San Diego St. Aztecs Projections

Overall Record

23.6 - 7.4

Conference Record

13.6 - 4.4

Conference Champs

54.0%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 6.1% 0.0% 54.0% -6.6%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
1.9 77.2% 50.0% 31.0% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Mountain West CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 6 2 0.0 13.6 4.4 23.6 7.4 54.0% 31.0%
Colorado St 5 3 0.0 12.4 5.6 25.4 5.6 16.5% 20.2%
Wyoming 6 2 0.0 12.2 5.8 22.2 7.8 12.9% 7.3%
Boise State 5 3 0.0 12.0 6.0 22.0 9.0 11.7% 15.3%
New Mexico 5 3 0.0 11.0 7.0 19.0 11.0 4.1% 7.3%
Utah State 5 3 0.0 9.6 8.4 16.6 13.4 0.8% 1.7%
UNLV 3 5 0.0 9.0 9.0 18.0 13.0 0.1% 16.2%
Fresno St 5 3 0.0 8.4 9.6 13.4 17.6 0.0% 0.7%
Air Force 2 7 0.0 5.1 12.9 12.1 16.9 0.0% 0.3%
Nevada 2 5 0.0 5.0 13.0 9.0 21.0 0.0% 0.1%
San Jose St 0 8 0.0 0.7 17.3 2.7 27.3 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/8 Boise State Away 46.3%
2/17 New Mexico Away 56.8%
3/4 UNLV Away 57.2%
2/14 Colorado St Home 71.4%
2/28 Boise State Home 74.8%
2/11 Wyoming Home 83.4%
2/4 Nevada Away 88.2%
8:00p Utah State Home 91.2%
3/7 Nevada Home 97.4%
2/21 San Jose St Away 98.2%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/21 San Jose St Away 98.2%
3/7 Nevada Home 97.4%
8:00p Utah State Home 91.2%
2/4 Nevada Away 88.2%
2/11 Wyoming Home 83.4%
2/28 Boise State Home 74.8%
2/14 Colorado St Home 71.4%
3/4 UNLV Away 57.2%
2/17 New Mexico Away 56.8%
2/8 Boise State Away 46.3%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 54.0% 34.7%
2 21.5% 29.9%
3 12.5% 25.2%
4 7.0% 24.1%
5 3.5% 21.3%
6 1.0% 19.8%
7 0.5% 16.1%
8 0.1% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 31.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.