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Make Tournament

95.2%

Automatic Bid

15.1%

At Large Bid

80.1%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (20.2%)

Final Four

1.5%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 98.3%
24 96.8%
23 92.1%
22 78.9%
OVERALL 95.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.3% 0.3%
4 0.9% 0.2%
5 2.6% 0.2%
6 6.3% 0.2%
7 11.7% 0.1%
8 17.1% 0.1%
9 20.2% 0.1%
10 18.3% 0.1%
11 12.3% 0.1%
12 5.0% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.