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Make Tournament

99.0%

Automatic Bid

3.3%

At Large Bid

95.7%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (20.6%)

Final Four

2.2%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.8%
22 99.4%
21 97.0%
OVERALL 99.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.4% 0.6%
4 1.4% 0.4%
5 4.1% 0.3%
6 9.4% 0.3%
7 16.1% 0.2%
8 20.6% 0.2%
9 20.2% 0.2%
10 15.0% 0.2%
11 8.5% 0.2%
12 3.1% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.