Toledo Rockets Projections

  • Mid-American Conference teams:
  • All teams:

Overall Record

19.8 - 11.2

Conference Record

11.8 - 6.2

Conference Champs

16.4%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 19.2% 16.5% 16.4% -16.1%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
2.9 76.3% 42.9% 23.5% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

MAC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Central Mich 11 4 0.0 12.8 5.2 22.8 6.2 62.2% 25.4%
Toledo 10 5 0.0 11.8 6.2 19.8 11.2 16.4% 23.5%
Bowling Grn 10 5 0.0 11.5 6.5 19.5 9.5 9.1% 9.2%
Kent State 10 5 0.0 11.4 6.6 20.4 10.6 11.8% 7.1%
Buffalo 9 6 0.0 11.3 6.7 20.3 9.7 0.5% 25.5%
Akron 8 7 0.0 9.8 8.2 18.8 12.2 0.0% 5.0%
W Michigan 8 7 0.0 9.6 8.4 18.6 12.4 0.0% 2.2%
Miami (OH) 7 8 0.0 8.2 9.8 13.2 17.8 0.0% 0.2%
E Michigan 6 9 0.0 7.4 10.6 18.4 12.6 0.0% 1.4%
N Illinois 5 10 0.0 6.4 11.6 12.4 16.6 0.0% 0.3%
Ohio 4 11 0.0 4.9 13.1 9.9 19.1 0.0% 0.1%
Ball State 2 13 0.0 3.1 14.9 8.1 20.9 0.0% 0.1%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
3/3 Central Mich Away 37.6%
3/6 E Michigan Away 53.9%
2/28 Ball State Home 91.7%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/28 Ball State Home 91.7%
3/6 E Michigan Away 53.9%
3/3 Central Mich Away 37.6%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 16.4% 33.7%
2 27.2% 30.1%
3 24.1% 20.3%
4 20.4% 18.0%
5 9.3% 10.7%
6 2.0% 9.2%
7 0.6% 8.7%
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 23.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.