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Make Tournament

46.9%

Automatic Bid

2.8%

At Large Bid

44.1%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (12.7%)

Final Four

0.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 100.0%
22 98.9%
21 89.2%
20 75.5%
19 37.8%
18 3.6%
OVERALL 46.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.3% 0.2%
6 0.8% 0.1%
7 1.9% 0.1%
8 3.7% 0.1%
9 6.4% 0.1%
10 9.8% 0.1%
11 12.7% 0.0%
12 10.4% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.