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Duke Blue Devils Projections

Overall Record

28.3 - 2.7

Conference Record

15.4 - 2.6

Conference Champs

45.2%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 45.2% -7.3%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
2.0 89.0% 64.4% 42.9% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

ACC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Duke 0 0 0.0 15.4 2.6 28.3 2.7 45.2% 42.9%
Louisville 0 0 0.0 14.4 3.6 26.7 4.3 25.4% 22.0%
N Carolina 0 0 0.0 13.7 4.3 23.7 7.3 16.4% 17.8%
Virginia 0 0 0.0 13.4 4.6 25.2 4.8 10.5% 11.9%
Notre Dame 1 0 0.0 11.6 6.4 23.6 7.4 2.0% 3.3%
Syracuse 0 0 0.0 9.5 8.5 18.3 12.7 0.3% 0.8%
NC State 1 0 0.0 9.2 8.8 18.8 12.2 0.1% 0.7%
Miami (FL) 0 0 0.0 9.0 9.0 19.5 11.5 0.1% 0.4%
Pittsburgh 0 0 0.0 7.3 10.7 17.9 14.1 0.0% 0.1%
Florida St 0 1 0.0 6.3 11.7 14.1 16.9 0.0% 0.0%
Clemson 0 0 0.0 6.3 11.7 14.1 15.9 0.0% 0.0%
GA Tech 0 0 0.0 6.2 11.8 15.1 14.9 0.0% 0.0%
Boston Col 0 0 0.0 4.9 13.1 13.1 16.9 0.0% 0.0%
Wake Forest 0 1 0.0 4.2 13.8 11.1 19.9 0.0% 0.0%
VA Tech 0 0 0.0 3.5 14.5 11.1 19.9 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
1/17 Louisville Away 48.0%
3/7 N Carolina Away 51.3%
1/31 Virginia Away 57.7%
1/28 Notre Dame Away 72.5%
2/18 N Carolina Home 78.7%
2/14 Syracuse Away 83.1%
1/11 NC State Away 83.3%
1/25 St Johns Away 87.1%
2/7 Notre Dame Home 91.3%
2/9 Florida St Away 94.2%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
3/4 Wake Forest Home 99.5%
1/3 Boston Col Home 99.3%
2/21 Clemson Home 98.9%
2/4 GA Tech Home 98.9%
12/31 Wofford Home 98.8%
12/29 Toledo Home 98.5%
1/19 Pittsburgh Home 98.2%
2/25 VA Tech Away 97.9%
1/13 Miami (FL) Home 96.7%
1/7 Wake Forest Away 96.0%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 45.2% 50.5%
2 27.5% 41.7%
3 14.6% 36.2%
4 7.7% 29.3%
5 3.3% 23.9%
6 1.4% 20.7%
7 0.3% 18.4%
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 42.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.