Bowling Green Falcons Projections

Overall Record

18.9 - 10.1

Conference Record

10.9 - 7.1

Conference Champs

11.9%

Projected Record (Currently Scheduled Games Only)

Conference Tournament Odds To Advance By Round


Future Odds
Undefeated Win Rest Win Div Win Conf 1-Week Change
0.0% 0.2% 22.5% 11.9% 4.0%
Proj Conf Seed Make Semis Make Finals Win Tourn 1-Week Change
4.4 47.7% 21.0% 9.0% --

* Undefeated and Win Rest show odds based on currently scheduled games, NOT INCLUDING conference tournament games.

MAC CURRENT RATINGS PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L Future SOS conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Central Mich 4 2 0.0 11.8 6.2 21.8 7.2 26.4% 20.7%
Buffalo 3 3 0.0 11.2 6.8 20.2 9.8 18.4% 24.8%
Akron 4 2 0.0 11.0 7.0 20.0 11.0 16.5% 12.3%
Bowling Grn 4 2 0.0 10.9 7.1 18.9 10.1 11.9% 9.0%
Kent State 5 1 0.0 10.8 7.2 19.8 11.2 11.9% 8.0%
Toledo 3 3 0.0 10.7 7.3 18.7 12.3 9.1% 16.5%
W Michigan 4 2 0.0 9.9 8.1 18.9 12.1 5.3% 5.1%
E Michigan 1 5 0.0 7.1 10.9 18.1 12.9 0.2% 2.0%
Ohio 2 4 0.0 6.9 11.1 11.9 17.1 0.1% 0.8%
N Illinois 2 4 0.0 6.4 11.6 12.4 16.6 0.1% 0.4%
Ball State 2 4 0.0 6.1 11.9 11.1 17.9 0.0% 0.3%
Miami (OH) 2 4 0.0 5.3 12.7 10.3 20.7 0.0% 0.1%

Toughest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
3/6 Buffalo Away 21.3%
2/4 Central Mich Away 25.7%
2/24 Ohio Away 48.2%
2/21 Buffalo Home 48.7%
2/7 N Illinois Away 54.1%
2/14 Ball State Away 55.9%
1/31 Akron Home 61.3%
2/28 Miami (OH) Away 66.3%
3/3 Kent State Home 66.7%
2/10 W Michigan Home 68.9%

Easiest Remaining Games
Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/18 Miami (OH) Home 88.1%
2/10 W Michigan Home 68.9%
3/3 Kent State Home 66.7%
2/28 Miami (OH) Away 66.3%
1/31 Akron Home 61.3%
2/14 Ball State Away 55.9%
2/7 N Illinois Away 54.1%
2/21 Buffalo Home 48.7%
2/24 Ohio Away 48.2%
2/4 Central Mich Away 25.7%

Conference Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed Probability Win Odds
1 11.9% 22.5%
2 13.9% 19.6%
3 13.3% 9.3%
4 14.3% 8.0%
5 13.9% 3.3%
6 13.2% 2.9%
7 9.7% 2.3%
8 5.2% 1.8%
9 2.8% 1.2%
10 1.0% 0.8%
11 0.5% 0.7%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 9.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chane to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.