New Mexico Lobos Projections

Overall Record

19.0 - 11.0

Conference Record

11.0 - 7.0

Conference Champs

3.0%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 3.0% -0.3%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
4.6 44.7% 18.1% 7.0% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Mountain West CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 5 2 0.0 13.7 4.3 23.7 7.3 46.9% 31.8%
Wyoming 6 1 0.0 12.9 5.1 22.9 7.1 21.3% 8.5%
Colorado St 5 2 0.0 12.8 5.2 25.8 5.2 22.0% 20.4%
Boise State 4 3 0.0 11.6 6.4 21.6 9.4 6.1% 14.6%
New Mexico 5 3 0.0 11.0 7.0 19.0 11.0 3.0% 7.0%
Utah State 4 3 0.0 8.9 9.1 15.9 14.1 0.4% 1.3%
UNLV 2 5 0.0 8.7 9.3 17.7 13.3 0.0% 15.6%
Fresno St 5 2 0.0 8.5 9.5 13.5 17.5 0.1% 0.6%
Nevada 2 4 0.0 5.2 12.8 9.2 20.8 0.0% 0.0%
Air Force 1 7 0.0 4.8 13.2 11.8 17.2 0.0% 0.2%
San Jose St 0 7 0.0 1.0 17.0 3.0 27.0 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/10 Colorado St Away 22.3%
2/24 Boise State Away 26.0%
2/17 San Diego St Home 42.0%
2/28 Fresno St Away 59.6%
2/4 Air Force Away 62.9%
3/7 Wyoming Home 64.3%
2/21 UNLV Home 64.9%
2/14 Nevada Away 74.0%
2/7 Utah State Home 80.4%
1/31 San Jose St Home 98.9%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/31 San Jose St Home 98.9%
2/7 Utah State Home 80.4%
2/14 Nevada Away 74.0%
2/21 UNLV Home 64.9%
3/7 Wyoming Home 64.3%
2/4 Air Force Away 62.9%
2/28 Fresno St Away 59.6%
2/17 San Diego St Home 42.0%
2/24 Boise State Away 26.0%
2/10 Colorado St Away 22.3%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.0% 14.8%
2 7.0% 11.8%
3 13.7% 9.5%
4 20.5% 7.4%
5 31.9% 5.7%
6 14.4% 5.2%
7 6.0% 3.7%
8 2.9% 2.6%
9 0.5% 2.5%
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.