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Fairfield Stags Projections

Overall Record

12.5 - 17.5

Conference Record

9.2 - 10.8

Conference Champs

1.1%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.5%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
6.7 19.9% 5.9% 1.6% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

MAAC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Iona 1 1 0.0 15.8 4.2 23.6 7.4 64.7% 42.7%
Monmouth 2 0 0.0 12.7 7.3 17.5 13.5 13.4% 9.5%
Siena 1 1 0.0 11.7 8.3 15.7 13.3 6.4% 21.9%
Canisius 2 0 0.0 11.5 8.5 15.6 13.4 7.1% 6.0%
Rider 1 1 0.0 10.4 9.6 15.8 15.2 2.5% 4.2%
Manhattan 1 1 0.0 10.2 9.8 12.7 16.3 3.0% 5.1%
Fairfield 2 0 0.0 9.2 10.8 12.5 17.5 1.1% 1.6%
Quinnipiac 0 2 0.0 9.2 10.8 14.3 14.7 1.0% 4.3%
St Peters 0 2 0.0 8.9 11.1 14.2 16.8 0.8% 4.3%
Niagara 1 1 0.0 5.6 14.4 7.1 21.9 0.0% 0.2%
Marist 0 2 0.0 5.0 15.0 6.5 23.5 0.0% 0.2%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/13 Iona Away 5.8%
1/11 Siena Away 18.6%
1/18 Monmouth Away 18.9%
2/2 Iona Home 20.9%
2/27 Canisius Away 23.5%
2/15 Manhattan Away 23.6%
2/7 St Peters Away 24.1%
2/5 Rider Away 25.4%
12/22 Albany Away 26.0%
12/20 Belmont Home 39.1%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/19 Niagara Home 78.4%
1/16 Marist Home 77.0%
12/28 Loyola-MD Neutral 69.5%
1/5 Rider Home 53.9%
2/13 Quinnipiac Home 53.3%
2/21 St Peters Home 52.3%
1/22 Canisius Home 51.6%
3/1 Niagara Away 51.0%
1/25 Marist Away 49.2%
1/30 Monmouth Home 45.2%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.1% 8.8%
2 3.4% 6.0%
3 6.7% 4.4%
4 8.7% 3.1%
5 10.2% 2.5%
6 13.6% 1.4%
7 14.4% 1.0%
8 14.9% 0.5%
9 14.1% 0.4%
10 8.5% 0.3%
11 4.1% 0.2%
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.