Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Projections

Overall Record

26.7 - 4.3

Conference Record

16.7 - 1.3

Conference Champs

80.9%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 22.8% 81.1% 80.9% 32.8%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
1.2 99.9% 89.0% 56.9% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Southland CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Ste F Austin 7 0 0.0 16.7 1.3 26.7 4.3 80.9% 56.9%
Sam Hous St 7 1 0.0 15.5 2.5 24.1 6.9 18.8% 37.8%
Incarnate Word 3 3 0.0 11.3 6.7 19.3 8.7 0.1% 0.0%
NW State 5 3 0.0 10.8 7.2 15.8 13.2 0.0% 2.0%
TX A&M-CC 6 1 0.0 10.6 7.4 15.6 14.4 0.1% 1.3%
SE Louisiana 2 4 0.0 10.5 7.5 13.5 17.5 0.0% 1.6%
Lamar 4 4 0.0 7.8 10.2 13.8 16.2 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St 1 6 0.0 7.4 10.6 13.4 15.6 0.0% 0.3%
New Orleans 2 5 0.0 7.3 10.7 11.3 15.7 0.0% 0.2%
Houston Bap 4 3 0.0 7.2 10.8 12.2 15.8 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 3 4 0.0 6.1 11.9 12.1 18.9 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St 2 5 0.0 4.9 13.1 7.9 20.1 0.0% 0.0%
Central Ark 0 7 0.0 1.1 16.9 1.1 27.9 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/16 Incarnate Word Away 69.5%
3/7 Sam Hous St Home 73.3%
2/9 NW State Away 78.7%
2/14 TX A&M-CC Away 83.0%
2/28 Houston Bap Away 88.8%
3/2 Incarnate Word Home 89.8%
3/5 NW State Home 94.0%
1/31 TX A&M-CC Home 95.7%
2/23 Lamar Home 97.2%
2/7 Houston Bap Home 97.6%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/21 Nicholls St Home 99.5%
2/7 Houston Bap Home 97.6%
2/23 Lamar Home 97.2%
1/31 TX A&M-CC Home 95.7%
3/5 NW State Home 94.0%
3/2 Incarnate Word Home 89.8%
2/28 Houston Bap Away 88.8%
2/14 TX A&M-CC Away 83.0%
2/9 NW State Away 78.7%
3/7 Sam Hous St Home 73.3%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 81.1% 58.4%
2 18.3% 51.0%
3 0.5% 39.7%
4 0.1% -
5 0.0% -
6 0.0% -
7 0.0% -
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 56.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.