St. Mary's Gaels NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

24.2%

Automatic Bid

4.8%

At Large Bid

19.4%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (5.9%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 98.3%
24 82.3%
23 39.3%
22 9.4%
21 1.0%
20 0.1%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 24.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.0% -
5 0.1% -
6 0.4% 0.0%
7 0.9% 0.0%
8 1.9% 0.0%
9 3.0% 0.0%
10 4.1% 0.0%
11 5.1% 0.0%
12 5.9% 0.0%
13 2.4% 0.0%
14 0.4% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.