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New Mexico Lobos Projections

Overall Record

18.7 - 10.3

Conference Record

10.7 - 7.3

Conference Champs

6.0%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% -5.7%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
4.6 51.5% 22.6% 9.1% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Mountain West CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 0 0 0.0 15.0 3.0 24.3 4.7 59.6% 44.5%
Colorado St 0 0 0.0 12.8 5.2 21.3 7.7 20.1% 19.4%
Boise State 0 0 0.0 11.2 6.8 20.2 9.8 8.1% 10.8%
New Mexico 0 0 0.0 10.7 7.3 18.7 10.3 6.0% 9.1%
Wyoming 0 0 0.0 8.8 9.2 17.8 13.2 2.4% 3.8%
Utah State 0 0 0.0 8.4 9.6 16.9 13.1 1.2% 2.2%
UNLV 0 0 0.0 8.3 9.7 14.9 16.1 1.2% 7.0%
Fresno St 0 0 0.0 7.1 10.9 11.5 17.5 0.6% 1.5%
Air Force 0 0 0.0 6.4 11.6 13.6 15.4 0.4% 1.0%
Nevada 0 0 0.0 6.3 11.7 11.1 16.9 0.4% 0.8%
San Jose St 0 0 0.0 4.0 14.0 7.3 20.7 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/6 San Diego St Away 13.5%
2/10 Colorado St Away 25.3%
2/24 Boise State Away 33.6%
11/23 Texas A&M Neutral 33.8%
2/17 San Diego St Home 36.7%
12/20 N Mex State Away 38.0%
1/24 Wyoming Away 48.8%
1/21 UNLV Away 52.6%
1/3 Colorado St Home 53.8%
12/6 Valparaiso Away 54.0%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/17 Central Ark Home 99.5%
1/31 San Jose St Home 93.9%
11/30 USC Home 88.2%
1/14 Air Force Home 86.1%
12/31 Fresno St Home 83.2%
2/7 Utah State Home 81.0%
2/21 UNLV Home 79.5%
12/13 LA Monroe Home 78.4%
12/23 Grand Canyon Away 77.9%
3/7 Wyoming Home 76.8%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.0% 27.3%
2 13.6% 17.0%
3 16.9% 11.2%
4 17.1% 7.6%
5 14.2% 6.1%
6 11.6% 5.0%
7 8.5% 3.1%
8 6.3% 2.1%
9 3.7% 1.3%
10 2.1% 1.1%
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 9.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.