Dayton Flyers Projections

Overall Record

20.8 - 9.2

Conference Record

11.4 - 6.6

Conference Champs

4.8%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% -3.7%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
5.1 41.7% 17.9% 7.0% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Atlantic 10 CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
VCU 0 0 0.0 14.8 3.2 24.7 6.3 55.2% 41.9%
Rhode Island 0 0 0.0 12.6 5.4 20.6 8.4 16.0% 12.6%
Geo Wshgtn 0 0 0.0 11.8 6.2 19.5 9.5 9.2% 12.2%
Davidson 0 0 0.0 11.6 6.4 20.6 8.4 7.7% 11.5%
Dayton 0 0 0.0 11.4 6.6 20.8 9.2 4.8% 7.0%
U Mass 0 0 0.0 9.9 8.1 16.6 14.4 1.9% 3.4%
St Bonavent 0 0 0.0 9.8 8.2 18.6 10.4 2.1% 3.9%
La Salle 0 0 0.0 9.4 8.6 16.6 14.4 1.3% 2.6%
Richmond 0 0 0.0 9.3 8.7 17.7 13.3 1.7% 4.0%
St Josephs 0 0 0.0 6.4 11.6 13.2 16.8 0.1% 0.3%
Duquesne 0 0 0.0 5.7 12.3 11.4 17.6 0.0% 0.2%
Geo Mason 0 0 0.0 5.3 12.7 9.6 20.4 0.0% 0.2%
Saint Louis 0 0 0.0 4.8 13.2 13.1 17.9 0.0% 0.1%
Fordham 0 0 0.0 3.3 14.7 8.1 20.9 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/28 VCU Away 13.4%
2/6 Geo Wshgtn Away 28.5%
1/20 Davidson Away 28.8%
1/8 St Bonavent Away 41.9%
1/29 U Mass Away 43.0%
3/7 La Salle Away 45.5%
3/3 Rhode Island Home 57.6%
12/30 Mississippi Home 65.3%
2/21 Duquesne Away 65.7%
1/24 Richmond Home 69.8%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/1 Fordham Home 95.0%
1/17 Saint Louis Home 91.3%
2/25 Geo Mason Home 88.6%
1/3 Duquesne Home 87.8%
2/19 St Josephs Home 86.6%
1/10 Fordham Away 81.2%
1/14 La Salle Home 74.1%
2/10 Saint Louis Away 72.5%
12/23 GA Tech Home 71.3%
2/14 St Bonavent Home 71.1%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.8% 17.5%
2 11.3% 13.1%
3 13.9% 10.6%
4 16.0% 8.2%
5 13.8% 4.9%
6 12.0% 4.4%
7 9.7% 3.5%
8 8.3% 2.8%
9 5.1% 2.0%
10 3.1% 1.8%
11 1.2% 1.1%
12 0.7% 0.7%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.