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Dayton Flyers Projections

Overall Record

19.6 - 9.4

Conference Record

11.3 - 6.7

Conference Champs

6.1%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% -3.0%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
5.3 42.5% 19.6% 8.4% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Atlantic 10 CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
VCU 0 0 0.0 14.8 3.2 24.8 5.2 50.0% 40.0%
Geo Wshgtn 0 0 0.0 13.2 4.8 22.0 7.0 22.2% 19.9%
Dayton 0 0 0.0 11.3 6.7 19.6 9.4 6.1% 8.4%
U Mass 0 0 0.0 11.3 6.7 19.4 11.6 5.8% 7.0%
Richmond 0 0 0.0 10.0 8.0 19.0 12.0 4.0% 6.1%
Saint Louis 0 0 0.0 10.0 8.0 19.9 10.1 3.3% 5.2%
La Salle 0 0 0.0 9.1 8.9 17.0 13.0 1.9% 2.9%
Rhode Island 0 0 0.0 9.0 9.0 14.8 12.2 2.4% 2.6%
St Bonavent 0 0 0.0 8.9 9.1 16.3 12.7 1.8% 3.0%
Davidson 0 0 0.0 8.8 9.2 16.1 12.9 1.8% 3.2%
Duquesne 0 0 0.0 6.8 11.2 15.2 13.8 0.6% 1.3%
St Josephs 0 0 0.0 5.0 13.0 9.8 20.2 0.0% 0.1%
Geo Mason 0 0 0.0 4.0 14.0 6.7 21.3 0.0% 0.1%
Fordham 0 0 0.0 3.7 14.3 9.3 19.7 0.0% 0.1%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/28 VCU Away 13.8%
12/13 Arkansas Away 14.4%
2/6 Geo Wshgtn Away 23.2%
1/29 U Mass Away 37.5%
2/10 Saint Louis Away 40.9%
1/20 Davidson Away 46.9%
1/8 St Bonavent Away 47.6%
3/7 La Salle Away 49.3%
2/21 Duquesne Away 58.3%
12/30 Mississippi Home 61.5%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
11/29 IL-Chicago Home 94.5%
2/1 Fordham Home 94.3%
12/6 E Michigan Home 92.5%
2/25 Geo Mason Home 92.4%
2/19 St Josephs Home 92.1%
12/20 Boston U Home 89.0%
1/3 Duquesne Home 83.4%
1/10 Fordham Away 79.3%
12/3 Miami (OH) Away 78.4%
3/3 Rhode Island Home 77.5%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.1% 26.3%
2 12.0% 18.0%
3 13.5% 12.7%
4 12.9% 8.9%
5 12.2% 5.5%
6 10.6% 4.7%
7 9.5% 3.2%
8 7.1% 2.0%
9 6.0% 1.7%
10 4.5% 1.1%
11 2.8% 0.8%
12 1.9% 0.4%
13 0.6% 0.1%
14 0.3% 0.5%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 8.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.