Navy Midshipmen Projections

Overall Record

10.5 - 19.5

Conference Record

6.5 - 11.5

Conference Champs

0.1%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% -0.4%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
8.3 9.1% 2.2% 0.6% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Patriot CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Colgate 6 2 0.0 11.7 6.3 14.7 16.3 36.0% 21.6%
Bucknell 6 2 0.0 11.3 6.7 16.3 14.7 26.3% 16.2%
American 4 3 0.0 11.0 7.0 18.0 12.0 23.1% 24.2%
Lehigh 4 4 0.0 9.4 8.6 14.4 13.6 5.4% 10.1%
Army 3 4 0.0 8.9 9.1 17.9 11.1 3.6% 9.1%
Lafayette 3 5 0.0 8.9 9.1 16.9 12.1 2.5% 9.9%
Boston U 4 4 0.0 8.7 9.3 12.7 16.3 2.3% 4.5%
Holy Cross 3 5 0.0 7.9 10.1 12.9 15.1 0.8% 3.8%
Navy 3 5 0.0 6.5 11.5 10.5 19.5 0.1% 0.6%
Loyola-MD 3 5 0.0 5.7 12.3 9.7 19.3 0.0% 0.1%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/25 American Away 13.2%
2/14 Colgate Away 16.1%
2/4 Boston U Away 23.3%
1/28 American Home 36.1%
1/31 Lafayette Home 39.8%
2/7 Army Home 42.3%
2/28 Loyola-MD Away 43.2%
2/18 Lehigh Home 44.1%
2/11 Bucknell Home 44.6%
2/22 Holy Cross Home 48.9%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/22 Holy Cross Home 48.9%
2/11 Bucknell Home 44.6%
2/18 Lehigh Home 44.1%
2/28 Loyola-MD Away 43.2%
2/7 Army Home 42.3%
1/31 Lafayette Home 39.8%
1/28 American Home 36.1%
2/4 Boston U Away 23.3%
2/14 Colgate Away 16.1%
2/25 American Away 13.2%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.3% 11.2%
3 1.2% 5.7%
4 2.5% 4.0%
5 4.2% 1.6%
6 6.6% 1.3%
7 10.3% 0.5%
8 18.3% 0.3%
9 30.3% 0.1%
10 26.1% 0.1%
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.