North Florida Osprey Projections

Overall Record

19.8 - 11.2

Conference Record

11.8 - 2.2

Conference Champs

70.8%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 5.3% 0.0% 70.8% 24.7%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
1.3 98.9% 73.2% 46.6% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Atlantic Sun CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
N Florida 5 0 0.0 11.8 2.2 19.8 11.2 70.8% 46.6%
Fla Gulf Cst 4 1 0.0 10.4 3.6 20.4 9.6 22.2% 28.3%
N Kentucky 3 2 0.0 8.3 5.7 14.3 14.7 2.4% 0.0%
SC Upstate 2 3 0.0 8.3 5.7 21.1 9.9 3.1% 20.6%
Lipscomb 4 1 0.0 8.2 5.8 14.2 14.8 1.6% 4.4%
Kennesaw St 1 4 0.0 3.5 10.5 8.7 22.3 0.0% 0.1%
Jacksonville 1 4 0.0 2.8 11.2 8.8 22.2 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0 5 0.0 2.6 11.4 7.9 22.1 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/12 SC Upstate Away 34.6%
2/25 Fla Gulf Cst Away 40.3%
1/31 SC Upstate Home 64.3%
2/21 N Kentucky Home 78.8%
2/14 Kennesaw St Away 82.5%
2/19 Lipscomb Home 85.6%
7:00p Kennesaw St Home 95.5%
2/28 Stetson Home 96.1%
2/6 Jacksonville Home 97.7%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/6 Jacksonville Home 97.7%
2/28 Stetson Home 96.1%
7:00p Kennesaw St Home 95.5%
2/19 Lipscomb Home 85.6%
2/14 Kennesaw St Away 82.5%
2/21 N Kentucky Home 78.8%
1/31 SC Upstate Home 64.3%
2/25 Fla Gulf Cst Away 40.3%
2/12 SC Upstate Away 34.6%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 72.2% 54.1%
2 22.0% 30.5%
3 4.7% 14.5%
4 1.1% 14.3%
5 0.0% -
6 0.0% -
7 0.0% -
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 46.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.