.7%
11/29 Murray St Neutral 31.0%
2/27 Cleveland St Away 33.8%
11/30 Portland Neutral 39.1%
2/25 Detroit Away 39.1%
12/20 IPFW Away 45.2%
12/6 New Mexico Home 46.4%
1/17 Wright State Away 47.4%
1/2 Oakland Away 48.5%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/10 Trinity International Home 99.5%
12/21 Goshen Home 99.5%
1/8 IL-Chicago Home 85.7%
1/4 Youngs St Home 85.1%
12/13 Ball State Home 83.1%
1/26 WI-Milwkee Home 79.3%
2/8 Oakland Home 76.5%
2/21 Wright State Home 75.7%
11/28 Drake Neutral 73.9%
2/4 Detroit Home 68.6%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 15.9% 43.2%
2 19.0% 21.0%
3 18.2% 10.4%
4 16.0% 6.1%
5 12.9% 3.8%
6 9.0% 2.7%
7 5.9% 1.2%
8 3.0% 0.7%
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 14.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.