Iowa St. Cyclones NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection

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Make Tournament

97.0%

Automatic Bid

13.5%

At Large Bid

83.5%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (19.2%)

Final Four

6.5%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.6%
20 97.1%
19 77.8%
18 35.7%
17 3.2%
16 0.2%
OVERALL 97.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.


NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.3% 2.0%
2 14.0% 1.4%
3 19.2% 0.9%
4 16.3% 0.6%
5 12.4% 0.5%
6 10.1% 0.3%
7 8.1% 0.3%
8 5.7% 0.2%
9 3.7% 0.2%
10 2.2% 0.2%
11 1.3% 0.2%
12 0.6% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.