Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Projections

Overall Record

25.1 - 5.9

Conference Record

15.3 - 2.7

Conference Champs

40.7%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 4.0% 44.7% 40.7% -9.7%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
1.7 98.9% 84.0% 46.9% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Southland CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Sam Hous St 0 0 0.0 15.6 2.4 24.2 6.8 51.0% 46.5%
Ste F Austin 0 0 0.0 15.3 2.7 25.1 5.9 40.7% 46.9%
Incarnate Word 0 0 0.0 12.8 5.2 21.0 7.0 5.7% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0 0 0.0 11.5 6.5 15.2 15.8 1.9% 3.4%
NW State 0 0 0.0 9.3 8.7 14.2 14.8 0.4% 1.4%
McNeese St 0 0 0.0 8.5 9.5 13.8 15.2 0.0% 0.6%
TX A&M-CC 0 0 0.0 8.1 9.9 12.9 17.1 0.1% 0.8%
New Orleans 0 0 0.0 7.8 10.2 11.8 15.2 0.1% 0.4%
Lamar 0 0 0.0 7.5 10.5 13.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Bap 0 0 0.0 7.2 10.8 12.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St 0 0 0.0 5.5 12.5 8.5 19.5 0.0% 0.1%
Abilene Christian 0 0 0.0 3.9 14.1 8.4 21.6 0.0% 0.0%
Central Ark 0 0 0.0 3.8 14.2 4.0 25.0 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/24 Sam Hous St Away 35.5%
2/16 Incarnate Word Away 60.8%
3/7 Sam Hous St Home 65.1%
12/29 Cal St Nrdge Away 79.3%
2/9 NW State Away 80.7%
2/14 TX A&M-CC Away 83.0%
3/2 Incarnate Word Home 85.0%
1/26 Lamar Away 85.1%
1/3 McNeese St Away 85.4%
2/28 Houston Bap Away 86.0%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/21 Nicholls St Home 98.8%
1/19 New Orleans Home 97.3%
2/7 Houston Bap Home 96.7%
2/23 Lamar Home 96.4%
1/13 Central Ark Away 95.9%
1/31 TX A&M-CC Home 95.7%
1/17 Abilene Christian Away 95.4%
3/5 NW State Home 94.8%
1/5 SE Louisiana Home 91.7%
2/28 Houston Bap Away 86.0%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 43.3% 54.4%
2 47.3% 43.0%
3 7.6% 32.6%
4 1.3% 28.8%
5 0.4% 24.2%
6 0.1% -
7 0.0% -
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 46.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.