Iowa St. Cyclones NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

89.2%

Automatic Bid

12.2%

At Large Bid

77.0%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (12.7%)

Final Four

6.0%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.3%
20 92.7%
19 67.9%
18 22.5%
17 3.3%
16 0.2%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 89.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.6% 3.0%
2 8.6% 1.7%
3 11.3% 1.0%
4 12.7% 0.6%
5 12.5% 0.4%
6 10.1% 0.4%
7 6.7% 0.3%
8 5.2% 0.2%
9 4.6% 0.2%
10 4.1% 0.2%
11 3.7% 0.1%
12 3.3% 0.1%
13 1.4% 0.1%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.