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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Projections

Overall Record

21.5 - 8.5

Conference Record

14.8 - 3.2

Conference Champs

41.7%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.2% 50.6% 41.7% -8.2%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
1.9 95.5% 73.5% 45.6% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Southland CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Ste F Austin 0 0 0.0 14.8 3.2 21.5 8.5 41.7% 45.6%
Sam Hous St 0 0 0.0 14.5 3.5 22.7 8.3 34.7% 36.4%
Incarnate Word 0 0 0.0 13.2 4.8 19.3 8.7 14.5% 0.0%
TX A&M-CC 0 0 0.0 10.8 7.2 16.9 12.1 4.4% 8.7%
SE Louisiana 0 0 0.0 10.3 7.7 12.5 18.5 2.5% 3.8%
NW State 0 0 0.0 9.5 8.5 13.6 15.4 1.1% 2.9%
McNeese St 0 0 0.0 7.7 10.3 11.1 16.9 0.3% 0.9%
New Orleans 0 0 0.0 7.5 10.5 10.6 16.4 0.4% 0.9%
Nicholls St 0 0 0.0 7.2 10.8 9.6 18.4 0.3% 0.8%
Houston Bap 0 0 0.0 7.1 10.9 11.1 16.9 0.1% 0.0%
Lamar 0 0 0.0 5.6 12.4 10.1 20.9 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0 0 0.0 4.6 13.4 7.8 22.2 0.0% 0.0%
Central Ark 0 0 0.0 4.2 13.8 4.9 24.1 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
8:00p Baylor Away 12.7%
12/2 Memphis Away 17.2%
1/24 Sam Hous St Away 40.8%
2/16 Incarnate Word Away 51.0%
12/29 Cal St Nrdge Away 57.1%
12/5 Lg Beach St Home 60.5%
2/14 TX A&M-CC Away 63.6%
3/7 Sam Hous St Home 70.2%
2/9 NW State Away 75.6%
3/2 Incarnate Word Home 78.4%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/20 Arkansas Tech Home 99.5%
12/7 Ouachita Baptist Home 99.5%
2/23 Lamar Home 97.7%
2/21 Nicholls St Home 96.5%
1/19 New Orleans Home 96.4%
2/7 Houston Bap Home 95.6%
1/13 Central Ark Away 93.4%
3/5 NW State Home 92.7%
1/5 SE Louisiana Home 92.2%
1/17 Abilene Christian Away 91.9%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 47.9% 57.3%
2 31.6% 42.2%
3 12.4% 27.4%
4 5.0% 21.2%
5 2.0% 15.2%
6 0.8% 10.1%
7 0.3% 10.0%
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 45.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.