Dayton Flyers Projections

Overall Record

23.4 - 6.6

Conference Record

13.4 - 4.6

Conference Champs

10.2%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 10.2% -6.5%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
3.2 59.9% 29.0% 12.9% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

Atlantic 10 CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
VCU 6 0 0.0 15.3 2.7 25.3 5.7 71.0% 36.9%
Dayton 6 1 0.0 13.4 4.6 23.4 6.6 10.2% 12.9%
Davidson 5 2 0.0 12.8 5.2 21.8 7.2 7.3% 16.4%
Geo Wshgtn 6 1 0.0 12.4 5.6 22.4 8.6 8.8% 14.3%
Rhode Island 5 2 0.0 12.0 6.0 20.0 9.0 1.9% 8.4%
Richmond 3 3 0.0 9.9 8.1 16.9 14.1 0.4% 4.5%
U Mass 3 3 0.0 9.6 8.4 16.6 14.4 0.2% 2.4%
St Bonavent 4 3 0.0 9.5 8.5 16.5 12.5 0.1% 1.9%
La Salle 2 4 0.0 8.4 9.6 16.4 14.6 0.1% 1.9%
St Josephs 2 4 0.0 6.3 11.7 12.3 17.7 0.0% 0.2%
Geo Mason 1 5 0.0 5.0 13.0 10.0 20.0 0.0% 0.1%
Saint Louis 1 5 0.0 4.8 13.2 12.8 18.2 0.0% 0.0%
Duquesne 1 6 0.0 4.0 14.0 9.0 20.0 0.0% 0.1%
Fordham 0 6 0.0 2.8 15.2 7.8 21.2 0.0% 0.0%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/28 VCU Away 20.1%
2/6 Geo Wshgtn Away 32.6%
1/29 U Mass Away 51.7%
3/7 La Salle Away 52.3%
3/3 Rhode Island Home 69.3%
2/21 Duquesne Away 76.5%
2/10 Saint Louis Away 77.5%
2/14 St Bonavent Home 80.7%
2/19 St Josephs Home 89.7%
2/25 Geo Mason Home 90.7%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/1 Fordham Home 96.3%
2/25 Geo Mason Home 90.7%
2/19 St Josephs Home 89.7%
2/14 St Bonavent Home 80.7%
2/10 Saint Louis Away 77.5%
2/21 Duquesne Away 76.5%
3/3 Rhode Island Home 69.3%
3/7 La Salle Away 52.3%
1/29 U Mass Away 51.7%
2/6 Geo Wshgtn Away 32.6%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 10.2% 19.2%
2 27.0% 15.8%
3 26.2% 13.4%
4 18.0% 10.7%
5 11.8% 7.2%
6 4.4% 6.6%
7 1.7% 5.9%
8 0.5% 4.0%
9 0.2% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 12.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.