Toledo Rockets Projections

Overall Record

19.9 - 11.1

Conference Record

12.3 - 5.7

Conference Champs

25.3%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 50.1% 25.3% 3.3%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
3.3 71.3% 41.7% 23.1% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

MAC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Buffalo 0 0 0.0 12.3 5.7 21.2 8.8 27.9% 24.8%
Toledo 0 0 0.0 12.3 5.7 19.9 11.1 25.3% 23.1%
Bowling Grn 0 0 0.0 11.2 6.8 19.6 9.4 13.2% 13.0%
Central Mich 0 0 0.0 10.5 7.5 20.0 9.0 9.7% 10.8%
W Michigan 0 0 0.0 10.2 7.8 18.3 11.7 8.1% 9.3%
Akron 0 0 0.0 10.0 8.0 18.5 12.5 7.6% 8.6%
Kent State 0 0 0.0 8.7 9.3 17.2 12.8 3.4% 4.1%
E Michigan 0 0 0.0 8.7 9.3 18.6 12.4 2.7% 3.2%
Ohio 0 0 0.0 7.7 10.3 11.5 15.5 1.7% 2.4%
Ball State 0 0 0.0 5.6 12.4 10.4 18.6 0.2% 0.3%
N Illinois 0 0 0.0 5.6 12.4 11.0 18.0 0.1% 0.3%
Miami (OH) 0 0 0.0 5.3 12.7 9.4 21.6 0.1% 0.2%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/29 Duke Away 1.3%
2/10 Buffalo Away 34.2%
3/3 Central Mich Away 44.9%
2/21 W Michigan Away 46.6%
2/18 Akron Away 46.9%
1/21 Kent State Away 55.4%
3/6 E Michigan Away 57.8%
1/14 Ohio Away 60.7%
1/3 N Kentucky Away 70.4%
1/24 Bowling Grn Home 72.3%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/27 Miami (OH) Home 92.7%
2/24 N Illinois Home 91.9%
2/28 Ball State Home 91.2%
12/20 McNeese St Away 86.2%
2/4 E Michigan Home 83.1%
2/14 Kent State Home 81.5%
1/9 Akron Home 75.3%
1/17 W Michigan Home 75.1%
1/31 N Illinois Away 73.8%
1/6 Central Mich Home 73.7%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 25.3% 39.0%
2 20.7% 32.4%
3 15.7% 18.5%
4 11.9% 15.8%
5 9.3% 8.7%
6 6.6% 7.4%
7 4.1% 5.6%
8 2.7% 4.6%
9 1.7% 2.6%
10 1.2% 2.6%
11 0.6% 1.6%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 23.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.