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St. Mary's Gaels NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

View St. Mary's bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

21.5%

Automatic Bid

2.5%

At Large Bid

19.0%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (3.2%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.0%
24 93.7%
23 78.6%
22 50.9%
21 19.7%
20 4.2%
19 0.7%
18 0.0%
17 0.2%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 21.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.4% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.0%
6 2.0% 0.0%
7 1.7% 0.0%
8 1.7% 0.0%
9 2.3% 0.0%
10 2.7% 0.0%
11 3.0% 0.0%
12 3.2% 0.0%
13 1.6% 0.0%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.