Sacramento State Hornets Projections

Overall Record

18.7 - 10.3

Conference Record

12.7 - 5.3

Conference Champs

20.3%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 20.3% 10.0%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
2.7 53.7% 25.4% 10.2% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Big Sky CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
E Washingtn 6 1 0.0 14.3 3.7 23.3 7.7 61.3% 33.9%
Sac State 7 1 0.0 12.7 5.3 18.7 10.3 20.3% 10.2%
Montana 6 1 0.0 12.1 5.9 16.1 12.9 13.6% 13.9%
N Colorado 4 3 0.0 11.1 6.9 16.1 12.9 2.6% 9.2%
N Arizona 4 3 0.0 10.4 7.6 15.4 15.6 1.7% 8.4%
Weber State 3 5 0.0 8.6 9.4 13.6 15.4 0.1% 14.1%
Idaho 3 4 0.0 8.5 9.5 13.5 15.5 0.2% 5.5%
Portland St 4 4 0.0 8.5 9.5 14.5 13.5 0.1% 3.3%
North Dakota 2 5 0.0 6.7 11.3 11.3 18.7 0.0% 0.9%
S Utah 2 5 0.0 5.7 12.3 8.7 20.3 0.0% 0.3%
Idaho State 2 6 0.0 5.4 12.6 8.4 21.6 0.0% 0.2%
Montana St 1 6 0.0 4.0 14.0 7.0 23.0 0.0% 0.1%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/12 E Washingtn Away 18.4%
3/7 N Arizona Away 36.2%
2/14 Idaho Away 38.7%
2/28 Portland St Away 46.1%
1/31 Montana Home 59.7%
3/5 S Utah Away 63.0%
2/19 N Colorado Home 64.9%
2/7 Portland St Home 74.6%
2/21 North Dakota Home 81.1%
10:05p Montana St Home 85.3%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
10:05p Montana St Home 85.3%
2/21 North Dakota Home 81.1%
2/7 Portland St Home 74.6%
2/19 N Colorado Home 64.9%
3/5 S Utah Away 63.0%
1/31 Montana Home 59.7%
2/28 Portland St Away 46.1%
2/14 Idaho Away 38.7%
3/7 N Arizona Away 36.2%
2/12 E Washingtn Away 18.4%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 20.3% 14.7%
2 32.2% 11.2%
3 22.2% 8.8%
4 14.3% 7.4%
5 6.6% 6.6%
6 2.8% 5.6%
7 1.1% 3.7%
8 0.4% 4.0%
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 10.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.