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Sacramento State Hornets Projections

Overall Record

14.6 - 14.4

Conference Record

8.9 - 9.1

Conference Champs

1.7%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 0.2%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
5.3 29.3% 10.5% 3.6% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Big Sky CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
E Washingtn 0 0 0.0 15.1 2.9 24.3 6.7 70.6% 47.6%
N Colorado 0 0 0.0 11.2 6.8 16.8 12.2 6.9% 9.7%
N Arizona 0 0 0.0 11.2 6.8 16.4 14.6 8.1% 8.9%
Montana 0 0 0.0 10.3 7.7 14.8 14.2 5.1% 7.7%
Idaho 0 0 0.0 9.8 8.2 15.2 13.8 3.5% 5.8%
Weber State 0 0 0.0 9.6 8.4 13.3 14.7 3.2% 12.8%
Sac State 0 0 0.0 8.9 9.1 14.6 14.4 1.7% 3.6%
Portland St 0 0 0.0 7.4 10.6 12.8 15.2 0.5% 1.5%
North Dakota 0 0 0.0 6.7 11.3 10.6 19.4 0.1% 0.7%
Idaho State 0 0 0.0 6.5 11.5 10.3 19.7 0.2% 0.7%
Montana St 0 0 0.0 6.3 11.7 9.6 20.4 0.1% 0.7%
S Utah 0 0 0.0 5.0 13.0 7.5 20.5 0.0% 0.2%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/12 E Washingtn Away 8.4%
1/10 N Colorado Away 25.5%
3/7 N Arizona Away 25.9%
1/17 E Washingtn Home 26.8%
2/14 Idaho Away 30.4%
12/21 Seattle Away 31.6%
1/24 Weber State Away 31.8%
12/27 Utah Val St Away 43.1%
2/28 Portland St Away 43.5%
1/22 Idaho State Away 49.4%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/3 S Utah Home 84.7%
2/21 North Dakota Home 78.2%
1/29 Montana St Home 77.2%
2/7 Portland St Home 72.5%
3/5 S Utah Away 60.3%
1/15 Idaho Home 59.8%
1/31 Montana Home 56.4%
1/1 N Arizona Home 54.6%
2/19 N Colorado Home 54.1%
1/8 North Dakota Away 50.7%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.7% 14.6%
2 5.8% 10.4%
3 7.5% 7.3%
4 9.5% 5.5%
5 12.6% 4.8%
6 12.3% 3.6%
7 12.3% 2.8%
8 11.6% 2.2%
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.