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San Diego St. Aztecs Projections

Overall Record

24.2 - 4.8

Conference Record

14.8 - 3.2

Conference Champs

55.6%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 55.6% 12.9%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
1.9 83.8% 60.9% 41.3% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Mountain West CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 0 0 0.0 14.8 3.2 24.2 4.8 55.6% 41.3%
Colorado St 0 0 0.0 12.4 5.6 20.4 8.6 19.2% 17.4%
Boise State 0 0 0.0 11.1 6.9 20.1 9.9 9.5% 10.7%
New Mexico 0 0 0.0 10.5 7.5 18.3 10.7 6.8% 8.8%
UNLV 0 0 0.0 9.8 8.2 16.9 13.1 3.9% 12.9%
Wyoming 0 0 0.0 8.7 9.3 17.7 13.3 2.7% 3.7%
Utah State 0 0 0.0 8.3 9.7 16.7 13.3 1.1% 2.1%
Fresno St 0 0 0.0 7.1 10.9 11.5 17.5 0.4% 1.5%
Air Force 0 0 0.0 6.3 11.7 13.5 15.5 0.3% 0.9%
Nevada 0 0 0.0 6.2 11.8 11.0 16.0 0.5% 0.8%
San Jose St 0 0 0.0 3.9 14.1 7.2 20.8 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
11/24 BYU Neutral 51.1%
1/24 Colorado St Away 52.1%
12/17 Cincinnati Away 57.2%
12/7 Washington Away 60.7%
2/8 Boise State Away 61.6%
2/17 New Mexico Away 63.2%
1/14 Wyoming Away 75.5%
3/4 UNLV Away 78.3%
2/14 Colorado St Home 79.2%
1/3 Fresno St Away 82.1%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/27 San Diego Christian Home 99.5%
12/22 UC Riverside Home 99.5%
12/20 Ball State Home 98.5%
3/7 Nevada Home 96.9%
12/31 Air Force Home 96.4%
1/27 Fresno St Home 95.3%
1/31 Utah State Home 94.5%
1/17 UNLV Home 93.9%
2/21 San Jose St Away 93.4%
2/11 Wyoming Home 92.6%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 55.7% 50.4%
2 23.0% 36.5%
3 10.7% 27.4%
4 5.5% 21.0%
5 2.7% 18.1%
6 1.2% 14.6%
7 0.6% 10.5%
8 0.3% 8.0%
9 0.2% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 41.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.