Toledo Rockets Projections

Overall Record

18.5 - 12.5

Conference Record

10.5 - 7.5

Conference Champs

8.0%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.3% 22.0% 8.0% 0.8%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
4.9 49.1% 26.2% 13.7% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

MAC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Buffalo 5 3 0.0 11.8 6.2 20.8 9.2 29.4% 30.6%
Central Mich 4 3 0.0 11.2 6.8 21.2 7.8 14.2% 16.8%
Akron 5 2 0.0 11.2 6.8 20.2 10.8 19.5% 12.8%
Bowling Grn 5 2 0.0 11.1 6.9 19.1 9.9 12.6% 9.3%
Kent State 6 2 0.0 11.0 7.0 20.0 11.0 12.5% 7.7%
Toledo 4 3 0.0 10.5 7.5 18.5 12.5 8.0% 13.7%
W Michigan 4 3 0.0 9.8 8.2 18.8 12.2 3.5% 4.8%
E Michigan 2 5 0.0 7.9 10.1 18.9 12.1 0.3% 3.3%
N Illinois 2 5 0.0 6.1 11.9 12.1 16.9 0.1% 0.3%
Ohio 2 5 0.0 6.1 11.9 11.1 17.9 0.0% 0.4%
Ball State 2 5 0.0 5.8 12.2 10.8 18.2 0.0% 0.2%
Miami (OH) 2 5 0.0 5.5 12.5 10.5 20.5 0.0% 0.1%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/10 Buffalo Away 27.3%
3/3 Central Mich Away 35.1%
2/18 Akron Away 40.8%
3/6 E Michigan Away 45.8%
2/21 W Michigan Away 48.2%
2/7 Ball State Away 65.7%
2/4 E Michigan Home 74.4%
2/14 Kent State Home 75.7%
2/24 N Illinois Home 86.6%
2/28 Ball State Home 87.8%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/28 Ball State Home 87.8%
2/24 N Illinois Home 86.6%
2/14 Kent State Home 75.7%
2/4 E Michigan Home 74.4%
2/7 Ball State Away 65.7%
2/21 W Michigan Away 48.2%
3/6 E Michigan Away 45.8%
2/18 Akron Away 40.8%
3/3 Central Mich Away 35.1%
2/10 Buffalo Away 27.3%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 8.0% 33.6%
2 10.0% 30.1%
3 11.9% 17.6%
4 13.7% 16.0%
5 15.0% 8.3%
6 13.7% 7.4%
7 13.4% 6.2%
8 8.8% 5.5%
9 3.7% 3.2%
10 1.2% 3.4%
11 0.4% 2.2%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 13.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.