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Sacramento State Hornets Projections

Overall Record

14.0 - 15.0

Conference Record

8.6 - 9.4

Conference Champs

2.1%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% -1.5%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
5.2 27.2% 10.1% 3.5% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Big Sky CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
E Washingtn 0 0 0.0 15.3 2.7 23.1 7.9 67.1% 47.0%
N Arizona 0 0 0.0 11.3 6.7 16.4 13.6 9.2% 9.6%
Montana 0 0 0.0 10.4 7.6 14.1 14.9 6.7% 8.1%
N Colorado 0 0 0.0 9.9 8.1 15.3 13.7 2.9% 5.3%
Weber State 0 0 0.0 9.7 8.3 12.3 14.7 3.3% 12.1%
Portland St 0 0 0.0 9.6 8.4 14.6 13.4 4.1% 5.8%
North Dakota 0 0 0.0 9.3 8.7 13.3 16.7 2.4% 3.9%
Sac State 0 0 0.0 8.6 9.4 14.0 15.0 2.1% 3.5%
Idaho 0 0 0.0 8.4 9.6 13.0 16.0 1.4% 3.0%
Idaho State 0 0 0.0 7.0 11.0 10.1 19.9 0.5% 1.2%
Montana St 0 0 0.0 5.4 12.6 7.1 22.9 0.1% 0.5%
S Utah 0 0 0.0 3.2 14.8 4.0 24.0 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/6 UC Irvine Away 5.4%
2/12 E Washingtn Away 7.1%
1/17 E Washingtn Home 24.0%
3/7 N Arizona Away 24.1%
12/21 Seattle Away 26.3%
2/28 Portland St Away 30.2%
12/14 Portland Home 30.5%
1/24 Weber State Away 30.8%
1/10 N Colorado Away 31.2%
12/27 Utah Val St Away 34.1%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
11/25 Bristol University Home 99.5%
1/3 S Utah Home 90.3%
1/29 Montana St Home 80.9%
12/4 Abilene Christian Away 71.4%
3/5 S Utah Away 70.3%
1/15 Idaho Home 66.8%
2/21 North Dakota Home 64.1%
12/1 Utah Val St Home 63.7%
2/19 N Colorado Home 60.7%
2/7 Portland St Home 59.6%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.1% 19.3%
2 5.8% 11.2%
3 7.9% 7.8%
4 9.3% 5.8%
5 9.7% 4.5%
6 10.6% 3.6%
7 11.0% 2.4%
8 11.3% 1.8%
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.