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Toledo Rockets Projections

Overall Record

19.4 - 11.6

Conference Record

11.6 - 6.4

Conference Champs

18.8%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 40.9% 18.8% -0.7%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
4.0 61.0% 34.2% 18.3% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

MAC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Buffalo 0 0 0.0 11.8 6.2 20.5 9.5 23.4% 21.1%
Toledo 0 0 0.0 11.6 6.4 19.4 11.6 18.8% 18.3%
Bowling Grn 0 0 0.0 10.9 7.1 19.3 9.7 14.6% 13.6%
W Michigan 0 0 0.0 10.6 7.4 17.3 10.7 12.9% 12.9%
Akron 0 0 0.0 10.1 7.9 19.7 11.3 9.2% 10.5%
Central Mich 0 0 0.0 9.8 8.2 19.2 9.8 7.8% 8.8%
Kent State 0 0 0.0 8.9 9.1 17.5 12.5 3.8% 4.8%
Ohio 0 0 0.0 8.8 9.2 13.9 13.1 5.6% 5.5%
N Illinois 0 0 0.0 7.1 10.9 13.9 15.1 1.8% 2.0%
E Michigan 0 0 0.0 7.0 11.0 15.6 15.4 1.2% 1.3%
Ball State 0 0 0.0 6.1 11.9 11.8 17.2 0.6% 0.8%
Miami (OH) 0 0 0.0 5.2 12.8 11.0 20.0 0.3% 0.4%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/29 Duke Away 0.8%
2/10 Buffalo Away 33.1%
2/21 W Michigan Away 40.0%
2/18 Akron Away 41.7%
3/3 Central Mich Away 44.6%
1/21 Kent State Away 49.9%
1/14 Ohio Away 50.3%
1/3 N Kentucky Away 60.8%
1/31 N Illinois Away 61.4%
3/6 E Michigan Away 62.6%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/6 Chicago St Home 96.7%
12/13 Arkansas St Home 94.3%
12/17 Rob Morris Home 92.4%
1/27 Miami (OH) Home 90.8%
12/20 McNeese St Away 88.8%
2/28 Ball State Home 87.9%
2/4 E Michigan Home 86.0%
2/24 N Illinois Home 85.3%
2/14 Kent State Home 77.6%
12/3 Cleveland St Home 76.8%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 18.8% 38.9%
2 17.4% 30.7%
3 14.7% 16.4%
4 12.4% 13.3%
5 9.5% 6.4%
6 8.4% 4.9%
7 6.1% 4.1%
8 5.1% 3.3%
9 3.6% 1.7%
10 2.2% 1.3%
11 1.3% 0.5%
12 0.6% 0.8%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 18.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.