Fresno St. Bulldogs Projections

Overall Record

13.5 - 17.5

Conference Record

8.5 - 9.5

Conference Champs

0.1%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% -0.0%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
7.0 13.8% 3.1% 0.6% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Mountain West CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
San Diego St 5 2 0.0 13.7 4.3 23.7 7.3 47.9% 32.0%
Wyoming 6 1 0.0 12.9 5.1 22.9 7.1 21.1% 8.6%
Colorado St 5 2 0.0 12.8 5.2 25.8 5.2 21.3% 20.4%
Boise State 4 3 0.0 11.6 6.4 21.6 9.4 6.4% 14.4%
New Mexico 5 3 0.0 11.0 7.0 19.0 11.0 2.7% 6.8%
Utah State 4 3 0.0 8.9 9.1 15.9 14.1 0.3% 1.2%
UNLV 2 5 0.0 8.7 9.3 17.7 13.3 0.1% 15.7%
Fresno St 5 2 0.0 8.5 9.5 13.5 17.5 0.1% 0.6%
Nevada 2 4 0.0 5.2 12.8 9.2 20.8 0.0% 0.1%
Air Force 1 7 0.0 4.8 13.2 11.8 17.2 0.0% 0.3%
San Jose St 0 7 0.0 1.0 17.0 3.0 27.0 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
9:05p San Diego St Away 5.6%
1/31 Colorado St Away 8.3%
3/7 Boise State Away 10.2%
2/25 Wyoming Away 15.4%
2/10 UNLV Away 15.8%
2/18 Colorado St Home 26.6%
2/21 Utah State Away 29.8%
2/14 Boise State Home 30.6%
2/28 New Mexico Home 40.3%
3/4 Air Force Home 67.7%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/4 San Jose St Home 95.2%
3/4 Air Force Home 67.7%
2/28 New Mexico Home 40.3%
2/14 Boise State Home 30.6%
2/21 Utah State Away 29.8%
2/18 Colorado St Home 26.6%
2/10 UNLV Away 15.8%
2/25 Wyoming Away 15.4%
3/7 Boise State Away 10.2%
1/31 Colorado St Away 8.3%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 2.3%
3 1.1% 1.7%
4 2.9% 1.5%
5 7.9% 1.2%
6 18.3% 1.0%
7 29.1% 0.5%
8 34.1% 0.3%
9 5.8% 0.2%
10 0.5% 0.3%
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.