UNLV Runnin' Rebels Projections

Overall Record

18.1 - 12.9

Conference Record

9.1 - 8.9

Conference Champs

0.2%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
6.4 50.8% 29.2% 15.4% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Mountain West CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 7 2 0.0 13.8 4.2 23.8 7.2 56.3% 32.3%
Colorado St 6 3 0.0 12.6 5.4 25.6 5.4 18.6% 21.2%
Wyoming 7 2 0.0 12.2 5.8 22.2 7.8 11.3% 6.6%
Boise State 5 3 0.0 12.0 6.0 22.0 9.0 10.4% 15.0%
New Mexico 6 3 0.0 11.0 7.0 19.0 11.0 3.0% 7.1%
Utah State 5 4 0.0 9.5 8.5 16.5 13.5 0.2% 1.5%
UNLV 4 5 0.0 9.1 8.9 18.1 12.9 0.2% 15.4%
Fresno St 5 4 0.0 8.3 9.7 13.3 17.7 0.1% 0.6%
Nevada 2 6 0.0 5.0 13.0 9.0 21.0 0.0% 0.1%
Air Force 2 8 0.0 4.9 13.1 11.9 17.1 0.0% 0.3%
San Jose St 0 9 0.0 0.7 17.3 2.7 27.3 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/7 Colorado St Away 21.5%
2/21 New Mexico Away 34.7%
3/4 San Diego St Home 41.8%
2/24 Utah State Away 51.9%
2/18 Boise State Home 54.2%
2/14 Air Force Away 61.9%
2/28 Wyoming Home 66.8%
2/10 Fresno St Home 84.2%
3/7 San Jose St Away 93.8%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
3/7 San Jose St Away 93.8%
2/10 Fresno St Home 84.2%
2/28 Wyoming Home 66.8%
2/14 Air Force Away 61.9%
2/18 Boise State Home 54.2%
2/24 Utah State Away 51.9%
3/4 San Diego St Home 41.8%
2/21 New Mexico Away 34.7%
2/7 Colorado St Away 21.5%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 0.8% 27.5%
3 2.3% 23.6%
4 5.0% 21.5%
5 13.1% 18.7%
6 27.2% 17.0%
7 29.6% 13.7%
8 18.7% 11.2%
9 2.8% 9.2%
10 0.3% 8.5%
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 15.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.