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Michigan St Spartans Projections

Overall Record

22.5 - 8.5

Conference Record

12.5 - 5.5

Conference Champs

6.0%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 6.0% -0.5%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
4.1 57.6% 24.7% 9.9% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Big Ten CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Wisconsin 0 0 0.0 15.7 2.3 27.5 3.5 54.7% 43.8%
Ohio State 0 0 0.0 14.8 3.2 26.4 4.6 34.6% 29.8%
Michigan St 0 0 0.0 12.5 5.5 22.5 8.5 6.0% 9.9%
Illinois 0 0 0.0 11.1 6.9 22.0 10.0 1.3% 4.7%
Maryland 0 0 0.0 10.5 7.5 21.9 9.1 1.0% 3.0%
Iowa 0 0 0.0 9.9 8.1 19.4 11.6 1.2% 3.2%
Minnesota 0 0 0.0 9.4 8.6 20.2 10.8 0.6% 2.2%
Purdue 0 0 0.0 9.3 8.7 18.7 12.3 0.3% 1.7%
Indiana 0 0 0.0 8.7 9.3 18.4 12.6 0.2% 1.2%
Michigan 0 0 0.0 6.6 11.4 14.0 16.0 0.0% 0.2%
Nebraska 0 0 0.0 6.1 11.9 12.8 15.2 0.0% 0.2%
Penn State 0 0 0.0 5.0 13.0 16.6 14.4 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0 0 0.0 3.7 14.3 12.1 18.9 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0 0 0.0 2.8 15.2 10.4 20.6 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
3/1 Wisconsin Away 15.3%
2/22 Illinois Away 44.0%
2/14 Ohio State Home 47.6%
1/8 Iowa Away 48.2%
1/17 Maryland Away 49.3%
3/7 Indiana Away 57.5%
1/24 Nebraska Away 70.4%
2/17 Michigan Away 71.5%
2/7 Illinois Home 73.0%
12/30 Maryland Home 77.1%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
12/22 Citadel Home 99.5%
12/20 TX Southern Home 99.4%
1/11 Northwestern Home 96.1%
1/21 Penn State Home 94.4%
1/27 Rutgers Away 90.9%
2/1 Michigan Home 90.8%
2/10 Northwestern Away 84.1%
1/5 Indiana Home 82.9%
3/4 Purdue Home 81.0%
2/26 Minnesota Home 79.4%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.0% 21.6%
2 16.0% 15.2%
3 25.4% 11.2%
4 17.6% 9.4%
5 12.6% 6.1%
6 8.8% 5.2%
7 5.6% 4.1%
8 3.7% 3.1%
9 2.2% 2.5%
10 1.2% 2.5%
11 0.6% 1.9%
12 0.1% -
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 9.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.