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Make Tournament

69.9%

Automatic Bid

3.9%

At Large Bid

65.9%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (14.4%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 94.5%
22 80.5%
21 53.4%
OVERALL 69.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 0.1%
5 2.7% 0.1%
6 6.3% 0.1%
7 10.8% 0.1%
8 14.2% 0.1%
9 14.4% 0.1%
10 11.1% 0.1%
11 6.5% 0.1%
12 2.4% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.