St. Mary's Gaels Projections

Overall Record

21.6 - 7.4

Conference Record

13.6 - 4.4

Conference Champs

1.2%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 1.2% -0.4%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
2.2 74.5% 31.1% 4.9% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

WCC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Gonzaga 9 0 0.0 17.5 0.5 29.5 1.5 98.8% 76.0%
St Marys 8 1 0.0 13.6 4.4 21.6 7.4 1.2% 4.9%
BYU 5 4 0.0 12.0 6.0 22.0 9.0 0.0% 15.8%
Pepperdine 5 4 0.0 9.4 8.6 16.4 12.6 0.0% 1.0%
Santa Clara 5 4 0.0 7.5 10.5 13.5 16.5 0.0% 0.1%
San Fransco 3 6 0.0 7.3 10.7 13.3 16.7 0.0% 0.8%
San Diego 3 6 0.0 7.3 10.7 14.3 15.7 0.0% 0.8%
Portland 3 6 0.0 6.8 11.2 15.8 14.2 0.0% 0.5%
Loyola Mymt 2 7 0.0 4.4 13.6 8.4 21.6 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 2 7 0.0 4.2 13.8 12.2 17.8 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/21 Gonzaga Home 18.1%
2/12 BYU Away 19.7%
2/26 San Fransco Away 51.6%
2/14 San Diego Away 51.7%
2/28 Santa Clara Away 71.8%
1/31 Pepperdine Home 79.8%
2/19 Portland Home 82.5%
10:30p Loyola Mymt Home 92.1%
2/7 Pacific Home 92.7%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/7 Pacific Home 92.7%
10:30p Loyola Mymt Home 92.1%
2/19 Portland Home 82.5%
1/31 Pepperdine Home 79.8%
2/28 Santa Clara Away 71.8%
2/14 San Diego Away 51.7%
2/26 San Fransco Away 51.6%
2/12 BYU Away 19.7%
2/21 Gonzaga Home 18.1%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.2% 11.9%
2 80.7% 5.2%
3 16.3% 3.3%
4 1.5% 1.8%
5 0.2% -
6 0.0% -
7 0.0% -
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.