Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Projections

  • Southland Conference teams:
  • All teams:

Overall Record

26.4 - 4.6

Conference Record

16.4 - 1.6

Conference Champs

72.4%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 52.7% 72.6% 72.4% -0.3%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
1.3 100.0% 88.6% 53.9% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Southland CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Ste F Austin 13 1 0.0 16.4 1.6 26.4 4.6 72.4% 53.9%
Sam Hous St 13 1 0.0 15.9 2.1 24.9 6.1 27.6% 41.0%
NW State 11 4 0.0 12.7 5.3 17.7 11.3 0.0% 2.4%
TX A&M-CC 10 5 0.0 11.9 6.1 16.9 13.1 0.0% 1.7%
Incarnate Word 9 5 0.0 11.2 6.8 19.2 8.8 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 8 7 0.0 9.0 9.0 15.0 15.0 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 6 8 0.0 8.4 9.6 11.4 19.6 0.0% 0.5%
McNeese St 5 10 0.0 7.4 10.6 13.4 15.6 0.0% 0.2%
Houston Bap 6 8 0.0 7.2 10.8 12.2 15.8 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 4 10 0.0 6.2 11.8 10.2 16.8 0.0% 0.1%
Nicholls St 4 10 0.0 5.4 12.6 8.4 19.6 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 3 11 0.0 3.9 14.1 9.9 21.1 0.0% 0.0%
Central Ark 1 13 0.0 1.4 16.6 1.4 27.6 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
3/7 Sam Hous St Home 70.9%
2/28 Houston Bap Away 89.2%
3/2 Incarnate Word Home 91.4%
3/5 NW State Home 93.2%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
3/5 NW State Home 93.2%
3/2 Incarnate Word Home 91.4%
2/28 Houston Bap Away 89.2%
3/7 Sam Hous St Home 70.9%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 72.4% 55.3%
2 27.3% 50.6%
3 0.2% -
4 0.0% -
5 0.0% -
6 0.0% -
7 0.0% -
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 53.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.